NWS Forecast
Mon, 27-May-2019 6:51
Memorial
Day
Memorial Day: Sunny
Sunny
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Light Rain
Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Light Rain
Tuesday

Tuesday: Light Rain
Light Rain
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Light Rain Likely then Chance Rain Showers
Light Rain Likely then Chance Rain Showers
Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Showers And T-Storms
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Chance Showers And T-Storms then Showers And T-Storms Likely
Friday

Friday: Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Rain Showers
Hi 72 °FLo 48 °FHi 57 °FLo 50 °FHi 70 °FLo 56 °FHi 75 °FLo 56 °FHi 70 °F
 
OUR Forecast
7:00
Today

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tonight

Chance rain
Chance rain
Tuesday

Rain likely
Rain likely
Tuesday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Thursday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Thursday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Friday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 73°Low: 52°High: 58°Low: 56°High: 69°Low: 57°High: 71°Low: 56°High: 70°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 05-09-19 at 4:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-09-19 38   40 60   62 49   48 68   65 44   45 56   57 40   40 55   58
05-08-19 41 62.0 39 59 40.2 60 40   39 59   61 48   48 66   66 45   44 58   56
05-07-19 51 51.5 50 59 60.6 66 39 62.0 42 61 40.2 61 40   44 52   60 45   48 64   65
05-06-19 48 50.4 50 69 67.5 67 50 51.5 48 62 60.6 60 40 62.0 42 60 40.2 60 41   42 52   48
05-05-19 49 50.6 51 62 54.2 60 45 50.4 50 69 67.5 68 49 51.5 48 63 60.6 59 41 62.0 41 59 40.2 62
05-04-19 51 50.7 50 66 63.7 63 47 50.6 49 64 54.2 66 47 50.4 46 68 67.5 69 48 51.5 49 67 60.6 55
05-03-19 47 47.5 50 64 68.3 66 47 50.7 50 64 63.7 64 47 50.6 50 61 54.2 68 45 50.4 47 66 67.5 68
05-02-19 49 46.1 49 61 60.9 64 49 47.5 48 62 68.3 63 47 50.7 50 63 63.7 63 47 50.6 48 59 54.2 57
05-01-19 37 39.3 41 50 50.5 52 47 46.1 49 61 60.9 64 49 47.5 49 64 68.3 61 49 50.7 49 65 63.7 66
04-30-19 38 40.5 40 53 52.9 54 37 39.3 40 52 50.5 49 46 46.1 45 62 60.9 64 49 47.5 49 63 68.3 68
03-25-19 24 31.8 28 34 51.4 36 15 40.5 21 35 52.9 34 13 39.3 22 46 50.5 46 28 46.1 30 55 60.9 53
03-24-19 22 25.6 25 46 46.7 44 23 31.8 25 35 51.4 34 13 40.5 21 31 52.9 34 13 39.3 22 43 50.5 45
03-23-19 22 23.1 21 33 36.0 30 23 25.6 23 47 46.7 43 31 31.8 27 32 51.4 33 14 40.5 20 31 52.9 34
03-22-19 33 32.7 33 36 36.0 35 23 23.1 24 30 36.0 30 25 25.6 24 47 46.7 42 31 31.8 30 39 51.4 32
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 11 9 8 7 9 6 5 7 6 5 4 5 6 2 4
% Succ 84.6   84.6 69.2   61.5 58.3   75.0 50.0   41.7 63.6   54.5 45.5   36.4 50.0   60.0 20.0   40.0
Ave Error 3.6   3.1 4.5   5.0 6.6   5.0 6.9   7.5 8.4   6.8 7.4   8.6 10.8   8.8 8.6   8.5
Net Error -3.1   -1.9 0.2   0.6 -6.2   -4.2 -0.9   -1.4 -8.1   -6.5 -1.8   -1.6 -10.5   -8.5 -2.3   -3.0
Std Dev 5.3   5.8 6.0   5.6 7.9   6.7 7.0   7.3 8.1   6.3 5.5   5.7 6.4   6.0 4.9   6.2

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 05-26-19 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-26-19 76   74 50   53 71   71 48   50 63   56 53   49 73   72 62   62
05-25-19 72 71.5 72 60 61.5 61 76   74 51   53 71   71 50   50 69   56 58   50
05-24-19 65 59.9 65 46 45.1 47 72 71.5 72 60 61.5 60 76   73 54   55 75   72 52   53
05-23-19 75 74.1 75 53 53.6 54 64 59.9 64 48 45.1 47 72 71.5 73 60 61.5 59 77   75 54   56
05-22-19 69 69.0 70 50 53.1 52 74 74.1 72 51 53.6 52 66 59.9 62 50 45.1 46 73 71.5 73 58 61.5 62
05-20-19 75 60.6 77 45 44.1 49 61 69.0 60 42 53.1 43 67 74.1 67 49 53.6 50 72 59.9 67 55 45.1 55
05-19-19 80 87.3 77 64 63.3 62 77 60.6 74 46 44.1 48 59 69.0 56 44 53.1 45 65 74.1 66 48 53.6 48
05-18-19 64 67.1 66 50 49.5 50 78 87.3 76 64 63.3 63 77 60.6 74 48 44.1 46 61 69.0 60 43 53.1 44
05-17-19 67 68.8 62 42 42.9 44 63 67.1 63 51 49.5 49 79 87.3 75 62 63.3 63 75 60.6 76 49 44.1 48
05-16-19 63 62.3 60 46 47.8 47 66 68.8 62 44 42.9 45 63 67.1 63 48 49.5 48 75 87.3 76 58 63.3 62
05-15-19 58 63.8 59 46 37.4 46 61 62.3 57 46 47.8 45 63 68.8 58 46 42.9 43 63 67.1 59 44 49.5 46
05-14-19 46 43.7 45 39 37.4 37 59 63.8 56 47 37.4 45 59 62.3 59 44 47.8 44 64 68.8 58 46 42.9 43
05-13-19 45 45.4 47 37 36.9 40 46 43.7 47 39 37.4 38 58 63.8 57 45 37.4 45 60 62.3 59 45 47.8 44
05-12-19 48 41.6 48 39 38.9 42 46 45.4 48 38 36.9 41 49 43.7 47 38 37.4 40 61 63.8 57 44 37.4 45
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 7 12 11 6 4 10 8 2 4 5 8 3 2 3 4
% Succ 61.5   53.8 92.3   84.6 50.0   33.3 83.3   66.7 18.2   36.4 45.5   72.7 30.0   20.0 30.0   40.0
Ave Error 3.7   4.5 1.6   2.1 4.5   5.9 3.1   3.1 6.6   7.1 3.8   3.0 7.1   8.1 5.7   4.5
Net Error 0.9   0.6 0.4   1.5 -0.5   -1.9 0.3   0.3 -1.5   -3.4 -0.2   -0.6 -1.5   -3.3 -0.8   -0.1
Std Dev 3.8   4.4 2.1   2.3 4.3   3.5 3.2   2.8 3.8   4.1 2.1   2.1 3.7   3.3 2.1   2.8

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 05-09-19 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-09-19 61   65 50   49 66   64 44   45 55   56 41   40 56   57 43   41
05-08-19 57 62.0 61 36 40.3 40 60   62 50   48 64   65 44   45 58   57 41   40
05-07-19 58 60.6 63 42 40.2 41 59 62.0 61 43 40.3 40 56   56 49   47 65   61 44   43
05-06-19 68 67.5 66 51 51.5 48 61 60.6 66 41 40.2 41 60 62.0 60 41 40.3 43 52   49 45   41
05-05-19 60 54.2 56 47 50.4 48 68 67.5 66 51 51.5 47 59 60.6 62 41 40.2 41 59 62.0 61 42 40.3 42
05-04-19 61 63.7 65 49 50.6 50 61 54.2 61 47 50.4 45 67 67.5 69 50 51.5 48 62 60.6 60 43 40.2 40
05-03-19 63 68.3 62 49 50.7 50 63 63.7 64 48 50.6 48 61 54.2 69 46 50.4 46 66 67.5 67 45 51.5 49
05-02-19 63 60.9 62 49 47.5 49 61 68.3 67 49 50.7 49 62 63.7 63 47 50.6 49 58 54.2 62 44 50.4 48
05-01-19 50 50.5 54 46 46.1 48 62 60.9 64 49 47.5 48 63 68.3 61 50 50.7 49 65 63.7 59 47 50.6 46
04-30-19 53 52.9 53 37 39.3 39 51 50.5 49 46 46.1 45 63 60.9 65 49 47.5 48 63 68.3 62 48 50.7 51
04-29-19 55 51.4 55 39 40.5 38 54 52.9 53 40 39.3 39 57 50.5 50 49 46.1 44 64 60.9 65 51 47.5 49
04-28-19 47 46.8 48 29 31.8 29 54 51.4 56 39 40.5 39 56 52.9 55 43 39.3 41 57 50.5 59 45 46.1 53
04-27-19 41 40.3 43 33 36.6 32 43 46.8 48 27 31.8 30 54 51.4 55 39 40.5 40 57 52.9 57 44 39.3 45
04-26-19 60 56.0 57 41 37.2 41 44 40.3 45 33 36.6 35 41 46.8 44 25 31.8 31 53 51.4 54 38 40.5 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 12 11 11 8 8 11 10 7 8 8 10 6 4 7 7
% Succ 69.2   92.3 84.6   84.6 66.7   66.7 91.7   83.3 63.6   72.7 72.7   90.9 60.0   40.0 70.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.5   2.1 2.2   2.0 2.6   2.6 2.0   1.8 3.5   3.7 2.6   1.8 3.2   4.0 3.6   2.7
Net Error 0.1   0.8 -1.1   -0.7 0.2   1.7 -1.0   -1.6 0.4   1.3 -0.8   -0.8 1.2   1.4 -1.0   0.5
Std Dev 1.9   1.5 1.2   1.3 2.3   2.0 1.0   1.5 2.0   3.9 1.2   1.1 1.2   2.3 1.5   1.3

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 05-02-19 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-02-19 49   50 64   65 47   49 64   64 47   50 61   68 45   47 66   68
05-01-19 51 46.1 46 61 60.9 63 49   47 62   65 47   51 63   63 47   51 59   56
04-30-19 36 39.3 41 50 50.5 51 47 46.1 48 61 60.9 66 49   48 64   66 49   51 65   62
04-29-19 39 40.5 40 53 52.9 55 37 39.3 40 52 50.5 49 46 46.1 43 62 60.9 60 49   48 63   65
04-24-19 35 31.8 34 66 51.4 65 46 40.5 45 60 52.9 57 40 39.3 41 50 50.5 46 33 46.1 33 54 60.9 45
04-23-19 44 43.2 47 50 45.5 52 37 31.8 39 65 51.4 65 46 40.5 47 59 52.9 55 39 39.3 40 51 50.5 52
04-22-19 44 45.4 47 73 75.7 73 44 43.2 46 53 45.5 50 37 31.8 38 63 51.4 64 46 40.5 47 60 52.9 55
04-21-19 48 45.3 45 67 66.3 64 46 45.4 45 73 75.7 73 45 43.2 48 57 45.5 51 40 31.8 39 63 51.4 62
04-20-19 48 47.7 53 67 63.1 65 45 45.3 48 66 66.3 63 46 45.4 47 72 75.7 72 48 43.2 47 59 45.5 49
04-19-19 60 60.5 60 71 69.6 69 47 47.7 52 67 63.1 63 45 45.3 44 65 66.3 67 47 45.4 46 69 75.7 67
04-18-19 56 48.8 51 71 74.2 68 61 60.5 59 69 69.6 68 48 47.7 49 65 63.1 64 46 45.3 45 68 66.3 68
04-17-19 42 40.2 42 64 63.7 63 52 48.8 54 70 74.2 65 56 60.5 59 65 69.6 66 48 47.7 49 62 63.1 63
04-16-19 31 32.2 31 59 59.6 60 40 40.2 40 59 63.7 62 51 48.8 51 71 74.2 66 56 60.5 58 68 69.6 69
04-15-19 32 33.2 30 52 50.0 49 32 32.2 30 60 59.6 58 39 40.2 39 60 63.7 59 49 48.8 49 71 74.2 66
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 11 10 10 10 8 6 7 8 8 5 5 5 6 5 6
% Succ 84.6   84.6 76.9   76.9 83.3   66.7 50.0   58.3 72.7   72.7 45.5   45.5 50.0   60.0 50.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.3   1.9 2.7   3.1 1.7   2.8 3.9   4.1 2.0   2.9 4.5   4.3 3.9   3.6 5.4   5.3
Net Error 0.9   1.0 1.6   1.0 1.1   2.1 1.8   0.5 0.9   1.6 1.4   -0.3 0.3   0.4 1.5   -1.4
Std Dev 1.9   1.4 3.7   3.5 1.7   1.9 3.7   3.5 1.8   1.8 3.7   3.2 3.5   3.6 3.7   4.2

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.