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NY Extremes

============
for Thursday,
March 21, 2019
============
High Temp
54°F at Rochester/Monroe Co, NY
Low Temp
21°F at Saranac Lake/Adirondac, NY
Precipitation
0.87in at New York City, NY
============

USA Extremes

============
High Temp
83°F at Charlotte Amalie Virgi, IS
Low Temp
5°F at Big Piney Amos, WY
5°F at Yellowstone (ramos), WY
5°F at West Yellowstone, MT
Precipitation
2.69in at Washington/Dulles, VA
============
Data from
NWS CPC

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NWS Forecast
Fri, 22-Mar-2019 4:32
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Rain And Snow
Rain And Snow
Tonight

Tonight: Rain And Snow
Rain And Snow
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Light Snow then Partly Sunny
Chance Light Snow then Partly Sunny
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Snow
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Snow
Monday

Monday: Chance Light Snow then Chance Snow Showers
Chance Light Snow then Chance Snow Showers
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Slight Chance Snow Showers then Partly Cloudy
Slight Chance Snow Showers then Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny
Hi 37 °FLo 23 °FHi 33 °FLo 23 °FHi 47 °FLo 31 °FHi 32 °FLo 14 °FHi 31 °F
 
OUR Forecast
16:00
Tonight

Rain and Snow Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!		Saturday

Snow Cold!
Snow
Cold!		Saturday
night
Mostly Clear Cold!
Mostly Clear
Cold!		Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy		Sunday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy		Monday

Partly Cloudy Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!		Monday
night
Partly Cloudy Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!		Tuesday

Sunny Cold!
Sunny
Cold!		Tuesday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 23°High: 31°Low: 23°High: 43°Low: 28°High: 34°Low: 20°High: 29°Low: 20°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 03-22-19 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-22-19 33   33 36   35 23   24 30   30 25   24 47   42 31   30 39   32
03-21-19 33 32.8 33 45 44.1 44 32   33 38   36 22   23 32   30 24   26 48   46
03-20-19 19 26.2 24 47 50.9 48 35 32.8 32 43 44.1 42 34   34 39   39 21   21 30   31
03-19-19 19 23.6 20 39 38.3 37 20 26.2 25 47 50.9 47 34 32.8 33 43 44.1 43 29   31 37   37
03-18-19 16 22.7 20 34 36.9 35 17 23.6 22 34 38.3 37 21 26.2 24 46 50.9 46 34 32.8 33 43 44.1 40
03-17-19 20 23.0 20 31 29.3 29 19 22.7 18 34 36.9 34 14 23.6 18 34 38.3 35 16 26.2 23 44 50.9 46
03-16-19 34 32.7 32 36 34.2 34 21 23.0 22 32 29.3 32 20 22.7 22 35 36.9 33 14 23.6 18 34 38.3 33
03-15-19 41 39.5 40 57 61.7 61 34 32.7 34 37 34.2 36 21 23.0 23 33 29.3 33 21 22.7 23 35 36.9 33
03-14-19 31 33.2 32 52 49.1 53 43 39.5 42 59 61.7 61 33 32.7 34 39 34.2 35 23 23.0 23 34 29.3 35
03-13-19 17 16.9 19 40 39.5 43 35 33.2 35 49 49.1 54 42 39.5 43 60 61.7 61 35 32.7 36 38 34.2 38
03-12-19 26 26.6 24 32 31.2 31 14 16.9 18 42 39.5 41 29 33.2 32 51 49.1 52 41 39.5 41 58 61.7 59
03-11-19 36 34.8 31 38 36.6 35 25 26.6 25 32 31.2 31 17 16.9 18 44 39.5 42 30 33.2 34 49 49.1 47
03-09-19 12 26.7 16 37 38.7 36 26 34.8 25 40 36.6 40 31 26.6 32 37 31.2 35 23 16.9 24 31 39.5 29
03-08-19 5 10.3 7 31 32.7 31 14 26.7 15 35 38.7 36 26 34.8 26 40 36.6 41 33 26.6 30 36 31.2 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 11 12 7 9 9 10 6 8 5 6 6 8 3 3
% Succ 61.5   84.6 84.6   92.3 58.3   75.0 75.0   83.3 54.5   72.7 45.5   54.5 60.0   80.0 30.0   30.0
Ave Error 3.7   2.8 2.0   1.6 4.4   3.3 2.6   2.3 3.7   2.7 3.5   2.9 4.2   2.5 4.0   4.5
Net Error -3.1   -2.4 -0.3   -0.5 -3.0   -2.1 -0.5   0.0 -2.2   -0.6 0.9   0.4 -0.7   0.8 -1.3   -2.2
Std Dev 3.9   2.5 1.2   1.3 2.0   1.7 1.2   1.3 2.3   1.7 1.3   1.3 3.2   1.7 1.5   0.6

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 03-22-19 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-22-19 34   34 23   23 32   31 21   24 47   42 30   30 36   36 15   19
03-21-19 44 44.1 48 32 32.7 34 38   37 21   23 32   30 23   25 47   45 29   31
03-20-19 48 50.9 50 33 32.8 33 45 44.1 46 33 32.7 33 41   38 22   21 32   31 24   25
03-19-19 39 38.3 39 20 26.2 24 49 50.9 48 33 32.8 32 45 44.1 44 31 32.7 32 39   37 21   23
03-18-19 35 36.9 37 19 23.6 22 37 38.3 38 21 26.2 24 48 50.9 47 34 32.8 32 43 44.1 39 29 32.7 26
03-17-19 31 29.3 33 19 22.7 20 34 36.9 36 16 23.6 20 34 38.3 35 20 26.2 22 46 50.9 47 34 32.8 31
03-16-19 35 34.2 34 21 23.0 20 32 29.3 31 20 22.7 20 34 36.9 34 16 23.6 20 35 38.3 35 16 26.2 21
03-15-19 58 61.7 57 32 32.7 35 36 34.2 36 21 23.0 22 33 29.3 33 21 22.7 23 35 36.9 33 15 23.6 19
03-14-19 51 49.1 57 44 39.5 44 58 61.7 61 32 32.7 35 39 34.2 37 22 23.0 23 33 29.3 35 20 22.7 23
03-13-19 41 39.5 45 33 33.2 35 51 49.1 56 44 39.5 43 59 61.7 61 34 32.7 36 40 34.2 38 22 23.0 24
03-12-19 32 31.2 33 14 16.9 20 42 39.5 41 29 33.2 34 51 49.1 53 41 39.5 42 59 61.7 58 35 32.7 35
03-11-19 37 36.6 38 24 26.6 27 31 31.2 31 18 16.9 19 42 39.5 42 31 33.2 33 50 49.1 50 43 39.5 39
03-10-19 40 38.7 41 31 34.8 32 36 36.6 36 24 26.6 25 32 31.2 31 17 16.9 21 42 39.5 44 29 33.2 32
03-09-19 37 41.1 38 25 26.7 26 39 38.7 40 32 34.8 32 36 36.6 34 23 26.6 25 31 31.2 30 16 16.9 18
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 8 8 12 11 11 8 12 8 8 9 9 7 3 6 7
% Succ 84.6   61.5 61.5   92.3 91.7   91.7 66.7   100.0 72.7   72.7 81.8   81.8 70.0   30.0 60.0   70.0
Ave Error 1.7   2.8 2.6   2.0 1.7   1.7 2.8   2.0 2.5   2.4 2.6   1.9 2.7   3.6 3.8   2.5
Net Error -0.3   1.4 -1.9   0.0 0.0   0.8 -1.8   -0.5 0.1   -0.1 -1.8   -0.1 -0.1   -0.6 -2.4   -1.5
Std Dev 1.0   2.2 1.8   1.1 0.9   1.7 2.1   1.0 1.1   1.2 2.1   1.3 1.4   0.8 2.8   1.9

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 03-22-19 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-22-19 34   37 23   23 32   31 21   23 47   44 30   29 36   34 15   20
03-21-19 44 44.1 46 32 32.7 33 38   36 21   27 32   30 23   25 47   42 29   31
03-20-19 46 50.9 49 32 32.8 32 45 44.1 44 33 32.7 33 41   40 22   28 32   31 24   25
03-19-19 39 38.3 37 20 26.2 24 49 50.9 48 33 32.8 32 45 44.1 45 31 32.7 33 39   38 21   20
03-18-19 35 36.9 35 20 23.6 21 36 38.3 38 22 26.2 24 47 50.9 48 34 32.8 31 43 44.1 41 29 32.7 25
03-17-19 30 29.3 30 20 22.7 19 34 36.9 36 16 23.6 21 34 38.3 36 20 26.2 23 46 50.9 45 34 32.8 31
03-16-19 35 34.2 35 21 23.0 20 32 29.3 31 20 22.7 19 34 36.9 33 16 23.6 19 35 38.3 34 16 26.2 21
03-15-19 58 61.7 58 32 32.7 32 36 34.2 34 21 23.0 22 33 29.3 33 21 22.7 22 35 36.9 33 15 23.6 18
03-14-19 50 49.1 49 43 39.5 38 58 61.7 58 32 32.7 36 39 34.2 37 22 23.0 23 33 29.3 36 20 22.7 25
03-13-19 41 39.5 40 33 33.2 31 51 49.1 54 44 39.5 42 59 61.7 62 34 32.7 35 40 34.2 37 22 23.0 24
03-12-19 18 31.2 18 40 16.9 40 35 39.5 32 49 33.2 52 42 49.1 41 60 39.5 58 35 61.7 37 38 32.7 38
03-11-19 37 26.6 37 25 31.2 26 31 31.2 32 18 16.9 20 42 39.5 43 31 33.2 33 50 49.1 55 43 39.5 40
03-10-19 40 38.7 39 31 34.8 31 36 26.6 35 24 31.2 24 32 31.2 31 17 16.9 20 42 39.5 44 29 33.2 34
03-09-19 37 41.1 39 26 26.7 25 39 38.7 40 32 34.8 33 36 26.6 34 23 31.2 24 31 31.2 30 16 16.9 20
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 10 9 9 9 8 7 9 5 7 7 8 6 3 5 6
% Succ 61.5   76.9 69.2   69.2 75.0   66.7 58.3   75.0 45.5   63.6 63.6   72.7 60.0   30.0 50.0   60.0
Ave Error 3.4   3.0 4.2   3.9 2.7   2.7 4.1   3.9 3.9   3.3 4.7   3.8 5.1   6.3 4.1   3.3
Net Error -0.9   -0.7 -0.1   -0.3 0.1   0.1 -0.4   0.7 0.1   0.1 -0.5   0.6 -2.5   -2.3 -2.1   -0.7
Std Dev 3.9   3.9 5.7   5.7 1.2   2.2 4.1   4.7 1.4   1.9 5.4   4.9 1.8   1.8 2.8   1.9

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 03-21-19 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-21-19 34   32 37   37 23   24 30   31 25   25 47   45 31   30 39   36
03-20-19 33 32.8 33 45 44.1 44 32   33 38   39 22   26 32   30 24   25 48   46
03-19-19 25 26.2 25 47 50.9 49 35 32.8 32 43 44.1 43 34   34 39   39 21   21 30   30
03-17-19 16 23.6 19 36 38.3 34 17 26.2 21 34 50.9 37 21 32.8 23 46 44.1 46 34   31 43   39
03-16-19 21 23.0 21 32 29.3 31 20 23.6 19 34 38.3 34 14 26.2 17 34 50.9 34 16 32.8 22 44 44.1 46
03-15-19 32 32.7 32 36 34.2 34 22 23.0 22 32 29.3 33 20 23.6 21 35 38.3 34 14 26.2 19 34 50.9 34
03-14-19 46 39.5 40 56 61.7 60 34 32.7 35 37 34.2 37 21 23.0 22 33 29.3 35 21 23.6 22 35 38.3 33
03-13-19 32 33.2 32 52 49.1 55 43 39.5 43 59 61.7 60 33 32.7 35 39 34.2 36 23 23.0 22 34 29.3 33
03-12-19 18 16.9 18 40 39.5 40 35 33.2 32 49 49.1 52 42 39.5 41 60 61.7 58 35 32.7 37 38 34.2 38
03-11-19 25 26.6 24 32 31.2 31 14 16.9 19 42 39.5 42 29 33.2 32 51 49.1 50 41 39.5 41 58 61.7 58
03-10-19 33 34.8 31 38 36.6 35 25 26.6 24 32 31.2 31 17 16.9 19 44 39.5 41 30 33.2 32 49 49.1 48
03-09-19 23 26.7 26 39 38.7 41 32 34.8 33 36 36.6 35 23 26.6 24 31 31.2 30 16 16.9 21 41 39.5 44
03-08-19 13 17.2 16 37 41.1 37 26 26.7 26 40 38.7 39 31 34.8 31 37 36.6 34 23 26.6 23 31 31.2 29
03-07-19 6 10.3 9 31 32.7 32 14 17.2 17 35 41.1 36 26 26.7 26 40 38.7 40 33 34.8 31 36 36.6 35
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 10 10 11 10 9 8 7 8 7 7 8 5 6 4
% Succ 61.5   84.6 76.9   76.9 91.7   83.3 75.0   66.7 63.6   72.7 63.6   63.6 80.0   50.0 60.0   40.0
Ave Error 2.8   1.6 2.2   1.9 2.8   2.2 3.5   3.3 4.1   3.3 3.7   3.8 4.5   3.9 3.5   4.5
Net Error -1.6   -1.3 -0.5   -0.3 -1.4   -0.9 -1.8   -1.3 -3.5   -2.3 -0.3   -1.4 -3.7   -1.9 -1.5   -1.7
Std Dev 2.2   1.3 1.5   1.7 2.0   1.3 4.2   3.3 3.8   2.9 4.1   4.2 5.0   2.8 4.4   4.0

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.