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NY Extremes

============
for Wednesday,
November 20, 2019
============
High Temp
49°F at New York/La Guardia, NY
49°F at New York City, NY
Low Temp
21°F at Watertown/Intl, NY
21°F at Massena/Richards, NY
21°F at Ogdensburg Intl, NY
Precipitation
0.09in at Montauk Airport, NY
============

USA Extremes

============
High Temp
90°F at Roosevelt Roads Nas, PU
90°F at Lakeland Regional, FL
Low Temp
1°F at Taunton Muni Arpt, MA
Precipitation
2.27in at Phoenix/Deer Valley, AZ
============
Data from
NWS CPC

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NWS Forecast
Fri, 22-Nov-2019 3:44
Today

Today: Chance Rain Showers then Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Chance Rain Showers then Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Tonight

Tonight: Scattered Snow Showers then Partly Cloudy
Scattered Snow Showers then Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Snow
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Light Snow
Sunday

Sunday: Chance Light Snow
Chance Light Snow
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Tuesday

Tuesday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Hi 45 °F ↓Lo 23 °FHi 38 °FLo 28 °FHi 40 °FLo 30 °FHi 43 °FLo 31 °FHi 48 °F
 
OUR Forecast
4:00
Today

Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow		Tonight

Partly Cloudy Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!		Saturday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.		Saturday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy		Sunday

Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow		Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy		Monday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy		Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy		Tuesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 44° Low: 26°High: 40°Low: 31° High: 39°Low: 30°High: 42°Low: 29°High: 48°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 11-22-19 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-22-19 34   41 43   44 24   26 38   40 28   30 38   39 30   30 42   42
11-21-19 30 29.9 28 40 41.7 43 33   35 45   44 23   25 38   39 29   31 38   38
11-20-19 28 27.5 28 38 38.6 37 25 29.9 27 41 41.7 40 31   34 47   43 23   24 37   38
11-19-19 32 32.9 32 38 38.7 36 29 27.5 31 38 38.6 37 29 29.9 27 39 41.7 40 34   33 43   47
11-18-19 25 29.0 28 34 35.5 39 31 32.9 32 37 38.7 42 29 27.5 33 39 38.6 39 29 29.9 29 42 41.7 42
11-17-19 7 15.4 16 34 35.1 38 25 29.0 25 36 35.5 40 30 32.9 32 37 38.7 36 30 27.5 32 36 38.6 37
11-16-19 13 15.6 17 30 29.7 30 11 15.4 19 35 35.1 36 24 29.0 25 38 35.5 35 30 32.9 32 39 38.7 39
11-15-19 26 30.6 24 38 30.6 37 11 15.6 15 28 29.7 29 11 15.4 19 35 35.1 36 22 29.0 24 36 35.5 38
11-14-19 15 14.8 16 34 30.6 34 26 30.6 25 38 30.6 38 15 15.6 16 28 29.7 28 10 15.4 18 35 35.1 35
11-13-19 8 8.8 11 23 20.8 22 13 14.8 15 35 30.6 34 26 30.6 25 40 30.6 37 14 15.6 16 29 29.7 27
11-12-19 24 19.6 25 25 23.5 28 7 8.8 12 22 20.8 22 12 14.8 15 34 30.6 34 24 30.6 26 39 30.6 37
11-11-19 35 35.0 36 38 36.0 38 24 19.6 26 26 23.5 29 8 8.8 12 24 20.8 22 10 14.8 14 30 30.6 32
11-10-19 25 31.6 28 43 44.4 43 34 35.0 35 36 36.0 39 24 19.6 25 28 23.5 28 12 8.8 10 25 20.8 19
11-09-19 17 17.5 19 37 36.5 36 26 31.6 26 43 44.4 43 32 35.0 36 36 36.0 40 24 19.6 23 30 23.5 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 12 11 5 8 10 9 7 7 9 8 5 7 7 9
% Succ 61.5   84.6 92.3   84.6 41.7   66.7 83.3   75.0 63.6   63.6 81.8   72.7 50.0   70.0 70.0   90.0
Ave Error 2.6   2.1 1.9   2.4 3.4   3.0 1.9   2.9 2.8   3.0 2.7   2.5 3.9   2.4 2.4   1.9
Net Error -1.8   0.0 0.8   1.5 -2.4   -0.2 0.8   2.0 -1.7   0.5 1.6   1.3 -1.9   0.0 1.6   0.6
Std Dev 2.6   1.8 1.7   1.6 1.2   1.8 2.0   1.9 1.4   1.7 2.3   1.6 1.7   1.4 1.5   1.0

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 11-21-19 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-21-19 40   42 37   35 44   44 23   25 39   39 29   30 40   37 30   32
11-20-19 38 38.6 37 27 29.9 28 40   41 33   33 46   42 25   24 38   38 27   30
11-19-19 39 38.7 36 28 27.5 30 38 38.6 37 26 29.9 26 41   39 33   32 46   46 27   25
11-18-19 34 32.9 40 31 35.5 33 38 38.7 40 30 27.5 33 39 38.6 38 29 29.9 29 42   41 35   34
11-17-19 34 35.1 35 25 29.0 23 35 32.9 35 29 35.5 32 37 38.7 37 29 27.5 33 39 38.6 37 30 29.9 32
11-16-19 28 29.7 30 7 15.4 19 35 35.1 36 26 29.0 25 36 32.9 37 30 35.5 31 39 38.7 39 29 27.5 27
11-15-19 38 30.6 39 12 15.6 17 27 29.7 30 11 15.4 17 33 35.1 35 24 29.0 22 37 32.9 37 29 35.5 30
11-14-19 34 30.6 33 26 30.6 24 39 30.6 38 12 15.6 17 27 29.7 28 12 15.4 19 35 35.1 33 21 29.0 26
11-13-19 21 20.8 22 10 14.8 16 36 30.6 34 26 30.6 26 40 30.6 37 14 15.6 17 29 29.7 28 14 15.4 19
11-12-19 26 23.5 25 7 8.8 10 22 20.8 21 13 14.8 15 35 30.6 34 26 30.6 25 38 30.6 37 13 15.6 19
11-11-19 36 36.0 40 25 19.6 27 26 23.5 30 5 8.8 13 23 20.8 22 11 14.8 17 32 30.6 34 24 30.6 24
11-10-19 44 44.4 45 34 35.0 38 38 36.0 40 27 19.6 25 28 23.5 27 11 8.8 12 24 20.8 22 10 14.8 13
11-09-19 37 36.5 34 24 31.6 24 44 44.4 43 34 35.0 35 37 36.0 41 25 19.6 21 30 23.5 23 13 8.8 9
11-08-19 29 28.0 28 17 17.5 17 37 36.5 33 24 31.6 24 43 44.4 41 32 35.0 33 40 36.0 37 24 19.6 24
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 10 6 9 10 9 5 5 8 8 6 7 6 8 4 7
% Succ 92.3   76.9 46.2   69.2 83.3   75.0 41.7   41.7 72.7   72.7 54.5   63.6 60.0   80.0 40.0   70.0
Ave Error 1.6   2.5 3.8   3.5 2.2   2.7 4.2   3.5 3.0   2.8 3.4   3.4 2.8   2.2 4.0   3.1
Net Error 1.0   1.4 -2.9   -0.4 1.5   1.6 -2.5   -0.4 1.6   1.5 -1.7   -0.2 2.7   1.1 -2.0   -0.4
Std Dev 1.9   2.4 2.2   2.3 2.2   2.2 1.5   1.5 2.2   1.7 1.4   1.8 2.2   1.6 2.3   1.2

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 11-21-19 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-21-19 40   41 37   33 44   43 23   25 39   39 29   30 40   36 30   32
11-20-19 38 38.6 37 27 29.9 28 40   41 33   34 46   44 25   25 38   40 27   31
11-19-19 39 38.7 39 28 27.5 30 38 38.6 37 26 29.9 28 41   39 33   32 46   44 27   25
11-18-19 35 35.5 35 31 32.9 31 38 38.7 38 30 27.5 32 39 38.6 37 29 29.9 28 42   41 35   34
11-17-19 34 35.1 34 27 29.0 22 33 35.5 37 31 32.9 31 37 38.7 38 29 27.5 32 39 38.6 37 30 29.9 31
11-16-19 28 29.7 29 7 15.4 17 35 35.1 35 26 29.0 23 36 35.5 37 30 32.9 32 39 38.7 39 29 27.5 31
11-15-19 42 30.6 41 12 15.6 18 27 29.7 31 11 15.4 16 33 35.1 35 24 29.0 22 37 35.5 36 29 32.9 32
11-14-19 34 30.6 31 26 30.6 23 39 30.6 37 12 15.6 17 27 29.7 29 12 15.4 18 35 35.1 35 21 29.0 23
11-13-19 22 20.8 19 13 14.8 13 36 30.6 34 26 30.6 25 40 30.6 36 14 15.6 16 29 29.7 29 14 15.4 19
11-12-19 23 23.5 23 9 8.8 10 22 20.8 21 13 14.8 15 35 30.6 35 26 30.6 25 38 30.6 37 13 15.6 16
11-11-19 38 36.0 33 25 19.6 25 26 23.5 28 5 8.8 12 23 20.8 23 11 14.8 18 32 30.6 34 24 30.6 25
11-10-19 44 44.4 43 35 35.0 36 37 36.0 38 27 19.6 25 28 23.5 27 11 8.8 12 24 20.8 21 10 14.8 13
11-09-19 37 36.5 37 24 31.6 26 44 44.4 41 34 35.0 36 37 36.0 40 25 19.6 24 30 23.5 26 13 8.8 11
11-08-19 30 28.0 28 17 17.5 17 37 36.5 33 24 31.6 23 43 44.4 42 32 35.0 32 40 36.0 36 24 19.6 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 12 9 9 10 10 6 7 8 8 7 7 7 9 4 7
% Succ 92.3   92.3 69.2   69.2 83.3   83.3 50.0   58.3 72.7   72.7 63.6   63.6 70.0   90.0 40.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.0   1.7 3.0   3.1 2.2   2.4 3.8   3.4 2.8   2.4 3.1   3.3 2.6   1.6 3.8   3.1
Net Error 1.2   0.1 -2.1   -0.9 1.0   0.8 -2.1   -0.6 1.3   1.4 -1.5   0.0 2.4   1.1 -1.7   0.2
Std Dev 2.9   2.6 2.6   2.2 2.3   1.8 1.4   1.9 2.3   1.5 1.2   1.8 2.1   1.7 2.1   1.6

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 11-21-19 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-21-19 36   36 43   44 24   26 38   40 28   31 38   39 30   29 42   43
11-20-19 27 29.9 29 40 41.7 41 33   35 45   42 23   24 38   40 29   31 38   36
11-19-19 28 27.5 29 38 38.6 38 25 29.9 28 41 41.7 41 31   33 47   42 23   24 37   38
11-18-19 32 32.9 32 39 38.7 37 29 27.5 32 38 38.6 37 29 29.9 29 39 41.7 42 34   34 43   46
11-17-19 27 29.0 26 34 35.5 38 31 32.9 32 37 38.7 40 29 27.5 33 39 38.6 38 29 29.9 27 42 41.7 41
11-16-19 7 15.4 20 34 35.1 37 25 29.0 24 36 35.5 39 30 32.9 32 37 38.7 36 30 27.5 31 36 38.6 36
11-15-19 14 15.6 17 30 29.7 30 11 15.4 16 35 35.1 35 24 29.0 23 38 35.5 41 30 32.9 33 39 38.7 38
11-14-19 26 30.6 23 37 30.6 36 13 15.6 17 28 29.7 29 11 15.4 19 35 35.1 35 22 29.0 23 36 35.5 37
11-13-19 11 14.8 12 35 30.6 33 26 30.6 25 38 30.6 38 15 15.6 17 28 29.7 29 10 15.4 19 35 35.1 34
11-12-19 8 8.8 12 23 20.8 22 13 14.8 16 35 30.6 35 26 30.6 26 40 30.6 37 14 15.6 16 29 29.7 28
11-11-19 24 19.6 27 25 23.5 30 7 8.8 12 22 20.8 22 12 14.8 16 34 30.6 34 24 30.6 25 39 30.6 37
11-10-19 34 35.0 36 38 36.0 38 24 19.6 25 26 23.5 27 8 8.8 10 24 20.8 20 10 14.8 12 30 30.6 28
11-09-19 24 31.6 28 43 44.4 44 34 35.0 36 36 36.0 39 24 19.6 23 28 23.5 25 12 8.8 11 25 20.8 19
11-08-19 17 17.5 19 37 36.5 34 26 31.6 24 43 44.4 42 32 35.0 33 36 36.0 38 24 19.6 23 30 23.5 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 10 11 11 6 7 10 10 7 8 9 9 5 8 7 9
% Succ 61.5   76.9 84.6   84.6 50.0   58.3 83.3   83.3 63.6   72.7 81.8   81.8 50.0   80.0 70.0   90.0
Ave Error 3.0   3.0 1.8   2.2 3.2   3.2 1.9   2.5 2.8   2.8 2.7   2.2 3.9   3.1 2.4   2.1
Net Error -2.2   0.1 0.9   1.3 -2.2   -0.3 0.8   1.6 -1.7   0.2 1.6   1.3 -1.9   -0.4 1.6   -0.2
Std Dev 2.4   2.2 1.6   1.8 1.2   1.7 2.0   2.0 1.4   1.7 2.3   2.0 1.7   1.6 1.5   0.7

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.