NWS Forecast
Fri, 18-Jun-2021 9:51
Today

Today: Partly Sunny then Scattered Rain Showers
Partly Sunny then Scattered Rain Showers
Tonight

Tonight: Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms
Scattered Showers And T-Storms
Saturday

Saturday: Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms
Scattered Showers And T-Storms
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms
Scattered Showers And T-Storms
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Hi 78 °FLo 62 °FHi 79 °FLo 58 °FHi 81 °FLo 62 °FHi 87 °FLo 61 °FHi 75 °F
 
OUR Forecast
7:00
Today

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tonight

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Saturday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Saturday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Sunday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Sunday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Monday
night
Severe storm
Severe storm
Tuesday

Rain likely
Rain likely
High: 78°Low: 62°High: 83°Low: 58°High: 80°Low: 63°High: 85°Low: 58°High: 64°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 06-18-21 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-21 46   49 78   80 61   62 81   82 55   59 80   82 59   65 87   88
06-17-21 43 43.8 46 71 71.1 72 48   49 79   80 61   62 79   77 55   58 78   78
06-16-21 47 51.0 50 68 65.3 69 45 43.8 47 72 71.1 72 48   49 78   79 60   61 76   78
06-15-21 52 54.2 54 69 67.9 69 49 51.0 54 69 65.3 69 45 43.8 50 72 71.1 70 49   50 78   77
06-14-21 60 60.7 82 71 71.6 62 56 54.2 73 68 67.9 57 51 51.0 72 69 65.3 51 47 43.8 68 71 71.1 48
06-13-21 56 75.1 55 79 51.5 83 61 60.7 61 72 71.6 72 56 54.2 57 73 67.9 74 50 51.0 52 70 65.3 70
06-10-21 57 51.5 62 77 75.1 82 55 75.1 61 76 51.5 76 57 60.7 60 78 71.6 78 56 54.2 56 79 67.9 76
06-09-21 65 67.9 68 85 83.5 85 55 51.5 60 85 75.1 81 55 75.1 60 75 51.5 80 55 60.7 60 75 71.6 79
06-08-21 70 67.9 73 85 80.5 83 65 67.9 72 85 83.5 82 65 51.5 69 80 75.1 83 55 75.1 65 75 51.5 78
06-06-21 63 67.9 66 87 87.2 90 65 67.9 65 88 80.5 89 68 67.9 69 83 83.5 80 66 51.5 67 83 75.1 81
06-04-21 62 61.8 76 77 84.9 60 58 67.9 74 83 87.2 59 65 67.9 83 86 80.5 65 65 67.9 81 87 83.5 64
06-03-21 59 74.2 57 73 45.0 68 61 61.8 60 77 84.9 69 58 67.9 58 82 87.2 74 63 67.9 62 86 80.5 77
06-02-21 50 45.0 53 74 73.3 75 58 74.2 58 72 45.0 68 61 61.8 61 75 84.9 79 57 67.9 59 83 87.2 82
05-31-21 45 45.0 45 65 73.3 67 45 45.0 47 75 73.3 74 45 74.2 51 75 45.0 72 55 61.8 59 75 84.9 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 6 8 6 9 6 5 4 6 4 2 2 4 4 3 1
% Succ 53.8   46.2 61.5   46.2 75.0   50.0 41.7   33.3 54.5   36.4 18.2   18.2 40.0   40.0 30.0   10.0
Ave Error 4.8   7.8 6.5   9.0 5.1   6.8 7.4   10.3 7.6   10.3 8.7   11.8 7.2   8.4 7.4   11.7
Net Error -2.8   1.6 3.9   2.7 -4.0   0.9 5.4   0.9 -4.5   1.3 5.9   2.0 -3.3   2.7 4.5   -1.2
Std Dev 5.4   7.4 9.4   10.0 5.3   5.1 6.5   8.6 6.1   6.5 6.1   7.1 5.5   6.8 5.9   6.8

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 06-18-21 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-21 78   78 62   62 79   83 58   58 81   80 62   63 87   85 61   58
06-17-21 71 71.1 72 48 50.6 48 79   80 62   63 79   80 57   54 78   77 59   62
06-16-21 68 65.3 69 44 43.8 45 71 71.1 72 47 50.6 48 78   79 59   60 78   78 54   55
06-15-21 70 67.9 69 48 51.0 56 70 65.3 70 46 43.8 52 72 71.1 70 49 50.6 54 77   76 60   58
06-14-21 72 71.6 69 55 54.2 58 72 67.9 71 49 51.0 55 70 65.3 70 46 43.8 50 71 71.1 69 48 50.6 50
06-11-21 69 75.1 76 56 60.7 56 74 71.6 76 56 54.2 57 77 67.9 72 58 51.0 57 73 65.3 70 55 43.8 57
06-08-21 81 83.5 84 66 51.5 73 84 75.1 83 60 60.7 70 81 71.6 83 56 54.2 66 72 67.9 78 56 51.0 61
06-07-21 85 67.9 89 70 87.2 71 82 83.5 77 67 51.5 69 84 75.1 83 63 60.7 66 79 71.6 76 55 54.2 62
06-06-21 87 87.2 88 65 67.9 65 88 67.9 89 68 87.2 69 82 83.5 80 67 51.5 68 84 75.1 81 61 60.7 66
06-05-21 88 84.9 84 64 67.3 65 87 87.2 85 65 67.9 64 88 67.9 88 67 87.2 71 84 83.5 78 67 51.5 65
06-04-21 77 79.0 79 59 61.8 60 83 84.9 84 65 67.3 62 85 87.2 87 65 67.9 65 87 67.9 87 66 87.2 67
05-31-21 64 61.6 67 47 74.2 47 73 79.0 74 50 61.8 52 76 84.9 71 57 67.3 57 75 87.2 72 61 67.9 60
05-30-21 50 48.7 53 43 45.0 45 61 61.6 60 46 74.2 46 71 79.0 66 48 61.8 50 76 84.9 70 57 67.3 54
05-28-21 52 51.2 56 39 42.4 41 52 48.7 51 40 45.0 47 58 61.6 50 44 74.2 45 68 79.0 66 48 61.8 48
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 8 9 7 7 6 7 3 4 3 5 2 2 1 3 1
% Succ 84.6   61.5 69.2   53.8 58.3   50.0 58.3   25.0 36.4   27.3 45.5   18.2 20.0   10.0 30.0   10.0
Ave Error 3.1   3.6 6.5   7.0 4.5   5.1 7.9   9.3 7.0   8.3 9.8   10.9 8.0   9.5 8.8   10.6
Net Error 1.5   3.1 -4.1   -2.1 2.8   2.4 -4.7   -2.0 2.6   0.4 -4.6   -1.9 1.6   -0.7 -2.2   -0.6
Std Dev 4.3   5.3 7.7   8.3 5.2   5.1 6.0   5.1 5.1   5.4 6.3   4.8 3.7   3.6 4.9   3.9

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 06-17-21 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-17-21 71   71 48   48 79   76 62   62 79   73 57   59 78   80 59   61
06-16-21 68 65.3 66 44 43.8 43 71   71 47   48 78   79 59   60 78   80 54   56
06-15-21 70 67.9 68 48 51.0 56 68 65.3 72 45 43.8 53 72   71 48   54 77   77 60   58
06-14-21 72 71.6 71 55 54.2 56 72 67.9 67 49 51.0 50 70 65.3 67 46 43.8 48 71   69 48   49
06-12-21 74 75.1 58 56 60.7 77 78 71.6 57 60 54.2 81 75 67.9 62 55 51.0 73 72 65.3 55 49 43.8 71
06-08-21 85 51.5 83 65 83.5 69 85 75.1 78 55 60.7 63 85 71.6 77 55 54.2 63 75 67.9 80 55 51.0 62
06-07-21 85 87.2 88 70 67.9 70 82 51.5 75 67 83.5 67 84 75.1 76 63 60.7 65 79 71.6 77 55 54.2 62
06-06-21 90 87.2 87 65 67.9 64 85 87.2 88 65 67.9 70 85 51.5 75 65 83.5 67 85 75.1 75 65 60.7 65
06-05-21 85 84.9 85 65 67.3 67 85 87.2 87 65 67.9 65 90 87.2 88 65 67.9 67 85 51.5 78 65 83.5 65
06-03-21 75 79.0 72 65 61.8 61 75 84.9 76 55 67.3 58 80 87.2 83 65 67.9 65 85 87.2 83 65 67.9 64
05-31-21 63 73.3 66 47 45.0 46 73 79.0 72 50 61.8 49 76 84.9 75 57 67.3 58 75 87.2 71 61 67.9 60
05-30-21 48 48.7 51 45 45.0 41 61 73.3 53 46 45.0 41 71 79.0 65 48 61.8 45 76 84.9 69 57 67.3 53
05-29-21 53 51.2 50 41 42.4 41 52 48.7 49 43 45.0 40 63 73.3 55 46 45.0 40 71 79.0 63 48 61.8 43
05-28-21 50 48.2 56 40 44.5 41 52 51.2 51 40 42.4 47 58 48.7 50 44 45.0 45 68 73.3 66 48 45.0 48
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 8 10 8 5 6 7 4 1 4 7 3 1 1 3 1
% Succ 76.9   61.5 76.9   61.5 41.7   50.0 58.3   33.3 9.1   36.4 63.6   27.3 10.0   10.0 30.0   10.0
Ave Error 4.9   5.9 3.5   4.3 7.5   7.2 5.5   8.0 10.4   7.8 5.4   8.2 10.1   11.4 7.0   11.7
Net Error 2.1   0.8 -2.2   -0.2 2.1   -1.5 -4.2   -0.5 4.1   -1.7 -3.6   -1.1 2.8   -2.6 -3.5   -1.0
Std Dev 8.6   8.8 4.5   5.0 7.4   7.3 4.8   7.1 7.7   6.1 4.8   5.8 8.0   6.7 4.5   6.5

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 06-17-21 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-17-21 45   49 75   78 65   61 85   83 55   60 85   82 55   64 85   87
06-16-21 43 43.8 43 71 71.1 72 48   48 79   79 61   61 79   80 55   55 78   77
06-15-21 47 51.0 47 68 65.3 68 45 43.8 44 72 71.1 72 48   49 78   78 60   59 76   74
06-14-21 55 54.2 57 69 67.9 69 49 51.0 54 69 65.3 70 45 43.8 51 72 71.1 71 49   52 78   76
06-12-21 56 60.7 58 79 71.6 77 61 54.2 57 72 67.9 81 56 51.0 62 73 65.3 73 50 43.8 55 70 71.1 71
06-09-21 58 51.5 62 77 75.1 81 55 60.7 61 76 71.6 75 57 54.2 60 78 67.9 78 56 51.0 56 79 65.3 76
06-08-21 65 67.9 67 85 83.5 83 55 51.5 60 85 75.1 81 55 60.7 60 75 71.6 81 55 54.2 61 75 67.9 77
06-07-21 69 67.9 88 83 80.5 70 66 67.9 75 83 83.5 67 63 51.5 76 80 75.1 65 56 60.7 77 71 71.6 62
06-06-21 65 87.2 66 89 67.9 88 69 67.9 70 84 80.5 76 66 67.9 68 83 83.5 77 62 51.5 64 80 75.1 75
06-05-21 63 67.3 64 87 87.2 85 65 87.2 62 88 67.9 86 68 67.9 68 83 80.5 77 66 67.9 67 83 83.5 81
06-04-21 61 61.8 61 85 84.9 79 64 67.3 59 86 87.2 83 66 87.2 60 86 67.9 78 67 67.9 62 84 80.5 75
06-03-21 62 79.0 76 77 61.6 60 58 61.8 74 83 84.9 59 65 67.3 83 86 87.2 65 65 87.2 81 87 67.9 64
06-02-21 57 74.2 57 73 45.0 69 61 79.0 61 77 61.6 74 58 61.8 58 82 84.9 82 63 67.3 62 86 87.2 85
05-31-21 48 73.3 47 71 45.0 72 50 74.2 50 73 45.0 75 58 79.0 57 73 61.6 70 60 61.8 59 77 84.9 78
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 7 8 6 6 5 5 2 5 3 6 3 4 2 5 4
% Succ 38.5   53.8 61.5   46.2 50.0   41.7 41.7   16.7 45.5   27.3 54.5   27.3 40.0   20.0 50.0   40.0
Ave Error 8.3   8.7 8.3   8.3 7.8   9.3 7.8   11.6 7.0   10.7 5.8   8.3 5.8   7.3 6.0   5.1
Net Error -7.0   -3.6 8.3   5.1 -5.7   -3.3 7.2   3.1 -3.2   1.0 4.9   0.0 -1.3   3.1 3.7   -1.1
Std Dev 7.1   7.4 8.8   7.3 6.0   6.9 5.7   7.3 5.7   8.7 4.7   3.1 2.5   4.1 3.8   3.5

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.