NWS Forecast
Sun, 26-Sep-2021 8:10
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy then Isolated Rain Showers
Partly Cloudy then Isolated Rain Showers
Monday

Monday: Scattered Rain Showers
Scattered Rain Showers
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Scattered Rain Showers
Scattered Rain Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Lo 51 °FHi 72 °FLo 56 °FHi 66 °FLo 43 °FHi 62 °FLo 42 °FHi 60 °FLo 42 °F
 
OUR Forecast
19:00
Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Monday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Monday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Tuesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Tuesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Wednesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Wednesday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Thursday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Thursday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 50°High: 71°Low: 58°High: 66°Low: 43°High: 60°Low: 43°High: 56°Low: 43°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 09-26-21 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-26-21 52   54 65   64 50   50 69   71 55   60 65   68 44   46 62   61
09-25-21 46 45.8 49 72 70.4 71 52   53 64   64 49   50 64   70 51   59 65   66
09-24-21 53 49.9 53 67 65.2 67 49 45.8 48 70 70.4 69 51   52 65   64 50   47 66   63
09-23-21 66 65.0 65 74 74.5 76 59 49.9 53 68 65.2 66 51 45.8 52 68 70.4 67 51   54 67   64
09-22-21 58 55.6 56 75 78.0 76 66 65.0 65 70 74.5 72 53 49.9 57 66 65.2 66 48 45.8 51 70 70.4 67
09-21-21 51 49.9 54 72 72.0 73 61 55.6 59 75 78.0 75 62 65.0 65 70 74.5 67 54 49.9 47 68 65.2 62
09-20-21 44 46.6 49 73 73.7 73 52 49.9 53 73 72.0 72 59 55.6 60 75 78.0 71 61 65.0 51 72 74.5 59
09-19-21 45 48.9 51 75 72.1 69 45 46.6 50 75 73.7 73 55 49.9 55 75 72.0 72 55 55.6 60 75 78.0 71
09-18-21 65 60.6 61 75 78.5 77 55 48.9 52 75 72.1 69 45 46.6 51 75 73.7 73 55 49.9 54 75 72.0 71
09-17-21 65 59.9 60 75 72.1 78 65 60.6 62 75 78.5 78 55 48.9 54 75 72.1 70 50 46.6 51 75 73.7 72
09-16-21 54 56.1 59 73 72.0 75 61 59.9 64 77 72.1 77 61 60.6 60 78 78.5 78 59 48.9 56 75 72.1 72
09-15-21 75 62.0 69 66 79.2 81 78 56.1 63 58 72.0 73 73 59.9 63 61 72.1 74 76 60.6 60 62 78.5 76
09-14-21 53 50.9 53 76 71.3 77 65 62.0 66 78 79.2 78 59 56.1 58 74 72.0 73 63 59.9 62 76 72.1 70
09-13-21 65 54.6 58 75 71.7 71 55 50.9 52 75 71.3 76 65 62.0 64 80 79.2 77 55 56.1 63 75 72.0 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 11 11 6 9 8 10 7 5 9 9 5 3 8 8
% Succ 61.5   84.6 84.6   84.6 50.0   75.0 66.7   83.3 63.6   45.5 81.8   81.8 50.0   30.0 80.0   80.0
Ave Error 4.0   2.4 3.0   2.3 5.3   3.0 3.6   2.0 4.3   3.6 2.9   2.5 4.9   5.2 3.9   3.7
Net Error 2.6   2.4 -0.2   1.0 5.0   3.0 -0.8   -0.1 3.4   3.5 -1.0   -1.8 3.8   1.7 -0.6   -3.7
Std Dev 3.1   1.9 3.2   1.6 5.4   1.6 3.3   1.3 1.7   2.1 1.2   2.4 1.7   2.9 1.6   4.0

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 09-26-21 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-26-21 65   64 51   50 72   70 55   60 66   65 43   43 61   55 43   40
09-25-21 72 70.4 70 52 54.5 53 65   64 51   48 68   71 51   62 65   66 44   41
09-24-21 65 65.2 66 45 45.8 47 75 70.4 69 55 54.5 53 65   64 45   50 65   66 50   57
09-23-21 75 74.5 74 55 49.9 53 65 65.2 66 45 45.8 49 70 70.4 68 55 54.5 52 65   65 45   53
09-22-21 76 78.0 76 65 65.0 67 75 74.5 73 58 49.9 57 67 65.2 66 48 45.8 50 70 70.4 67 50 54.5 53
09-21-21 71 72.0 72 60 55.6 58 75 78.0 75 64 65.0 66 70 74.5 68 55 49.9 46 67 65.2 63 50 45.8 46
09-20-21 73 73.7 72 52 49.9 55 71 72.0 72 57 55.6 60 73 78.0 75 62 65.0 52 71 74.5 58 60 49.9 44
09-19-21 70 72.1 69 45 46.6 50 75 73.7 73 55 49.9 55 75 72.0 73 55 55.6 63 70 78.0 75 60 65.0 65
09-18-21 77 78.5 76 52 48.9 52 71 72.1 69 48 46.6 51 74 73.7 73 53 49.9 54 72 72.0 70 57 55.6 57
09-17-21 75 72.1 77 61 60.6 62 78 78.5 79 53 48.9 55 72 72.1 71 50 46.6 52 76 73.7 74 52 49.9 56
09-16-21 75 72.0 73 60 59.9 63 75 72.1 75 65 60.6 62 75 78.5 78 55 48.9 56 75 72.1 72 55 46.6 50
09-15-21 75 79.2 80 55 56.1 63 75 72.0 75 65 59.9 64 75 72.1 75 65 60.6 61 75 78.5 77 55 48.9 58
09-14-21 76 71.3 76 66 62.0 66 78 79.2 76 58 56.1 58 73 72.0 74 61 59.9 64 76 72.1 74 62 60.6 60
09-13-21 75 71.7 71 55 50.9 53 75 71.3 77 65 62.0 64 75 79.2 77 55 56.1 63 75 72.0 71 65 59.9 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 11 9 10 10 11 7 6 8 10 8 2 8 9 3 6
% Succ 84.6   84.6 69.2   76.9 83.3   91.7 58.3   50.0 72.7   90.9 72.7   18.2 80.0   90.0 30.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.1   1.8 2.3   3.0 1.9   2.2 3.1   3.5 2.4   2.1 2.8   5.4 2.9   3.2 4.8   3.2
Net Error 0.3   0.1 1.3   2.8 0.8   0.0 2.8   3.3 -0.8   -0.9 1.9   1.8 -0.2   -2.8 2.9   1.6
Std Dev 1.3   1.5 1.6   1.5 1.3   1.1 2.2   1.8 1.6   1.6 1.6   2.7 2.1   4.3 2.2   2.0

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 09-26-21 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-26-21 65   64 51   50 72   69 56   59 66   67 43   44 61   58 43   45
09-25-21 72 70.4 69 52 54.5 53 65   63 50   49 68   72 51   60 65   67 44   43
09-24-21 65 65.2 66 47 45.8 48 71 70.4 70 52 54.5 53 65   64 50   52 66   69 51   56
09-23-21 75 74.5 75 55 49.9 55 65 65.2 67 50 45.8 50 70 70.4 68 55 54.5 54 65   65 45   50
09-22-21 76 78.0 78 65 65.0 67 75 74.5 75 58 49.9 54 67 65.2 66 48 45.8 49 70 70.4 67 50 54.5 53
09-21-21 72 72.0 73 60 55.6 59 75 78.0 76 64 65.0 65 70 74.5 71 55 49.9 55 67 65.2 66 50 45.8 48
09-20-21 73 73.7 72 52 49.9 56 71 72.0 72 57 55.6 60 73 78.0 76 62 65.0 65 71 74.5 68 60 49.9 49
09-19-21 69 72.1 69 46 46.6 50 74 73.7 73 52 49.9 55 72 72.0 72 57 55.6 62 70 78.0 75 61 65.0 67
09-18-21 85 78.5 79 55 48.9 54 75 72.1 70 45 46.6 51 75 73.7 73 55 49.9 54 75 72.0 70 55 55.6 59
09-17-21 70 72.1 73 65 60.6 63 75 78.5 78 55 48.9 53 75 72.1 70 45 46.6 51 75 73.7 73 55 49.9 53
09-16-21 73 72.0 71 61 59.9 61 76 72.1 77 61 60.6 62 78 78.5 78 57 48.9 55 74 72.1 70 52 46.6 50
09-15-21 78 79.2 68 56 56.1 60 74 72.0 75 61 59.9 64 77 72.1 75 61 60.6 61 78 78.5 78 60 48.9 60
09-14-21 75 71.3 75 66 62.0 66 78 79.2 75 58 56.1 62 73 72.0 74 61 59.9 62 76 72.1 74 62 60.6 61
09-13-21 71 71.7 71 54 50.9 55 75 71.3 77 66 62.0 65 77 79.2 79 58 56.1 62 75 72.0 70 61 59.9 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 11 8 7 10 9 8 4 8 11 8 5 8 9 3 9
% Succ 84.6   84.6 61.5   53.8 83.3   75.0 66.7   33.3 72.7   100.0 72.7   45.5 80.0   90.0 30.0   90.0
Ave Error 1.8   2.0 2.7   3.4 1.9   2.2 2.9   3.5 2.2   1.6 2.8   3.5 2.7   2.3 4.8   3.0
Net Error 0.3   -0.9 2.2   3.2 0.4   0.5 2.0   3.3 -0.1   -0.5 1.9   3.4 0.3   -1.8 2.9   2.5
Std Dev 1.7   2.8 1.9   1.4 1.2   1.4 2.2   1.5 1.5   0.9 2.1   1.9 1.9   1.6 2.2   0.9

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 09-25-21 at 4:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-25-21 72   53 52   63 65   50 50   72 68   60 51   67 65   43 44   58
09-24-21 47 70.4 48 71 45.8 70 52   54 64   64 49   52 64   68 51   57 65   64
09-23-21 54 49.9 54 68 65.2 67 49 70.4 48 70 45.8 68 51   53 65   65 50   52 66   66
09-22-21 65 65.0 65 74 74.5 76 59 49.9 53 68 65.2 65 51 70.4 50 68 45.8 67 51   52 67   61
09-21-21 57 55.6 59 76 78.0 76 66 65.0 66 70 74.5 73 53 49.9 56 66 65.2 66 48 70.4 51 70 45.8 68
09-20-21 51 49.9 56 72 72.0 72 61 55.6 60 75 78.0 74 62 65.0 62 70 74.5 67 54 49.9 47 68 65.2 61
09-19-21 45 46.6 51 73 73.7 73 52 49.9 54 73 72.0 72 59 55.6 61 75 78.0 71 61 65.0 61 72 74.5 66
09-18-21 45 48.9 51 75 72.1 69 45 46.6 50 75 73.7 72 55 49.9 54 75 72.0 71 55 55.6 60 75 78.0 68
09-17-21 60 60.6 65 78 78.5 78 52 48.9 53 72 72.1 70 49 46.6 51 75 73.7 73 54 49.9 53 75 72.0 72
09-16-21 60 59.9 63 77 72.1 77 62 60.6 63 78 78.5 78 55 48.9 54 73 72.1 70 50 46.6 50 75 73.7 72
09-15-21 56 56.1 60 74 72.0 74 61 59.9 64 77 72.1 74 61 60.6 60 78 78.5 78 59 48.9 60 75 72.1 75
09-14-21 67 62.0 65 78 79.2 77 57 56.1 62 74 72.0 74 61 59.9 63 77 72.1 74 61 60.6 62 77 78.5 77
09-13-21 54 50.9 55 76 71.3 78 65 62.0 66 78 79.2 79 59 56.1 61 74 72.0 72 63 59.9 63 76 72.1 73
09-12-21 59 54.6 60 72 71.7 71 53 50.9 55 75 71.3 76 63 62.0 65 80 79.2 78 60 56.1 62 75 72.0 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 5 10 10 9 4 8 9 8 4 8 8 4 5 8 6
% Succ 61.5   38.5 76.9   76.9 75.0   33.3 66.7   75.0 72.7   36.4 72.7   72.7 40.0   50.0 80.0   60.0
Ave Error 3.8   5.1 3.7   3.9 4.4   5.3 4.1   3.4 4.4   5.5 4.0   4.0 5.6   5.9 4.8   5.2
Net Error -0.8   1.7 2.9   2.5 0.5   1.5 2.6   1.7 0.3   1.1 2.5   0.4 0.2   0.6 3.4   0.0
Std Dev 5.9   5.2 6.3   6.1 5.6   5.3 6.2   5.7 4.8   4.8 5.8   5.7 5.6   4.6 6.4   6.0

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.