NWS Forecast
Sat, 28-May-2022 7:05
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Memorial
Day
Memorial Day: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Rain Showers
Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Lo 51 °FHi 77 °FLo 56 °FHi 84 °FLo 64 °FHi 86 °FLo 60 °FHi 80 °FLo 58 °F
 
OUR Forecast
19:00
Tonight

Fog
Fog
Sunday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Sunday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Monday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Monday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Tuesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Wednesday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Wednesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 53°High: 76°Low: 53°High: 83°Low: 55°High: 82°Low: 57°High: 75°Low: 56°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 05-28-22 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-28-22 61   59 69   70 49   56 78   76 57   56 85   82 62   59 86   77
05-26-22 54 65.9 58 74 77.0 80 60   60 77   73 60   61 71   69 53   54 76   75
05-25-22 51 50.9 52 74 74.2 77 50 65.9 60 73 77.0 78 58   63 76   70 62   60 70   67
05-24-22 45 48.0 46 75 68.8 73 55 50.9 53 75 74.2 72 55 65.9 53 75 77.0 76 60   57 75   77
05-23-22 49 47.9 50 66 66.2 68 43 48.0 49 70 68.8 73 51 50.9 55 72 74.2 68 52 65.9 51 73 77.0 74
05-22-22 66 58.3 63 83 84.4 90 50 47.9 57 65 66.2 66 44 48.0 52 71 68.8 70 49 50.9 55 71 74.2 72
05-21-22 63 58.2 60 90 79.5 89 66 58.3 64 87 84.4 86 50 47.9 55 67 66.2 64 46 48.0 48 71 68.8 68
05-20-22 47 44.3 45 78 79.5 78 63 58.2 58 90 79.5 87 66 58.3 58 87 84.4 85 53 47.9 55 67 66.2 64
05-19-22 48 47.1 45 64 62.5 60 49 44.3 50 82 79.5 79 66 58.2 61 90 79.5 85 65 58.3 60 81 84.4 86
05-18-22 42 43.5 45 63 62.3 66 48 47.1 50 64 62.5 65 46 44.3 52 82 79.5 80 63 58.2 59 89 79.5 79
05-17-22 50 49.1 49 65 60.2 66 35 43.5 49 65 62.3 68 45 47.1 50 65 62.5 67 45 44.3 50 85 79.5 78
05-16-22 57 58.7 59 76 76.5 83 49 49.1 57 61 60.2 65 43 43.5 49 62 62.3 64 43 47.1 51 70 62.5 64
05-15-22 62 59.2 60 75 77.4 78 59 58.7 63 75 76.5 81 48 49.1 56 61 60.2 62 44 43.5 47 61 62.3 62
05-14-22 60 59.6 60 81 81.9 86 61 59.2 66 79 77.4 74 59 58.7 64 76 76.5 80 50 49.1 54 61 60.2 58
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 11 10 6 5 4 10 7 7 3 10 8 5 4 6 10
% Succ 76.9   84.6 76.9   46.2 41.7   33.3 83.3   58.3 63.6   27.3 90.9   72.7 50.0   40.0 60.0   100.0
Ave Error 3.0   2.0 2.6   4.0 4.7   4.8 2.6   3.2 3.5   5.4 2.4   2.6 4.1   4.7 3.8   1.6
Net Error 0.3   0.1 1.0   3.4 -0.3   3.7 1.5   2.1 0.1   3.0 1.5   0.9 -0.3   1.7 1.4   -1.0
Std Dev 3.2   2.0 2.8   2.3 4.0   2.5 2.5   2.1 3.2   3.1 2.5   1.9 3.4   4.0 2.1   0.7

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 05-28-22 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-28-22 71   69 52   55 77   76 58   57 84   81 65   60 86   75 60   59
05-27-22 77 77.0 76 59 61.3 66 69   70 50   55 77   75 57   58 85   83 63   62
05-26-22 75 74.7 78 60 65.9 59 79 77.0 70 60 61.3 59 71   62 52   54 77   74 55   56
05-25-22 73 74.2 72 52 56.8 58 74 74.7 78 59 65.9 64 77 77.0 72 59 61.3 62 72   69 52   53
05-24-22 68 68.8 72 50 50.9 53 73 74.2 72 50 56.8 53 74 74.7 75 60 65.9 55 77 77.0 68 58 61.3 59
05-23-22 67 66.2 67 45 48.0 49 70 68.8 72 51 50.9 54 71 74.2 68 50 56.8 51 72 74.7 75 59 65.9 58
05-22-22 87 84.4 86 48 47.9 56 67 66.2 65 45 48.0 49 70 68.8 68 51 50.9 52 72 74.2 70 55 56.8 53
05-21-22 90 79.5 84 64 58.3 63 84 84.4 85 49 47.9 53 67 66.2 63 44 48.0 47 71 68.8 67 49 50.9 52
05-20-22 79 79.5 75 63 58.2 58 90 79.5 85 65 58.3 60 88 84.4 87 51 47.9 56 65 66.2 65 45 48.0 48
05-19-22 63 62.5 60 46 44.3 50 82 79.5 72 65 58.2 59 90 79.5 81 65 58.3 56 88 84.4 83 53 47.9 55
05-18-22 64 62.3 65 47 47.1 49 65 62.5 60 47 44.3 52 82 79.5 80 64 58.2 59 89 79.5 81 62 58.3 57
05-17-22 60 60.2 62 41 43.5 47 64 62.3 66 46 47.1 50 65 62.5 64 49 44.3 49 83 79.5 79 64 58.2 59
05-16-22 77 76.5 77 49 49.1 55 61 60.2 62 42 43.5 49 63 62.3 65 45 47.1 49 69 62.5 60 51 44.3 50
05-15-22 77 77.4 75 58 58.7 62 79 76.5 79 49 49.1 57 60 60.2 63 43 43.5 47 62 62.3 61 42 47.1 50
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 11 9 7 11 8 8 7 10 9 5 7 8 8 4 6
% Succ 92.3   84.6 69.2   53.8 91.7   66.7 66.7   58.3 90.9   81.8 45.5   63.6 80.0   80.0 40.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.5   2.4 2.5   3.8 2.2   3.4 3.2   3.6 2.4   2.5 3.8   3.7 3.2   2.4 4.3   3.3
Net Error 1.1   0.4 -0.6   2.7 1.9   0.0 -0.3   2.3 1.6   -0.3 -0.1   0.1 1.9   -2.0 -0.1   0.2
Std Dev 2.7   1.2 2.0   2.4 2.6   2.0 2.5   1.9 2.7   1.7 2.0   3.1 1.3   2.3 1.5   2.3

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 05-28-22 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-28-22 70   70 55   52 75   76 55   53 85   83 65   57 85   78 60   60
05-27-22 77 77.0 76 59 61.3 61 69   65 50   54 77   74 57   54 85   81 63   61
05-26-22 74 74.7 72 60 65.9 58 79 77.0 68 60 61.3 58 71   61 52   52 77   75 55   56
05-25-22 73 74.2 71 52 56.8 57 74 74.7 76 59 65.9 63 77 77.0 72 59 61.3 61 72   71 52   55
05-24-22 69 68.8 67 51 50.9 51 73 74.2 71 50 56.8 54 74 74.7 76 60 65.9 58 77 77.0 66 58 61.3 57
05-23-22 67 66.2 65 45 48.0 47 70 68.8 70 51 50.9 50 71 74.2 66 50 56.8 51 72 74.7 72 59 65.9 58
05-22-22 84 84.4 85 48 47.9 54 67 66.2 66 45 48.0 50 70 68.8 72 51 50.9 58 72 74.2 68 55 56.8 54
05-21-22 90 79.5 86 64 58.3 66 84 84.4 83 49 47.9 57 67 66.2 63 44 48.0 49 71 68.8 68 49 50.9 53
05-20-22 80 79.5 77 60 58.2 62 95 79.5 86 65 58.3 60 90 84.4 84 55 47.9 54 65 66.2 62 45 48.0 45
05-19-22 60 62.5 58 46 44.3 49 82 79.5 74 65 58.2 58 90 79.5 81 65 58.3 59 88 84.4 82 53 47.9 57
05-18-22 64 62.3 61 47 47.1 44 65 62.5 58 47 44.3 49 82 79.5 77 64 58.2 59 89 79.5 81 62 58.3 57
05-17-22 59 60.2 60 41 43.5 40 64 62.3 63 46 47.1 46 65 62.5 61 49 44.3 49 83 79.5 78 64 58.2 59
05-16-22 75 76.5 73 45 49.1 54 65 60.2 63 45 43.5 48 65 62.3 64 45 47.1 50 65 62.5 62 50 44.3 51
05-15-22 77 77.4 78 58 58.7 60 79 76.5 75 49 49.1 53 60 60.2 59 43 43.5 48 62 62.3 61 42 47.1 50
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 11 9 7 10 8 8 8 9 9 4 5 9 7 4 6
% Succ 92.3   84.6 69.2   53.8 83.3   66.7 66.7   66.7 81.8   81.8 36.4   45.5 90.0   70.0 40.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.7   2.3 2.5   3.4 3.0   3.2 3.2   3.1 2.7   2.7 4.2   3.8 2.8   3.2 4.2   4.1
Net Error 0.4   -1.1 -1.1   1.0 2.6   -1.1 0.0   1.2 2.0   -1.3 0.3   1.3 1.5   -2.9 -0.2   0.2
Std Dev 2.6   1.7 1.9   2.6 3.9   2.5 2.5   2.2 2.8   2.0 2.1   2.6 1.1   2.8 1.5   2.2

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 05-28-22 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-28-22 51   53 77   76 56   53 84   83 64   55 86   82 60   57 80   75
05-27-22 61 61.3 59 69 69.9 66 49   53 78   75 57   55 85   81 62   59 86   77
05-26-22 60 65.9 61 78 77.0 74 60 61.3 59 69 69.9 63 49   54 77   75 57   56 86   82
05-25-22 53 56.8 58 74 74.7 77 60 65.9 60 77 77.0 69 60 61.3 60 71 69.9 64 53   54 76   74
05-24-22 51 50.9 54 74 74.2 74 50 56.8 55 73 74.7 78 58 65.9 60 76 77.0 69 62 61.3 59 70 69.9 62
05-23-22 45 48.0 49 69 68.8 72 50 50.9 53 72 74.2 71 51 56.8 52 73 74.7 76 60 65.9 57 75 77.0 71
05-22-22 49 47.9 52 66 66.2 65 43 48.0 47 70 68.8 70 51 50.9 52 72 74.2 66 52 56.8 49 73 74.7 74
05-21-22 65 58.3 68 83 84.4 87 50 47.9 66 65 66.2 72 44 48.0 55 71 68.8 70 49 50.9 58 71 74.2 69
05-20-22 61 58.2 64 90 79.5 88 66 58.3 63 87 84.4 85 50 47.9 55 67 66.2 65 46 48.0 47 71 68.8 67
05-19-22 46 44.3 49 80 79.5 75 64 58.2 57 90 79.5 85 66 58.3 58 87 84.4 83 53 47.9 55 67 66.2 65
05-18-22 47 47.1 47 64 62.5 58 49 44.3 51 82 79.5 74 66 58.2 58 90 79.5 82 65 58.3 57 81 84.4 85
05-17-22 42 43.5 42 64 62.3 64 48 47.1 46 64 62.5 62 46 44.3 51 82 79.5 80 63 58.2 60 89 79.5 77
05-16-22 48 49.1 52 60 60.2 63 40 43.5 47 63 62.3 64 44 47.1 49 68 62.5 64 51 44.3 50 81 79.5 76
05-15-22 57 58.7 61 78 76.5 80 48 49.1 55 61 60.2 63 43 43.5 49 62 62.3 62 43 47.1 52 70 62.5 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 8 12 9 6 7 11 7 6 5 9 8 3 4 8 7
% Succ 76.9   61.5 92.3   69.2 50.0   58.3 91.7   58.3 54.5   45.5 81.8   72.7 30.0   40.0 80.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.3   3.4 1.6   3.2 3.8   4.5 2.2   3.8 3.8   3.8 2.8   2.9 4.3   4.8 3.2   3.2
Net Error -0.4   2.0 1.0   0.6 -0.3   2.3 1.2   -0.3 -0.3   1.5 1.8   -1.6 0.5   0.5 1.1   -2.6
Std Dev 2.0   2.4 2.6   1.9 2.3   4.5 2.6   2.3 2.6   2.4 2.5   2.6 1.6   2.4 1.4   2.1

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.