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NY Extremes

============
for Thursday,
November 26, 2020
============
High Temp
67° F at Laguardia Airport, NY
Low Temp
33° F at Massena Intl Ap, NY
Precipitation
0.88 in at Laguardia Airport, NY
============

USA Extremes

============
High Temp
94° F at Key West Nas, FL
Low Temp
-0° F at Gunnison County Ap, CO
Precipitation
4.13 in at Hilo International Ap 87, HI
============
Data from
NWS CPC

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NWS Forecast
Fri, 27-Nov-2020 9:42
Overnight

Snow showers
Snow showers		Saturday

Snow showers
Snow showers		Saturday
Night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy		Sunday

Sunny
Sunny		Sunday
Night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy		Monday

Chance rain
Chance rain		Monday
Night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy		Tuesday

Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny		Tuesday
Night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Lo ≈35°FHi ≈45°FLo ≈30°FHi >45°FLo <35°FHi <55°FLo <45°FHi >45°FLo >25°F
 
OUR Forecast
22:00
Rest of
tonight
Fog
Fog		Saturday

Chance rain
Chance rain		Saturday
night
Fog
Fog		Sunday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.		Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy		Monday

Rain likely
Rain likely		Monday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain		Tuesday

Chance rain
Chance rain		Tuesday
night
Rain and Snow Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Low: 37°High: 44°Low: 30°High: 48°Low: 32°High: 51°Low: 43°High: 50° Low: 30°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 11-27-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-27-20 42   44 48   50 36   38 42   46 30   29 45   49 34   33 49   48
11-26-20 37 39.6 39 56 55.2 55 43   43 50   50 35   39 43   45 29   29 47   48
11-25-20 26 26.1 26 45 46.4 46 38 39.6 39 48 55.2 51 43   43 51   52 37   37 44   44
11-24-20 28 32.2 29 33 38.1 38 23 26.1 26 44 46.4 47 38 39.6 38 48 55.2 48 40   42 51   52
11-23-20 35 35.3 40 43 37.0 44 27 32.2 29 34 38.1 36 20 26.1 26 43 46.4 44 37 39.6 37 51 55.2 46
11-22-20 26 25.0 27 37 36.1 40 34 35.3 37 42 37.0 43 25 32.2 27 34 38.1 33 24 26.1 24 44 46.4 44
11-21-20 41 42.0 40 43 45.2 48 27 25.0 29 39 36.1 41 30 35.3 37 43 37.0 43 25 32.2 26 36 38.1 35
11-20-20 41 45.9 42 56 63.8 58 38 42.0 43 46 45.2 50 27 25.0 29 42 36.1 41 38 35.3 38 46 37.0 42
11-19-20 14 16.6 21 45 47.9 45 35 45.9 35 55 63.8 55 35 42.0 42 45 45.2 49 35 25.0 30 45 36.1 39
11-18-20 16 16.7 18 30 24.7 29 14 16.6 19 47 47.9 44 37 45.9 34 55 63.8 53 38 42.0 36 49 45.2 47
11-17-20 29 30.8 28 39 37.4 38 19 16.7 21 31 24.7 31 19 16.6 21 45 47.9 46 35 45.9 37 54 63.8 52
11-16-20 35 38.0 36 43 39.8 44 30 30.8 31 39 37.4 39 18 16.7 22 30 24.7 31 18 16.6 22 44 47.9 45
11-15-20 25 25.2 25 45 51.3 50 35 38.0 35 45 39.8 41 30 30.8 30 40 37.4 37 20 16.7 20 35 24.7 29
11-14-20 34 38.9 35 43 40.2 43 25 25.2 28 49 51.3 49 34 38.0 34 44 39.8 40 31 30.8 31 40 37.4 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 9 8 8 9 9 6 5 5 5 4 4 6 5 3 6
% Succ 76.9   69.2 61.5   61.5 75.0   75.0 50.0   41.7 45.5   45.5 36.4   36.4 60.0   50.0 30.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.1   2.4 3.6   2.8 3.1   2.9 4.0   3.9 4.2   3.5 4.6   4.5 4.4   4.2 5.7   4.5
Net Error -1.9   -0.5 -0.4   1.1 -2.4   -0.1 -0.3   0.3 -3.2   -0.7 -0.2   -0.6 -0.9   -0.9 1.2   -1.4
Std Dev 1.5   1.5 2.2   2.1 2.6   2.8 2.4   2.2 2.3   3.1 2.2   2.4 2.2   1.3 2.3   2.0

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 11-27-20 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-27-20 48   51 37   39 43   47 30   30 48   49 32   33 53   52 42   41
11-26-20 54 55.2 52 43 44.7 41 48   49 35   38 43   46 30   28 48   49 31   32
11-25-20 44 46.4 45 40 39.6 39 49 55.2 52 44 44.7 42 49   51 37   38 42   45 30   29
11-24-20 33 38.1 39 27 26.1 27 44 46.4 47 38 39.6 39 50 55.2 49 42 44.7 42 52   52 37   39
11-23-20 40 37.0 39 29 32.2 29 35 38.1 38 23 26.1 26 43 46.4 45 37 39.6 38 50 55.2 46 38 44.7 41
11-22-20 35 36.1 38 35 35.3 35 45 37.0 42 25 32.2 26 35 38.1 33 25 26.1 24 45 46.4 45 35 39.6 38
11-21-20 43 45.2 50 25 25.0 30 38 36.1 42 33 35.3 38 43 37.0 42 26 32.2 28 36 38.1 35 26 26.1 27
11-20-20 54 63.8 60 38 42.0 43 44 45.2 50 26 25.0 29 40 36.1 42 35 35.3 37 44 37.0 42 24 32.2 24
11-19-20 44 47.9 41 37 45.9 34 55 63.8 55 36 42.0 41 46 45.2 50 30 25.0 29 45 36.1 40 37 35.3 36
11-18-20 29 24.7 29 19 16.6 18 46 47.9 43 36 45.9 34 56 63.8 52 38 42.0 36 47 45.2 48 32 25.0 28
11-17-20 39 37.4 40 19 16.7 21 31 24.7 32 19 16.6 21 46 47.9 47 37 45.9 36 55 63.8 52 38 42.0 33
11-16-20 42 39.8 45 30 30.8 31 38 37.4 39 19 16.7 22 30 24.7 31 18 16.6 21 46 47.9 45 37 45.9 37
11-15-20 46 51.3 49 36 38.0 36 43 39.8 42 29 30.8 31 38 37.4 38 20 16.7 21 28 24.7 30 19 16.6 22
11-14-20 42 40.2 46 25 25.2 28 47 51.3 50 34 38.0 36 43 39.8 41 32 30.8 32 38 37.4 39 21 16.7 22
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 7 11 9 7 6 8 7 6 4 7 5 6 5 3 4
% Succ 61.5   53.8 84.6   69.2 58.3   50.0 66.7   58.3 54.5   36.4 63.6   45.5 60.0   50.0 30.0   40.0
Ave Error 3.4   3.5 2.1   2.9 4.0   3.8 3.5   3.4 3.7   4.5 3.3   3.8 4.1   4.7 4.8   4.7
Net Error -1.4   0.8 -1.2   -0.5 -0.7   0.8 -2.6   -0.7 -0.1   -0.1 -1.4   -1.0 0.2   -1.0 -1.7   -1.6
Std Dev 2.3   1.6 2.2   3.0 2.6   2.5 2.6   3.0 1.8   2.7 2.3   2.2 2.2   2.0 2.3   2.4

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 11-27-20 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-27-20 48   47 37   36 43   44 30   29 48   48 32   33 53   51 42   38
11-26-20 55 55.2 51 45 44.7 41 45   49 35   38 45   45 30   28 45   49 25   31
11-25-20 45 46.4 47 40 39.6 39 49 55.2 55 44 44.7 43 49   50 37   39 42   46 30   29
11-24-20 33 38.1 38 27 26.1 26 44 46.4 46 38 39.6 39 50 55.2 50 42 44.7 43 52   51 37   37
11-23-20 39 37.0 40 29 32.2 27 35 38.1 36 23 26.1 25 43 46.4 45 37 39.6 38 50 55.2 49 38 44.7 42
11-22-20 35 36.1 37 35 35.3 35 42 37.0 43 27 32.2 29 34 38.1 36 23 26.1 26 45 46.4 46 37 39.6 39
11-21-20 46 45.2 46 25 25.0 27 38 36.1 41 33 35.3 37 43 37.0 41 26 32.2 27 36 38.1 35 26 26.1 26
11-20-20 61 63.8 63 38 42.0 41 43 45.2 48 27 25.0 29 39 36.1 40 30 35.3 38 44 37.0 42 24 32.2 26
11-19-20 44 47.9 40 37 45.9 33 55 63.8 55 36 42.0 41 46 45.2 48 30 25.0 28 45 36.1 40 37 35.3 36
11-18-20 27 24.7 25 18 16.6 14 46 47.9 41 36 45.9 34 56 63.8 52 38 42.0 35 47 45.2 48 32 25.0 32
11-17-20 37 37.4 37 17 16.7 19 31 24.7 30 19 16.6 20 46 47.9 45 37 45.9 36 55 63.8 52 38 42.0 35
11-16-20 45 39.8 39 25 30.8 28 45 37.4 38 19 16.7 20 35 24.7 31 20 16.6 21 45 47.9 45 35 45.9 37
11-15-20 49 51.3 47 35 38.0 34 43 39.8 42 29 30.8 30 38 37.4 37 20 16.7 21 28 24.7 30 19 16.6 22
11-14-20 42 40.2 42 24 25.2 27 46 51.3 49 34 38.0 34 43 39.8 41 32 30.8 30 38 37.4 37 21 16.7 21
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 10 10 9 6 7 8 9 6 6 6 6 6 5 4 4
% Succ 76.9   76.9 76.9   69.2 50.0   58.3 66.7   75.0 54.5   54.5 54.5   54.5 60.0   50.0 40.0   40.0
Ave Error 2.3   2.0 2.3   3.0 4.5   3.5 3.4   3.1 4.2   3.8 4.2   3.7 4.2   4.2 4.8   4.3
Net Error -0.4   -0.9 -1.8   -2.1 -0.5   0.1 -2.3   -1.0 0.1   -0.5 -1.8   -1.1 0.1   -0.8 -1.7   -0.8
Std Dev 1.6   2.2 2.5   3.2 2.2   2.6 2.4   2.8 1.8   2.6 1.8   2.6 2.2   1.5 2.4   2.4

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 11-27-20 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-27-20 48   36 36   44 45   29 30   48 48   31 32   51 49   43 41   50
11-26-20 43 44.7 43 48 46.7 50 36   39 42   46 30   28 45   48 34   31 49   48
11-25-20 37 39.6 41 57 55.2 55 43 44.7 43 50 46.7 51 35   38 43   45 29   29 47   48
11-24-20 24 26.1 24 45 46.4 45 38 39.6 38 48 55.2 51 43 44.7 40 51 46.7 51 37   37 44   45
11-23-20 29 32.2 27 34 38.1 37 23 26.1 25 44 46.4 46 38 39.6 37 48 55.2 48 40 44.7 42 51 46.7 53
11-22-20 35 35.3 32 43 37.0 42 27 32.2 28 34 38.1 35 20 26.1 26 43 46.4 47 37 39.6 38 51 55.2 52
11-21-20 26 25.0 28 37 36.1 41 34 35.3 38 42 37.0 44 25 32.2 27 34 38.1 35 24 26.1 26 44 46.4 46
11-20-20 39 42.0 45 43 45.2 50 27 25.0 31 39 36.1 42 30 35.3 37 43 37.0 42 25 32.2 27 36 38.1 35
11-19-20 37 45.9 39 56 63.8 57 38 42.0 42 46 45.2 49 27 25.0 28 42 36.1 41 38 35.3 36 46 37.0 42
11-18-20 16 16.6 18 45 47.9 44 35 45.9 35 55 63.8 53 38 42.0 39 47 45.2 48 31 25.0 31 45 36.1 39
11-17-20 16 16.7 18 30 24.7 30 14 16.6 19 47 47.9 44 37 45.9 34 55 63.8 51 38 42.0 36 49 45.2 47
11-16-20 25 30.8 29 35 37.4 38 20 16.7 22 35 24.7 31 18 16.6 22 45 47.9 46 35 45.9 36 55 63.8 51
11-15-20 35 38.0 34 43 39.8 41 30 30.8 30 39 37.4 38 18 16.7 21 30 24.7 31 18 16.6 22 44 47.9 42
11-14-20 24 25.2 28 46 51.3 50 35 38.0 34 43 39.8 41 30 30.8 31 40 37.4 37 21 16.7 21 31 24.7 29
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 10 8 7 9 7 7 4 6 6 4 5 4 4 2 5
% Succ 84.6   76.9 61.5   53.8 75.0   58.3 58.3   33.3 54.5   54.5 36.4   45.5 40.0   40.0 20.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.6   2.9 3.4   3.1 3.3   3.4 4.2   4.3 3.7   3.8 4.8   4.5 4.6   4.2 5.4   4.6
Net Error -2.5   -0.9 -0.6   0.8 -2.4   -0.7 0.3   0.6 -2.8   -1.2 0.0   -0.1 -1.7   -0.9 1.1   -0.5
Std Dev 2.3   1.6 2.0   2.0 2.5   2.8 2.8   2.5 2.3   2.8 1.8   3.0 1.5   2.1 2.2   1.7

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.