NWS Forecast
Mon, 30-Jan-2023 10:13
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Very Light Snow Likely
Very Light Snow Likely
Tonight

Tonight: Very Light Snow Likely
Very Light Snow Likely
Tuesday

Tuesday: Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Snow Showers
Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Snow Showers
Wednesday

Wednesday: Slight Chance Snow Showers then Partly Sunny
Slight Chance Snow Showers then Partly Sunny
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Friday

Friday: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Hi 31 °FLo 19 °FHi 23 °FLo 12 °FHi 24 °FLo 14 °FHi 33 °FLo 3 °FHi 9 °F
 
OUR Forecast
16:00
Tonight

Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow
Monday

Snow
Snow
Monday
night
Snow
Cold!
Snow
Cold!
Tuesday

Snow
Snow
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Wednesday

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Wednesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Thursday

Mostly Sunny
Cold!
Mostly Sunny
Cold!
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 27°High: 33°Low: 20°High: 22°Low: 14°High: 24°Low: 16°High: 32°Low: 13°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 01-29-23 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-29-23 41   37 25   26 36   31 18   19 23   22 8   14 23   24 15   17
01-28-23 36 40.5 37 22 22.3 23 40   38 22   25 32   29 17   17 22   19 9   12
01-26-23 35 33.4 36 25 28.1 21 35 40.5 31 25 22.3 22 35   36 25   22 35   36 25   16
01-25-23 32 31.0 35 28 31.1 33 36 33.4 38 21 28.1 21 30 40.5 31 19 22.3 22 35   35 20   22
01-24-23 33 33.1 35 22 23.4 25 30 31.0 31 28 31.1 30 37 33.4 37 17 28.1 18 26 40.5 27 18 22.3 17
01-23-23 33 31.7 33 27 28.4 26 33 33.1 35 21 23.4 25 30 31.0 29 27 31.1 29 36 33.4 36 17 28.1 19
01-22-23 36 31.8 40 30 29.0 31 34 31.7 36 27 28.4 27 32 33.1 35 20 23.4 26 29 31.0 31 26 31.1 30
01-21-23 31 30.0 36 22 27.9 24 36 31.8 38 30 29.0 31 33 31.7 35 24 28.4 27 35 33.1 35 22 23.4 26
01-20-23 36 35.1 35 24 27.1 24 31 30.0 34 20 27.9 24 34 31.8 37 30 29.0 32 33 31.7 33 24 28.4 24
01-19-23 33 35.5 37 31 31.2 34 35 35.1 37 24 27.1 27 32 30.0 33 19 27.9 25 34 31.8 36 29 29.0 32
01-18-23 37 32.8 39 27 30.7 30 34 35.5 36 30 31.2 33 35 35.1 36 25 27.1 26 31 30.0 33 24 27.9 25
01-17-23 36 32.8 38 33 28.6 34 38 32.8 39 27 30.7 32 34 35.5 38 29 31.2 34 35 35.1 36 24 27.1 26
01-16-23 35 35.7 36 17 23.2 22 37 32.8 39 32 28.6 34 39 32.8 40 30 30.7 31 36 35.5 38 31 31.2 34
01-15-23 31 26.7 32 11 15.6 19 36 35.7 37 21 23.2 21 38 32.8 41 33 28.6 33 38 32.8 39 29 30.7 32
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 7 8 10 8 5 9 9 8 7 6 9 8 7 5 7
% Succ 69.2   53.8 61.5   76.9 66.7   41.7 75.0   75.0 72.7   63.6 54.5   81.8 80.0   70.0 50.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.3   3.5 3.0   2.8 2.3   3.9 3.3   2.4 3.2   4.3 4.1   2.8 3.1   3.6 3.5   3.4
Net Error 1.1   3.0 -2.1   0.0 1.0   2.3 -2.1   -0.3 0.6   2.2 -3.2   -0.4 -0.2   0.9 -3.5   -1.4
Std Dev 1.4   2.4 1.9   1.8 1.7   2.5 2.0   1.8 2.7   2.2 2.8   2.4 3.7   3.5 2.8   2.1

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 01-29-23 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-29-23 39   35 26   26 32   32 20   19 22   22 10   14 23   24 15   16
01-28-23 39 40.5 41 22 22.3 25 40   39 26   26 35   29 19   18 22   20 9   12
01-27-23 33 33.4 34 23 28.1 21 36 40.5 35 23 22.3 20 38   36 23   20 32   26 18   17
01-26-23 38 36.4 33 22 24.5 20 31 33.4 31 22 28.1 23 36 40.5 35 21 22.3 21 35   35 22   22
01-25-23 32 31.0 31 28 31.1 31 36 36.4 36 21 24.5 21 30 33.4 29 19 28.1 21 35 40.5 34 20 22.3 20
01-24-23 34 33.1 33 22 23.4 23 30 31.0 32 28 31.1 31 37 36.4 37 17 24.5 19 26 33.4 28 18 28.1 19
01-23-23 33 31.7 32 27 28.4 25 33 33.1 34 21 23.4 22 30 31.0 30 27 31.1 30 36 36.4 36 17 24.5 18
01-22-23 34 31.8 34 30 29.0 30 34 31.7 35 27 28.4 25 32 33.1 35 20 23.4 26 29 31.0 31 26 31.1 30
01-21-23 32 30.0 31 22 27.9 22 36 31.8 37 30 29.0 31 33 31.7 35 24 28.4 27 35 33.1 35 22 23.4 26
01-20-23 36 35.1 35 24 27.1 23 31 30.0 34 20 27.9 24 34 31.8 37 30 29.0 30 33 31.7 33 24 28.4 23
01-19-23 33 35.5 33 31 31.2 32 35 35.1 36 24 27.1 26 32 30.0 34 19 27.9 25 34 31.8 37 29 29.0 32
01-18-23 38 32.8 40 28 30.7 30 31 35.5 37 30 31.2 33 35 35.1 36 25 27.1 25 31 30.0 33 24 27.9 27
01-17-23 33 32.8 30 33 28.6 29 38 32.8 37 27 30.7 31 34 35.5 36 29 31.2 33 35 35.1 36 24 27.1 24
01-16-23 35 35.7 35 17 23.2 22 37 32.8 37 32 28.6 33 39 32.8 39 30 30.7 31 36 35.5 37 31 31.2 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 12 9 9 7 7 9 9 9 6 6 9 8 7 5 7
% Succ 92.3   92.3 69.2   69.2 58.3   58.3 75.0   75.0 81.8   54.5 54.5   81.8 80.0   70.0 50.0   70.0
Ave Error 1.6   1.6 2.9   2.5 2.5   2.8 3.1   2.4 2.2   3.0 4.1   2.5 2.2   2.6 3.8   3.6
Net Error 0.8   0.2 -2.0   -1.7 0.3   1.4 -2.3   -1.0 0.1   1.1 -3.9   -1.4 -0.9   0.2 -3.8   -2.1
Std Dev 1.2   1.9 1.7   2.2 1.6   1.7 2.0   1.3 1.1   1.5 2.7   1.8 2.0   1.9 2.5   2.3

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 01-28-23 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-28-23 22   25 40   39 26   26 35   30 18   18 22   20 8   12 23   23
01-27-23 24 28.1 25 36 40.5 36 23   21 39   37 22   21 31   27 18   17 22   19
01-26-23 22 24.5 20 32 33.4 32 23 28.1 22 36 40.5 34 25   20 38   36 22   20 31   27
01-25-23 30 31.1 29 36 36.4 36 21 24.5 22 31 33.4 29 22 28.1 21 35 40.5 34 20   22 36   36
01-24-23 23 23.4 24 29 31.0 32 27 31.1 31 36 36.4 37 19 24.5 20 28 33.4 29 18 28.1 19 35 40.5 34
01-23-23 27 28.4 26 33 33.1 34 21 23.4 23 30 31.0 29 30 31.1 29 37 36.4 35 17 24.5 16 27 33.4 26
01-22-23 27 29.0 29 32 31.7 34 27 28.4 26 33 33.1 35 22 23.4 26 31 31.0 30 28 31.1 30 36 36.4 36
01-21-23 26 27.9 22 36 31.8 36 30 29.0 31 34 31.7 35 26 28.4 27 34 33.1 35 21 23.4 23 31 31.0 30
01-20-23 24 27.1 23 32 30.0 34 22 27.9 23 34 31.8 37 30 29.0 31 32 31.7 34 24 28.4 24 34 33.1 36
01-19-23 31 31.2 31 36 35.1 35 25 27.1 23 30 30.0 33 22 27.9 22 35 31.8 36 29 29.0 32 34 31.7 34
01-18-23 28 30.7 29 31 35.5 36 30 31.2 33 34 35.1 36 24 27.1 25 31 30.0 33 21 27.9 26 35 31.8 36
01-17-23 33 28.6 30 38 32.8 37 29 30.7 31 34 35.5 37 31 31.2 33 36 35.1 36 25 27.1 28 31 30.0 33
01-16-23 19 23.2 24 33 32.8 38 32 28.6 34 38 32.8 39 30 30.7 32 36 35.5 37 31 31.2 32 37 35.1 35
01-15-23 14 15.6 18 34 35.7 36 20 23.2 21 39 32.8 38 33 28.6 33 39 32.8 38 29 30.7 32 36 35.5 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 10 9 8 9 8 9 7 7 7 8 7 6 7 8 7
% Succ 76.9   76.9 69.2   61.5 75.0   66.7 75.0   58.3 63.6   63.6 72.7   63.6 60.0   70.0 80.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.3   2.2 2.1   2.2 2.9   2.7 2.2   3.4 2.9   3.2 2.2   2.9 3.8   3.1 2.2   3.0
Net Error -1.6   -1.4 -0.1   1.2 -2.2   -1.1 0.4   1.2 -1.9   -1.0 0.2   0.5 -3.8   -1.9 -0.3   -0.1
Std Dev 1.3   1.7 1.8   1.7 1.5   1.8 1.3   1.7 1.8   1.7 1.8   1.5 2.7   2.8 2.0   2.1

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.