NWS Forecast
Sat, 10-Apr-2021 6:29
Today

Today: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Sunday

Sunday: Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Rain Showers Likely
Rain Showers Likely
Monday

Monday: Rain Showers Likely
Rain Showers Likely
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Hi 75 °FLo 49 °FHi 64 °FLo 43 °FHi 53 °FLo 40 °FHi 59 °FLo 42 °FHi 54 °F
 
OUR Forecast
4:00
Today

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Sunday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Sunday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Monday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Monday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Tuesday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Tuesday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Wednesday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 78°Low: 52°High: 63°Low: 47°High: 50°Low: 44°High: 57°Low: 43°High: 47°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 04-10-21 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-10-21 45   48 75   78 50   51 65   62 45   47 55   50 45   44 55   57
04-09-21 44 46.0 49 68 70.6 70 47   48 72   75 51   51 64   59 46   47 55   48
04-08-21 38 44.2 43 69 72.0 71 43 46.0 46 67 70.6 67 47   45 70   71 49   52 60   72
04-07-21 36 37.4 37 65 66.4 67 39 44.2 40 66 72.0 70 43 46.0 41 62 70.6 66 44   44 65   72
04-06-21 30 30.5 33 59 60.3 62 34 37.4 40 65 66.4 65 40 44.2 39 66 72.0 66 43 46.0 45 62 70.6 53
04-05-21 34 36.2 32 55 57.3 56 30 30.5 31 59 60.3 60 34 37.4 36 63 66.4 66 39 44.2 38 65 72.0 66
04-04-21 30 32.1 31 55 56.1 52 35 36.2 31 55 57.3 55 30 30.5 29 60 60.3 59 35 37.4 35 35 66.4 64
04-03-21 18 23.7 22 45 46.2 48 29 32.1 31 50 56.1 49 30 36.2 30 51 57.3 56 32 30.5 32 56 60.3 62
04-02-21 20 20.7 21 33 35.0 36 20 23.7 22 46 46.2 47 30 32.1 33 49 56.1 45 33 36.2 31 52 57.3 48
04-01-21 32 32.0 33 33 36.8 41 19 20.7 24 32 35.0 35 16 23.7 22 44 46.2 47 32 32.1 33 47 56.1 42
03-31-21 47 38.0 45 56 60.2 63 33 32.0 32 35 36.8 37 18 20.7 23 31 35.0 32 19 23.7 19 46 46.2 44
03-30-21 25 26.2 26 65 63.4 60 35 38.0 41 55 60.2 42 35 32.0 25 35 36.8 27 25 20.7 21 35 35.0 43
03-29-21 29 32.1 33 39 40.4 41 26 26.2 28 62 63.4 59 41 38.0 39 59 60.2 61 31 32.0 33 35 36.8 35
03-28-21 37 35.0 36 53 55.6 51 29 32.1 35 39 40.4 40 27 26.2 29 61 63.4 58 40 38.0 39 57 60.2 55
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 8 7 6 6 7 7 4 4
% Succ 76.9   84.6 84.6   76.9 83.3   83.3 75.0   75.0 72.7   63.6 54.5   54.5 70.0   70.0 40.0   40.0
Ave Error 2.8   1.9 2.2   2.1 2.4   2.2 2.8   3.4 3.3   3.2 3.9   4.0 2.7   2.4 7.1   6.8
Net Error -1.1   0.5 -1.9   -0.2 -2.3   0.2 -2.8   -3.2 -2.1   -1.9 -3.9   -3.8 -1.2   -1.5 -7.1   -4.9
Std Dev 2.5   1.8 1.0   1.3 1.3   1.6 1.8   4.8 1.9   1.7 2.3   2.9 1.2   1.6 7.8   4.7

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 04-09-21 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-09-21 68   68 47   47 77   74 50   52 62   59 45   48 54   50 41   44
04-08-21 70 72.0 71 43 46.0 48 67   68 47   46 71   71 51   51 62   60 42   44
04-07-21 65 66.4 65 40 44.2 40 67 72.0 69 42 46.0 44 66   65 44   44 68   69 48   51
04-06-21 65 60.3 59 35 37.4 38 65 66.4 65 40 44.2 40 65 72.0 69 45 46.0 45 65   58 45   46
04-05-21 55 57.3 57 30 30.5 30 60 60.3 60 35 37.4 35 64 66.4 66 39 44.2 38 66 72.0 67 43 46.0 46
04-04-21 52 56.1 53 31 36.2 31 54 57.3 54 29 30.5 29 57 60.3 58 34 37.4 37 62 66.4 63 38 44.2 36
04-03-21 45 46.2 47 25 32.1 31 48 56.1 49 30 36.2 30 51 57.3 55 31 30.5 30 59 60.3 60 36 37.4 34
04-02-21 34 35.0 36 18 23.7 22 46 46.2 47 29 32.1 33 51 56.1 45 30 36.2 32 51 57.3 50 31 30.5 32
04-01-21 37 36.8 40 19 20.7 25 33 35.0 35 17 23.7 23 45 46.2 47 30 32.1 32 49 56.1 44 32 36.2 34
03-31-21 61 60.2 59 32 32.0 32 34 36.8 37 21 20.7 22 31 35.0 33 17 23.7 20 44 46.2 45 33 32.1 37
03-30-21 65 63.4 62 35 38.0 43 55 60.2 45 35 32.0 28 35 36.8 29 20 20.7 22 35 35.0 42 25 23.7 33
03-29-21 41 26.2 39 24 40.4 28 62 63.4 61 41 38.0 37 60 60.2 61 32 32.0 33 36 36.8 35 19 20.7 19
03-28-21 57 55.6 53 30 32.1 35 40 26.2 40 26 40.4 29 61 63.4 56 40 38.0 38 57 60.2 55 28 32.0 33
03-27-21 53 50.6 58 40 35.0 38 55 55.6 48 30 32.1 35 40 26.2 41 25 40.4 30 59 63.4 60 40 38.0 41
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 11 7 8 8 8 7 8 6 7 7 7 5 5 7 7
% Succ 76.9   84.6 53.8   61.5 66.7   66.7 58.3   66.7 54.5   63.6 63.6   63.6 50.0   50.0 70.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.9   2.9 4.3   3.3 3.7   4.6 4.2   3.2 4.3   4.8 3.9   2.6 3.6   4.7 2.5   3.5
Net Error 1.1   1.0 -3.6   -0.6 -1.4   -2.1 -3.2   -2.4 -1.8   -1.8 -3.5   -2.2 -3.6   -3.3 -1.6   0.4
Std Dev 3.6   3.1 4.0   3.1 2.3   4.2 1.8   1.7 1.7   3.1 2.1   1.8 1.8   3.1 1.6   2.1

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 04-09-21 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-09-21 44   71 68   50 47   77 72   52 51   58 64   48 46   50 55   44
04-08-21 72 72.0 71 44 46.0 46 67   66 47   47 71   72 51   52 62   62 42   44
04-07-21 66 66.4 65 40 44.2 40 67 72.0 70 42 46.0 43 66   64 44   42 68   71 48   51
04-06-21 59 60.3 59 35 37.4 36 66 66.4 65 40 44.2 40 67 72.0 67 43 46.0 42 62   64 44   45
04-05-21 55 57.3 57 30 30.5 31 60 60.3 61 35 37.4 36 64 66.4 65 39 44.2 38 66 72.0 67 43 46.0 46
04-04-21 52 56.1 52 31 36.2 31 54 57.3 54 29 30.5 30 57 60.3 58 34 37.4 37 62 66.4 64 38 44.2 39
04-03-21 45 46.2 46 25 32.1 31 48 56.1 47 30 36.2 30 51 57.3 54 31 30.5 30 59 60.3 60 36 37.4 35
04-02-21 33 35.0 34 18 23.7 19 45 46.2 46 29 32.1 32 50 56.1 44 30 36.2 29 51 57.3 52 31 30.5 30
04-01-21 37 36.8 37 19 20.7 22 33 35.0 34 17 23.7 21 45 46.2 47 30 32.1 33 49 56.1 43 32 36.2 34
03-31-21 61 60.2 61 32 32.0 36 34 36.8 40 21 20.7 25 31 35.0 34 17 23.7 23 44 46.2 47 33 32.1 36
03-30-21 62 63.4 62 43 38.0 43 58 60.2 59 34 32.0 33 36 36.8 38 18 20.7 22 32 35.0 30 22 23.7 21
03-29-21 41 40.4 37 24 26.2 27 62 63.4 60 41 38.0 38 60 60.2 61 32 32.0 33 36 36.8 35 19 20.7 19
03-28-21 57 55.6 53 30 32.1 35 40 40.4 40 26 26.2 29 61 63.4 56 40 38.0 38 57 60.2 55 28 32.0 33
03-27-21 53 50.6 47 40 35.0 36 55 55.6 46 30 32.1 35 40 40.4 41 25 26.2 29 59 63.4 59 40 38.0 41
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 12 7 8 10 10 8 9 7 8 8 8 5 4 7 8
% Succ 92.3   92.3 53.8   61.5 83.3   83.3 66.7   75.0 63.6   72.7 72.7   72.7 50.0   40.0 70.0   80.0
Ave Error 1.4   1.6 3.3   2.5 2.3   3.0 3.0   2.4 2.9   3.3 3.0   2.3 3.9   4.3 2.6   2.3
Net Error -0.6   -1.5 -1.8   -0.1 -2.3   -2.3 -2.1   -0.6 -2.9   -2.6 -2.5   -1.2 -3.9   -4.2 -1.9   -0.7
Std Dev 1.0   1.2 2.0   1.8 2.1   2.3 1.8   1.8 1.8   3.0 1.8   2.2 1.7   3.3 1.6   1.4

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 04-09-21 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-09-21 46   49 75   77 50   51 64   62 43   48 54   50 41   44 59   58
04-08-21 43 46.0 48 68 70.6 69 47   50 72   72 51   51 64   58 46   44 55   48
04-07-21 41 44.2 44 70 72.0 71 43 46.0 46 67 70.6 66 47   45 70   70 49   53 60   69
04-06-21 35 37.4 38 65 66.4 66 40 44.2 41 65 72.0 68 45 46.0 42 65 70.6 61 45   46 65   64
04-05-21 30 30.5 32 59 60.3 60 34 37.4 35 65 66.4 66 40 44.2 40 66 72.0 68 43 46.0 46 62 70.6 54
04-04-21 33 36.2 33 54 57.3 56 30 30.5 30 59 60.3 58 34 37.4 36 63 66.4 65 39 44.2 36 65 72.0 67
04-03-21 30 32.1 32 52 56.1 51 30 36.2 31 55 57.3 54 29 30.5 30 60 60.3 59 36 37.4 37 62 66.4 63
04-02-21 18 23.7 20 45 46.2 47 29 32.1 30 50 56.1 47 30 36.2 29 51 57.3 55 32 30.5 32 56 60.3 61
04-01-21 20 20.7 21 33 35.0 34 20 23.7 20 46 46.2 47 30 32.1 33 49 56.1 43 33 36.2 31 52 57.3 44
03-31-21 31 32.0 33 33 36.8 39 19 20.7 25 32 35.0 34 16 23.7 23 44 46.2 48 32 32.1 34 47 56.1 43
03-30-21 41 38.0 44 56 60.2 62 33 32.0 33 35 36.8 37 18 20.7 22 31 35.0 30 19 23.7 19 46 46.2 42
03-29-21 41 26.2 22 24 63.4 58 62 38.0 41 41 60.2 61 60 32.0 34 32 36.8 37 36 20.7 23 19 35.0 26
03-28-21 30 32.1 35 39 40.4 40 26 26.2 29 62 63.4 58 41 38.0 39 59 60.2 59 31 32.0 36 35 36.8 38
03-27-21 42 35.0 33 53 55.6 47 29 32.1 34 39 40.4 40 27 26.2 29 61 63.4 59 40 38.0 41 57 60.2 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 10 9 10 8 9 9 8 7 8 5 6 7 6 3 3
% Succ 76.9   76.9 69.2   76.9 66.7   75.0 75.0   66.7 63.6   72.7 45.5   54.5 70.0   60.0 30.0   30.0
Ave Error 3.7   2.1 5.3   2.3 4.5   2.5 4.1   2.7 5.5   2.4 3.9   4.0 3.7   3.1 6.0   7.1
Net Error 0.1   0.1 -5.3   -1.6 -0.3   -0.3 -4.1   -2.4 0.3   -0.9 -3.9   -3.7 0.0   -0.6 -6.0   -6.7
Std Dev 3.5   1.7 9.9   1.7 6.0   1.5 4.8   2.4 2.5   1.9 1.9   3.5 1.6   2.3 1.5   4.7

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.