NWS Forecast
Mon, 28-Sep-2020 10:21
Today

Today: Isolated Rain Showers
Isolated Rain Showers
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms
Wednesday

Wednesday: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Hi 77 °FLo 62 °FHi 70 °FLo 54 °FHi 63 °FLo 49 °FHi 63 °FLo 43 °FHi 59 °F
 
OUR Forecast
2:00
Rest of
tonight
Fog
Fog
Monday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Monday
night
Fog
Fog
Tuesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Tuesday
night
Rain likely
Rain likely
Wednesday

Rain likely
Rain likely
Wednesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Thursday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Thursday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 66°High: 78°Low: 66°High: 69° Low: 53°High: 62°Low: 51°High: 63°Low: 47°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 09-28-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-28-20 62   66 77   78 61   66 73   69 54   53 62   62 48   51 62   63
09-27-20 59 62.5 62 77 77.2 81 60   64 75   78 61   63 70   67 55   56 62   62
09-26-20 54 55.4 55 75 77.5 78 59 62.5 60 79 77.2 81 61   62 75   78 60   62 72   75
09-25-20 55 55.4 57 75 79.2 77 55 55.4 53 75 77.5 76 55 62.5 58 85 77.2 80 55   61 75   73
09-24-20 45 56.6 51 75 75.6 74 55 55.4 49 75 79.2 75 55 55.4 56 75 77.5 75 55 62.5 59 75 77.2 76
09-23-20 45 49.4 47 70 71.1 68 52 56.6 48 74 75.6 73 53 55.4 52 76 79.2 76 53 55.4 49 78 77.5 78
09-22-20 35 35.6 38 63 65.4 66 49 49.4 42 69 71.1 66 52 56.6 45 71 75.6 71 51 55.4 53 74 79.2 75
09-21-20 32 34.5 35 61 61.6 63 37 35.6 37 65 65.4 65 49 49.4 41 70 71.1 67 50 56.6 46 73 75.6 72
09-20-20 34 34.5 35 58 61.2 61 34 34.5 36 61 61.6 63 38 35.6 39 66 65.4 66 50 49.4 44 70 71.1 68
09-19-20 35 40.3 36 55 57.9 59 35 34.5 36 55 61.2 60 35 34.5 37 65 61.6 64 35 35.6 39 65 65.4 68
09-18-20 45 49.0 50 61 62.0 64 34 40.3 40 58 57.9 60 33 34.5 38 58 61.2 59 37 34.5 38 62 61.6 63
09-17-20 53 54.1 52 65 63.6 70 44 49.0 53 61 62.0 64 34 40.3 41 58 57.9 60 34 34.5 38 59 61.2 61
09-16-20 42 37.5 46 74 72.7 75 56 54.1 50 63 63.6 69 41 49.0 48 60 62.0 62 37 40.3 39 58 57.9 60
09-15-20 38 37.5 40 66 63.0 68 47 37.5 45 74 72.7 75 56 54.1 49 68 63.6 68 47 49.0 44 61 62.0 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 10 12 10 8 6 10 8 7 7 8 8 7 6 9 9
% Succ 61.5   76.9 92.3   76.9 66.7   50.0 83.3   66.7 63.6   63.6 72.7   72.7 70.0   60.0 90.0   90.0
Ave Error 3.1   2.5 1.9   2.3 2.9   4.0 1.9   2.7 3.3   4.1 3.0   2.6 3.0   4.5 1.6   2.0
Net Error -2.3   0.1 -1.0   1.2 -0.7   -1.3 -1.3   0.2 -2.4   -2.1 0.0   -0.4 -2.4   -2.4 -1.4   -0.7
Std Dev 2.9   2.3 1.1   1.6 2.1   2.5 1.6   1.3 2.1   2.9 1.8   1.0 2.2   2.2 1.3   1.1

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 09-27-20 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-27-20 78   80 61   65 76   78 61   64 72   70 54   54 63   62 49   51
09-26-20 54 77.5 77 76 62.5 60 59   81 79   63 61   78 79   63 61   70 74   54
09-25-20 75 79.2 78 55 55.4 55 75 77.5 76 55 62.5 59 80   80 55   60 75   75 60   59
09-24-20 73 75.6 77 51 55.4 57 76 79.2 77 52 55.4 55 74 77.5 75 56 62.5 57 81   79 59   61
09-23-20 69 71.1 70 50 56.6 49 74 75.6 74 54 55.4 51 76 79.2 76 54 55.4 49 76 77.5 78 57 62.5 53
09-22-20 65 65.4 66 47 49.4 43 68 71.1 68 51 56.6 47 72 75.6 73 51 55.4 53 75 79.2 76 53 55.4 52
09-20-20 60 61.6 61 35 35.6 36 65 65.4 63 35 49.4 38 65 71.1 65 45 56.6 44 75 75.6 68 50 55.4 46
09-19-20 56 57.9 59 34 34.5 36 58 61.6 61 32 35.6 37 61 65.4 64 38 49.4 40 65 71.1 68 50 56.6 45
09-18-20 61 62.0 66 32 40.3 39 57 57.9 61 33 34.5 37 57 61.6 59 34 35.6 37 61 65.4 63 37 49.4 40
09-17-20 66 63.6 72 44 49.0 52 61 62.0 64 34 40.3 41 59 57.9 61 34 34.5 38 59 61.6 60 36 35.6 39
09-15-20 65 72.7 68 45 54.1 45 75 63.6 75 55 49.0 49 65 62.0 68 45 40.3 44 65 57.9 61 35 34.5 38
09-14-20 65 65.1 68 38 37.5 44 66 72.7 68 47 54.1 47 75 63.6 75 56 49.0 51 72 62.0 65 47 40.3 41
09-13-20 67 71.7 74 55 58.9 58 65 65.1 65 39 37.5 41 64 72.7 68 47 54.1 46 75 63.6 75 55 49.0 52
09-12-20 69 50.2 70 51 70.5 54 71 71.7 74 58 58.9 59 65 65.1 66 41 37.5 42 65 72.7 68 45 54.1 46
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 9 5 8 10 10 6 8 6 7 4 4 3 7 3 5
% Succ 61.5   69.2 38.5   61.5 83.3   83.3 50.0   66.7 54.5   63.6 36.4   36.4 30.0   70.0 30.0   50.0
Ave Error 5.5   3.7 5.7   4.4 2.9   2.9 4.9   3.7 4.5   4.0 5.4   5.4 5.6   4.1 5.5   6.2
Net Error -2.2   2.5 -3.6   -2.4 -1.0   0.2 -3.7   -2.4 -1.7   -0.2 -2.7   -2.7 0.1   -0.5 -2.8   -4.1
Std Dev 6.0   2.5 4.0   3.0 2.9   2.7 3.3   3.5 1.4   1.5 3.5   3.0 2.3   1.9 2.9   2.8

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 09-27-20 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-27-20 78   77 61   62 76   79 61   63 72   71 54   54 63   60 49   52
09-26-20 54 77.5 78 76 62.5 57 59   80 79   59 61   78 79   62 61   66 74   58
09-25-20 77 79.2 77 53 55.4 54 75 77.5 77 59 62.5 60 79   80 60   61 76   76 60   63
09-24-20 73 75.6 74 51 55.4 56 76 79.2 77 52 55.4 55 74 77.5 78 56 62.5 62 81   79 59   63
09-23-20 65 71.1 70 50 56.6 51 74 75.6 73 54 55.4 52 76 79.2 76 54 55.4 50 76 77.5 74 57 62.5 54
09-22-20 66 65.4 66 47 49.4 44 68 71.1 68 51 56.6 47 72 75.6 73 51 55.4 54 75 79.2 77 53 55.4 52
09-21-20 60 61.6 62 38 35.6 36 66 65.4 66 49 49.4 42 70 71.1 67 50 56.6 45 71 75.6 72 51 55.4 55
09-20-20 58 61.2 61 33 34.5 36 60 61.6 64 35 35.6 40 65 65.4 66 48 49.4 45 69 71.1 68 50 56.6 49
09-19-20 56 57.9 57 34 34.5 34 58 61.2 62 34 34.5 37 61 61.6 64 38 35.6 41 66 65.4 68 50 49.4 49
09-18-20 61 62.0 62 35 40.3 38 57 57.9 60 32 34.5 38 57 61.2 59 34 34.5 36 61 61.6 63 37 35.6 39
09-17-20 66 63.6 66 44 49.0 51 61 62.0 63 34 40.3 40 59 57.9 60 34 34.5 38 59 61.2 59 36 34.5 38
09-16-20 75 72.7 74 55 54.1 50 65 63.6 69 45 49.0 51 65 62.0 63 35 40.3 40 35 57.9 61 35 34.5 39
09-15-20 66 63.0 64 47 37.5 45 75 72.7 74 56 54.1 50 67 63.6 70 43 49.0 46 62 62.0 63 37 40.3 39
09-14-20 65 65.1 66 38 37.5 41 66 63.0 68 47 37.5 46 75 72.7 75 56 54.1 52 72 63.6 66 47 49.0 40
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 13 7 8 12 10 8 7 10 9 6 7 6 10 7 6
% Succ 84.6   100.0 53.8   61.5 100.0   83.3 66.7   58.3 90.9   81.8 54.5   63.6 60.0   100.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 3.9   1.0 4.2   3.1 2.0   2.3 3.3   4.1 2.4   2.5 3.4   3.6 4.7   2.5 2.8   4.2
Net Error -2.6   0.1 -0.1   -0.7 -0.8   0.9 -1.4   -0.6 -0.6   0.3 -2.6   -1.7 -2.9   -0.4 -2.0   -1.9
Std Dev 5.7   0.7 3.5   2.2 0.9   1.3 1.9   2.6 1.2   1.0 2.1   2.9 2.3   0.6 1.8   2.5

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 09-27-20 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-27-20 61   63 78   78 61   64 73   71 54   54 62   62 48   52 62   62
09-26-20 60 62.5 60 77 77.2 80 60   64 75   78 61   64 70   66 55   59 62   61
09-25-20 54 55.4 54 74 77.5 78 59 62.5 59 79 77.2 80 61   61 75   76 60   62 72   72
09-24-20 53 55.4 56 76 79.2 77 54 55.4 53 76 77.5 76 59 62.5 57 80 77.2 78 61   62 75   74
09-23-20 50 56.6 53 74 75.6 74 54 55.4 54 77 79.2 77 54 55.4 51 78 77.5 74 58 62.5 59 79 77.2 80
09-22-20 45 49.4 47 65 71.1 68 55 56.6 48 75 75.6 73 55 55.4 54 75 79.2 76 55 55.4 50 75 77.5 77
09-21-20 35 35.6 37 63 65.4 66 49 49.4 43 69 71.1 67 52 56.6 46 71 75.6 74 51 55.4 55 74 79.2 76
09-20-20 32 34.5 36 61 61.6 63 37 35.6 38 65 65.4 66 49 49.4 43 70 71.1 68 50 56.6 46 73 75.6 71
09-19-20 34 34.5 37 58 61.2 61 34 34.5 36 61 61.6 64 38 35.6 39 66 65.4 67 50 49.4 46 70 71.1 71
09-18-20 35 40.3 36 57 57.9 59 33 34.5 36 58 61.2 59 33 34.5 38 61 61.6 63 37 35.6 41 65 65.4 67
09-17-20 45 49.0 51 65 62.0 63 35 40.3 40 55 57.9 60 35 34.5 38 55 61.2 59 35 34.5 37 65 61.6 63
09-16-20 55 54.1 51 65 63.6 71 45 49.0 52 65 62.0 62 35 40.3 39 55 57.9 61 35 34.5 38 65 61.2 61
09-15-20 48 37.5 45 74 72.7 74 56 54.1 49 63 63.6 70 41 49.0 49 60 62.0 62 37 40.3 39 58 57.9 60
09-14-20 35 37.5 40 65 63.0 67 45 37.5 47 75 72.7 75 55 54.1 51 65 63.6 66 45 49.0 42 65 62.0 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 12 11 9 8 12 10 8 7 8 11 6 6 8 9
% Succ 61.5   84.6 92.3   84.6 75.0   66.7 100.0   83.3 72.7   63.6 72.7   100.0 60.0   60.0 80.0   90.0
Ave Error 3.4   2.7 2.3   2.1 2.5   3.8 1.8   2.4 2.6   3.9 2.4   2.1 2.6   4.3 2.4   1.7
Net Error -1.6   0.1 -1.1   1.0 -0.7   -0.8 -0.6   0.3 -1.9   -2.0 -1.5   -0.4 -2.0   -2.0 0.0   -0.1
Std Dev 2.7   1.7 1.5   1.8 1.4   2.3 0.9   1.1 1.4   2.3 1.8   0.8 1.8   2.4 1.2   1.3

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.