NWS Forecast
Tue, 23-Jul-2019 1:20
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Clear
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Clear
Thursday

Thursday: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Showers And T-Storms
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Clear
Slight Chance Showers And T-Storms then Mostly Clear
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny
Hi 73 °FLo 55 °FHi 74 °FLo 54 °FHi 78 °FLo 59 °FHi 82 °FLo 60 °FHi 85 °F
 
OUR Forecast
13:00
This
afternoon
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tonight

Fog late
Fog late
Wednesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Wednesday
night
Fog
Fog
Thursday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Thursday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Friday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Friday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Saturday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 78°Low: 59°High: 78°Low: 58°High: 80°Low: 61°High: 84°Low: 63°High: 86°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 07-01-19 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-01-19 54   58 77   79 60   61 79   80 60   62 83   84 62   66 84   85
06-30-19 60 60.4 61 69 71.8 72 55   59 78   79 61   62 79   80 61   63 84   85
06-29-19 64 65.2 66 78 82.1 81 62 60.4 65 68 71.8 68 55   58 78   79 60   64 79   82
06-28-19 55 60.0 59 85 86.1 84 65 65.2 66 80 82.1 79 65 60.4 62 75 71.8 68 55   57 75   80
06-27-19 61 64.0 63 80 80.6 81 60 60.0 61 82 86.1 84 64 65.2 67 79 82.1 79 62 60.4 63 74 71.8 72
06-26-19 60 59.1 60 81 83.7 82 62 64.0 63 80 80.6 81 60 60.0 62 82 86.1 77 63 65.2 66 79 82.1 79
06-25-19 64 64.4 64 76 81.8 79 61 59.1 64 80 83.7 83 64 64.0 65 79 80.6 81 60 60.0 63 81 86.1 84
06-24-19 52 54.4 54 79 80.0 80 62 64.4 62 78 81.8 78 60 59.1 62 82 83.7 81 62 64.0 63 81 80.6 79
06-23-19 53 55.8 54 77 76.4 76 51 54.4 53 80 80.0 80 61 64.4 60 77 81.8 77 60 59.1 62 81 83.7 83
06-22-19 52 55.3 53 73 73.5 75 52 55.8 53 76 76.4 77 54 54.4 57 80 80.0 79 61 64.4 60 78 81.8 78
06-21-19 60 58.4 59 72 72.8 73 51 55.3 53 72 73.5 73 52 55.8 52 76 76.4 75 55 54.4 52 79 80.0 80
06-20-19 66 64.2 65 73 74.1 74 60 58.4 60 71 72.8 72 52 55.3 55 72 73.5 72 53 55.8 54 77 76.4 75
06-19-19 60 60.5 60 77 76.9 78 61 64.2 65 72 74.1 72 58 58.4 60 71 72.8 71 52 55.3 52 72 73.5 72
06-18-19 54 55.8 58 73 73.5 73 58 60.5 60 76 76.9 77 60 64.2 64 74 74.1 70 57 58.4 60 71 72.8 71
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 13 11 13 10 10 8 10 8 9 9 7 10 9 8 9
% Succ 92.3   100.0 84.6   100.0 83.3   83.3 66.7   83.3 72.7   81.8 81.8   63.6 100.0   90.0 80.0   90.0
Ave Error 1.9   1.0 1.7   0.9 2.2   2.0 2.1   1.5 2.0   2.0 2.0   3.1 1.8   2.4 2.2   1.6
Net Error -1.3   -0.1 -1.6   -0.4 -1.4   0.3 -2.1   -1.3 -1.0   0.4 -1.4   -3.0 -1.2   -0.2 -1.6   -1.6
Std Dev 1.3   0.5 1.6   0.8 1.2   1.3 1.4   1.3 1.5   1.0 1.4   2.2 0.8   1.0 1.2   1.0

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 07-23-19 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-23-19 73   77 55   58 74   78 54   57 78   80 59   60 82   84 60   62
07-22-19 69 65.4 69 60 61.0 62 75   75 54   59 74   75 54   58 79   79 59   60
07-21-19 85 83.7 88 63 61.2 67 72 65.4 73 59 61.0 62 73   76 54   56 74   75 54   56
07-20-19 90 88.6 92 74 69.6 76 86 83.7 86 64 61.2 66 76 65.4 76 60 61.0 64 75   75 55   57
07-19-19 89 88.0 91 72 75.0 75 90 88.6 90 73 69.6 76 89 83.7 88 65 61.2 69 78 65.4 74 58 61.0 62
07-18-19 79 75.8 83 66 64.7 68 87 88.0 91 73 75.0 75 92 88.6 88 71 69.6 75 86 83.7 86 64 61.2 65
07-17-19 80 78.1 77 67 66.4 69 78 75.8 81 65 64.7 68 89 88.0 92 73 75.0 75 91 88.6 92 71 69.6 73
07-16-19 85 87.3 87 67 58.5 70 80 78.1 76 67 66.4 65 82 75.8 82 68 64.7 68 86 88.0 91 71 75.0 75
07-15-19 79 79.5 81 58 58.5 62 84 87.3 85 68 58.5 68 80 78.1 75 70 66.4 68 85 75.8 83 68 64.7 70
07-14-19 78 78.7 80 56 56.3 62 78 79.5 81 59 58.5 61 83 87.3 87 67 58.5 70 83 78.1 81 69 66.4 70
07-13-19 80 82.8 81 62 68.4 65 75 78.7 78 53 56.3 60 78 79.5 81 59 58.5 64 84 87.3 80 67 58.5 69
07-12-19 76 71.2 77 60 61.4 61 82 82.8 83 61 68.4 62 76 78.7 78 55 56.3 59 82 79.5 81 58 58.5 60
07-11-19 81 79.2 77 66 67.2 68 77 71.2 77 60 61.4 62 82 82.8 81 62 68.4 65 78 78.7 76 56 56.3 58
07-10-19 87 86.2 85 66 65.8 66 83 79.2 80 65 67.2 68 81 71.2 78 60 61.4 61 82 82.8 80 63 68.4 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 10 10 9 8 9 10 7 6 6 8 7 7 7 7 6
% Succ 92.3   76.9 76.9   69.2 66.7   75.0 83.3   58.3 54.5   54.5 72.7   63.6 70.0   70.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.0   2.8 2.4   3.4 2.9   2.7 3.0   3.4 4.3   3.6 3.0   4.1 4.1   4.2 3.2   3.6
Net Error 1.0   1.8 0.2   2.8 1.1   1.9 -0.1   2.1 2.6   2.4 0.8   3.4 2.7   1.6 0.5   2.5
Std Dev 1.2   1.9 2.4   3.0 1.5   1.9 2.6   2.6 2.5   2.7 2.0   3.0 3.3   1.9 0.7   1.5

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 07-23-19 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-23-19 73   78 55   59 74   78 54   58 78   80 59   61 82   84 60   63
07-22-19 69 65.4 67 60 61.0 62 75   74 54   59 74   77 54   57 79   79 59   61
07-21-19 86 83.7 85 62 61.2 63 72 65.4 70 61 61.0 61 73   78 54   57 74   75 54   57
07-20-19 91 88.6 88 74 69.6 74 86 83.7 85 64 61.2 66 76 65.4 78 60 61.0 63 75   74 55   57
07-19-19 88 88.0 88 72 75.0 76 90 88.6 92 73 69.6 76 89 83.7 87 65 61.2 67 78 65.4 79 58 61.0 62
07-18-19 80 75.8 79 67 64.7 67 88 88.0 90 73 75.0 76 92 88.6 90 71 69.6 74 86 83.7 88 64 61.2 68
07-17-19 79 78.1 77 66 66.4 69 78 75.8 79 65 64.7 69 89 88.0 91 73 75.0 76 91 88.6 92 71 69.6 73
07-16-19 85 87.3 88 67 58.5 71 80 78.1 78 67 66.4 66 82 75.8 79 68 64.7 66 86 88.0 91 71 75.0 76
07-15-19 79 79.5 80 58 58.5 61 84 87.3 85 68 58.5 69 80 78.1 75 70 66.4 68 85 75.8 82 68 64.7 69
07-14-19 78 78.7 80 56 56.3 58 78 79.5 81 59 58.5 60 83 87.3 87 67 58.5 71 83 78.1 79 69 66.4 70
07-13-19 80 82.8 82 63 68.4 66 75 78.7 79 53 56.3 60 78 79.5 80 59 58.5 64 84 87.3 81 67 58.5 67
07-12-19 75 71.2 76 60 61.4 60 81 82.8 83 61 68.4 63 76 78.7 78 55 56.3 60 82 79.5 79 58 58.5 59
07-11-19 79 79.2 81 66 67.2 66 77 71.2 77 60 61.4 61 82 82.8 82 62 68.4 65 78 78.7 75 56 56.3 58
07-10-19 87 86.2 86 66 65.8 67 83 79.2 77 65 67.2 67 81 71.2 77 60 61.4 61 82 82.8 81 63 68.4 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 12 10 11 8 10 10 6 6 9 8 6 7 5 7 6
% Succ 84.6   92.3 76.9   84.6 66.7   83.3 83.3   50.0 54.5   81.8 72.7   54.5 70.0   50.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.9   1.4 2.3   2.8 2.9   2.2 2.8   3.2 4.3   3.2 3.0   3.8 4.1   4.4 3.2   3.8
Net Error 0.9   1.0 0.2   2.0 1.1   1.5 0.1   2.2 2.6   2.3 0.8   3.1 2.7   1.9 0.5   2.3
Std Dev 1.4   1.2 2.3   2.9 1.6   1.3 2.8   2.9 2.5   3.1 2.0   3.1 3.3   3.2 0.7   1.6

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 07-16-19 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-16-19 69   71 79   79 66   68 79   79 67   65 87   90 73   75 90   92
07-15-19 57 58.5 61 84 87.3 85 68   69 78   75 68   69 84   81 69   67 88   90
07-14-19 55 56.3 60 78 79.5 80 58 58.5 60 83 87.3 86 68   69 83   81 69   69 84   82
07-13-19 63 68.4 67 77 78.7 79 54 56.3 60 79 79.5 80 60 58.5 61 84 87.3 85 67   69 84   75
07-12-19 61 61.4 59 81 82.8 81 61 68.4 64 75 78.7 77 55 56.3 59 80 79.5 81 59 58.5 61 86 87.3 85
07-10-19 67 67.2 67 82 71.2 78 66 61.4 68 79 82.8 76 60 68.4 62 82 78.7 81 63 56.3 61 79 79.5 76
07-09-19 57 58.9 61 88 86.2 87 66 67.2 68 84 71.2 81 66 61.4 68 80 82.8 77 62 68.4 61 82 78.7 80
07-08-19 52 59.0 57 82 83.3 82 57 58.9 59 87 86.2 86 65 67.2 67 84 71.2 75 66 61.4 66 79 82.8 76
07-07-19 52 53.4 58 78 80.8 81 53 59.0 58 81 83.3 82 59 58.9 61 88 86.2 85 65 67.2 65 83 71.2 74
07-06-19 62 61.7 65 79 79.0 81 52 53.4 56 77 80.8 80 54 59.0 58 82 83.3 82 60 58.9 60 86 86.2 85
07-05-19 71 73.7 74 82 86.2 86 64 61.7 70 80 79.0 82 54 53.4 58 79 80.8 78 55 59.0 57 82 83.3 81
07-04-19 65 66.6 67 86 87.5 87 69 73.7 73 81 86.2 83 63 61.7 68 79 79.0 81 54 53.4 59 78 80.8 79
07-03-19 61 61.4 66 87 86.3 87 64 66.6 69 86 87.5 84 69 73.7 71 82 86.2 86 62 61.7 68 79 79.0 80
07-02-19 60 62.4 65 84 85.8 85 62 61.4 65 86 86.3 86 65 66.6 69 85 87.5 84 68 73.7 71 84 86.2 78
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 10 11 12 8 8 6 10 7 7 9 9 5 5 8 8
% Succ 84.6   76.9 84.6   92.3 66.7   66.7 50.0   83.3 63.6   63.6 81.8   81.8 50.0   50.0 80.0   80.0
Ave Error 2.0   2.3 2.6   1.4 3.0   3.0 3.3   2.7 2.8   3.4 3.1   2.4 3.2   3.9 2.7   3.1
Net Error -2.0   1.4 -0.5   0.3 -1.7   2.0 -0.9   -0.5 -1.4   1.5 0.2   -0.7 -0.5   1.1 0.3   -2.1
Std Dev 2.0   1.4 2.6   1.7 2.0   2.4 3.1   2.7 2.3   1.9 3.1   1.2 1.9   1.6 3.1   1.5

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.