NWS Forecast
Tue, 21-May-2024 3:10
Tonight

Tonight: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Partly Cloudy
Slight Chance Showers And T-Storms then Partly Cloudy
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And T-Storms
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Lo 63 °FHi 87 °FLo 64 °FHi 78 °FLo 55 °FHi 80 °FLo 58 °FHi 78 °FLo 56 °F
 
OUR Forecast
16:00
Tonight

Fog late
Fog late
Wednesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Wednesday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Thursday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Friday

Sunny
Sunny
Friday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Saturday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 62°High: 87°Low: 65°High: 78°Low: 53°High: 80°Low: 60°High: 78°Low: 58°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am

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Updated: 05-21-24 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-21-24 86   85 63   64 87   89 63   64 76   78 55   55 76   84 53   62
05-20-24 82 83.7 83 60 63.7 60 86   85 62   63 88   88 65   64 77   71 53   55
05-19-24 75 77.3 77 53 53.2 54 80 83.7 82 59 63.7 58 84   83 62   61 87   88 63   63
05-18-24 68 69.1 64 52 52.8 55 75 77.3 77 54 53.2 54 81 83.7 82 59 63.7 59 84   83 62   61
05-17-24 73 72.7 74 54 55.5 56 69 69.1 61 53 52.8 51 76 77.3 76 55 53.2 54 79 83.7 81 57 63.7 57
05-16-24 68 66.8 70 51 49.1 52 71 72.7 75 55 55.5 57 70 69.1 72 52 52.8 57 74 77.3 77 50 53.2 56
05-15-24 64 62.4 62 53 55.2 54 70 66.8 71 51 49.1 51 73 72.7 75 55 55.5 57 66 69.1 74 52 52.8 53
05-14-24 79 80.6 78 56 57.5 57 66 62.4 63 55 55.2 56 71 66.8 73 53 49.1 51 71 72.7 76 55 55.5 55
05-13-24 69 67.6 67 54 53.2 52 75 80.6 74 56 57.5 56 67 62.4 69 53 55.2 53 71 66.8 74 51 49.1 54
05-12-24 57 55.9 56 42 41.3 45 67 67.6 64 54 53.2 53 72 80.6 71 56 57.5 57 67 62.4 65 50 55.2 52
05-11-24 59 59.7 62 44 46.8 44 55 55.9 51 41 41.3 46 64 67.6 64 52 53.2 54 65 80.6 64 54 57.5 56
05-10-24 58 55.6 53 44 45.9 46 60 59.7 58 44 46.8 43 57 55.9 53 41 41.3 43 66 67.6 58 52 53.2 52
05-09-24 64 62.9 65 46 47.7 48 54 55.6 53 43 45.9 46 57 59.7 60 45 46.8 46 56 55.9 56 41 41.3 45
05-08-24 73 74.9 72 49 47.2 49 62 62.9 62 45 47.7 46 54 55.6 51 42 45.9 42 58 59.7 50 44 46.8 44
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 13 12 12 11 10 8 11 9 8 7 8 8 6 5 8 7
% Succ 100.0   92.3 92.3   84.6 83.3   66.7 91.7   75.0 72.7   63.6 72.7   72.7 60.0   50.0 80.0   70.0
Ave Error 1.4   1.9 1.7   1.7 2.0   3.1 1.6   2.0 2.9   3.8 2.1   2.1 4.1   5.7 2.6   2.8
Net Error 0.0   -0.5 -0.9   0.2 -0.9   -1.9 -1.0   -0.4 -0.9   -0.5 -1.0   -0.1 -2.3   -2.1 -2.2   -0.4
Std Dev 0.6   1.4 0.9   1.2 1.6   2.2 1.3   1.6 2.2   2.4 1.2   1.3 0.9   2.4 1.8   1.8

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 05-21-24 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-21-24 84   82 63   62 87   87 63   65 76   78 55   54 76   80 53   60
05-20-24 82 83.7 82 62 63.7 60 86   84 62   62 88   87 65   63 77   73 53   55
05-19-24 76 77.3 76 54 53.2 54 80 83.7 82 59 63.7 58 84   84 62   61 87   88 63   65
05-18-24 65 69.1 70 55 52.8 53 75 77.3 77 55 53.2 54 85 83.7 82 55 63.7 58 85   83 55   61
05-17-24 72 72.7 72 53 55.5 54 69 69.1 63 53 52.8 50 76 77.3 77 55 53.2 55 79 83.7 82 57 63.7 59
05-16-24 68 66.8 70 51 49.1 50 71 72.7 73 55 55.5 55 70 69.1 69 52 52.8 57 74 77.3 77 50 53.2 55
05-15-24 64 62.4 64 53 55.2 55 70 66.8 70 51 49.1 53 73 72.7 74 55 55.5 58 66 69.1 76 52 52.8 52
05-14-24 79 80.6 79 56 57.5 56 66 62.4 63 55 55.2 56 71 66.8 72 53 49.1 52 71 72.7 75 55 55.5 57
05-13-24 67 67.6 68 54 53.2 52 75 80.6 76 56 57.5 55 67 62.4 65 53 55.2 56 71 66.8 76 51 49.1 55
05-12-24 57 55.9 56 42 41.3 43 67 67.6 65 54 53.2 52 72 80.6 72 56 57.5 57 67 62.4 65 50 55.2 51
05-11-24 58 59.7 61 44 46.8 46 56 55.9 53 41 41.3 47 64 67.6 64 52 53.2 54 65 80.6 68 54 57.5 54
05-10-24 55 55.6 55 44 45.9 45 60 59.7 59 44 46.8 45 57 55.9 52 41 41.3 42 66 67.6 56 52 53.2 53
05-09-24 62 62.9 62 46 47.7 46 54 55.6 53 43 45.9 45 57 59.7 59 45 46.8 45 56 55.9 57 41 41.3 42
05-08-24 74 74.9 69 49 47.2 48 62 62.9 63 45 47.7 47 54 55.6 51 42 45.9 45 58 59.7 59 44 46.8 46
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 12 13 12 10 10 11 9 8 7 8 9 6 6 8 7
% Succ 92.3   92.3 100.0   92.3 83.3   83.3 91.7   75.0 72.7   63.6 72.7   81.8 60.0   60.0 80.0   70.0
Ave Error 1.4   1.6 1.7   1.2 2.0   2.1 1.7   2.3 2.7   3.0 2.4   2.1 4.1   4.9 2.6   2.4
Net Error -0.8   -0.4 -0.5   -0.5 -0.8   -1.4 -0.9   -0.4 -0.5   -1.3 -1.4   0.4 -2.3   -0.5 -2.2   -0.4
Std Dev 0.9   0.8 0.6   0.9 1.6   1.7 1.3   1.7 2.2   2.3 2.1   1.5 0.9   2.6 1.8   1.6

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 05-20-24 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-20-24 60   64 84   84 63   64 86   87 64   63 75   76 55   55 72   80
05-19-24 56 53.2 56 81 83.7 82 59   59 85   83 63   61 87   88 63   64 77   72
05-18-24 54 52.8 55 74 77.3 77 53 53.2 55 81 83.7 81 58   58 84   83 62   62 86   88
05-17-24 56 55.5 56 68 69.1 65 51 52.8 52 75 77.3 78 53 53.2 55 80 83.7 81 57   59 83   84
05-16-24 51 72.7 51 74 49.1 73 55 55.5 55 70 69.1 66 53 52.8 55 75 77.3 79 54 53.2 55 78 83.7 81
05-15-24 53 55.2 56 69 66.8 69 52 72.7 52 73 49.1 72 55 55.5 57 70 69.1 76 52 52.8 53 69 77.3 78
05-14-24 57 57.5 56 65 62.4 63 54 55.2 55 70 66.8 72 51 72.7 51 72 49.1 76 55 55.5 57 67 69.1 64
05-13-24 54 53.2 53 76 80.6 78 56 57.5 55 66 62.4 64 54 55.2 55 72 66.8 73 53 72.7 56 70 49.1 75
05-12-24 43 41.3 42 67 67.6 65 54 53.2 52 73 80.6 71 57 57.5 56 67 62.4 67 52 55.2 54 70 66.8 73
05-11-24 45 46.8 43 56 55.9 52 42 41.3 45 65 67.6 62 54 53.2 53 68 80.6 66 55 57.5 56 67 62.4 68
05-10-24 46 45.9 47 60 59.7 60 45 46.8 44 57 55.9 50 42 41.3 42 65 67.6 55 52 53.2 52 66 80.6 61
05-09-24 47 47.7 46 55 55.6 52 43 45.9 45 58 59.7 60 44 46.8 47 58 55.9 52 43 41.3 44 65 67.6 60
05-08-24 48 47.2 46 62 62.9 63 46 47.7 45 52 55.6 55 42 45.9 45 56 59.7 55 43 46.8 46 57 55.9 52
05-07-24 48 49.3 51 72 74.9 77 49 47.2 53 61 62.9 60 47 47.7 47 54 55.6 50 43 45.9 44 58 59.7 52
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 11 11 10 11 9 10 7 9 10 5 2 8 9 5 2
% Succ 92.3   84.6 84.6   76.9 91.7   75.0 83.3   58.3 81.8   90.9 45.5   18.2 80.0   90.0 50.0   20.0
Ave Error 2.8   3.1 3.6   3.7 3.0   3.6 4.6   5.1 3.0   2.9 5.7   8.2 3.7   3.0 6.5   8.5
Net Error -1.6   -1.6 1.0   0.8 -2.4   -1.8 0.9   0.0 -2.7   -1.7 0.8   0.2 -3.2   -1.7 -0.5   -0.8
Std Dev 5.5   5.4 6.3   6.0 5.4   5.3 6.0   5.8 6.0   5.9 6.0   6.7 5.3   4.5 5.0   6.5

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.