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NY Extremes

============
for Friday,
September 23, 2022
============
High Temp
67° F at Jfk International Airport, NY
Low Temp
28° F at Saranac Lake Adirondack Regional Ap, NY
Precipitation
0.03 in at Saranac Lake Adirondack Regional Ap, NY
============

USA Extremes

============
High Temp
108° F at Charlie (stanford), MT
Low Temp
-35° F at Newport Municipal, OR
Precipitation
1.42 in at Winter Haven Gilbert Ap, FL
============
Data from
NWS CPC

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NWS Forecast
Sun, 25-Sep-2022 12:57
Rest Of
Tonight
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy		Sunday

Chance rain
Chance rain		Sunday
Night
Showers likely
Showers likely		Monday

Showers likely
Showers likely		Monday
Night
Showers likely
Showers likely		Tuesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy		Tuesday
Night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy		Wednesday

Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny		Wednesday
Night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Lo ≈45°FHi ≈65°FLo <55°FHi ≈65°FLo >45°FHi <65°FLo ≈45°FHi <65°FLo <45°F
 
OUR Forecast
2:00
Rest of
tonight
Fog
Fog		Sunday

Chance rain
Chance rain		Sunday
night
Rain likely
Rain likely		Monday

Chance rain
Chance rain		Monday
night
Fog late
Fog late		Tuesday

Chance rain
Chance rain		Tuesday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain		Wednesday

Chance rain
Chance rain		Wednesday
night
Fog
Fog
Low: 46°High: 63°Low: 56°High: 66°Low: 53°High: 61°Low: 49°High: 53°Low: 43°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 09-25-22 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-25-22 47   46 64   63 52   56 65   66 49   53 62   61 47   49 60   53
09-24-22 38 42.9 41 62 62.1 64 44   47 66   60 52   53 64   59 49   52 63   56
09-23-22 41 42.2 44 53 51.9 53 39 42.9 40 63 62.1 64 45   45 64   64 53   52 64   61
09-22-22 57 55.7 64 62 70.8 70 40 42.2 61 55 51.9 62 38 42.9 51 62 62.1 57 44   49 66   58
09-21-22 53 59.3 56 77 76.8 77 56 55.7 62 64 70.8 64 42 42.2 50 54 51.9 53 40 42.9 41 62 62.1 60
09-20-22 58 59.3 57 70 67.8 69 54 59.3 56 77 76.8 76 56 55.7 59 63 70.8 62 42 42.2 48 57 51.9 49
09-19-22 63 64.7 62 73 75.7 76 59 59.3 63 69 67.8 67 53 59.3 55 76 76.8 64 56 55.7 57 65 70.8 59
09-18-22 54 55.1 60 77 78.4 81 62 64.7 66 74 75.7 69 58 59.3 63 73 67.8 65 55 59.3 55 79 76.8 60
09-17-22 47 49.0 48 73 68.3 71 58 55.1 54 81 78.4 76 62 64.7 60 76 75.7 69 59 59.3 60 72 67.8 69
09-16-22 45 44.0 44 65 64.0 70 45 49.0 52 75 68.3 73 55 55.1 55 85 78.4 75 65 64.7 57 75 75.7 69
09-15-22 46 46.9 52 64 64.2 70 42 44.0 51 69 64.0 72 49 49.0 55 77 68.3 77 58 55.1 54 78 78.4 78
09-14-22 54 55.7 54 73 72.5 72 46 46.9 54 65 64.2 68 43 44.0 50 68 64.0 70 48 49.0 54 73 68.3 77
09-13-22 65 64.8 63 72 74.1 71 54 55.7 60 73 72.5 70 48 46.9 55 64 64.2 67 43 44.0 50 66 64.0 64
09-12-22 62 62.6 60 77 74.8 72 63 64.8 61 73 74.1 65 55 55.7 57 74 72.5 68 48 46.9 52 65 64.2 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 10 11 11 9 5 9 5 9 3 6 4 9 4 6 6
% Succ 84.6   76.9 84.6   84.6 75.0   41.7 75.0   41.7 81.8   27.3 54.5   36.4 90.0   40.0 60.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.9   2.9 2.1   2.2 2.3   5.2 2.6   4.8 1.7   4.9 3.4   5.7 1.4   3.9 2.6   5.1
Net Error -1.5   0.2 -0.3   1.1 -1.8   3.4 1.0   0.0 -1.4   3.2 1.8   -2.3 -0.5   0.9 1.2   -3.0
Std Dev 1.6   2.1 2.3   1.8 1.4   4.5 2.1   2.8 2.0   2.1 2.9   3.1 1.3   2.0 1.7   4.6

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 09-24-22 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-24-22 63   64 44   47 65   61 52   53 64   59 48   50 63   56 46   49
09-23-22 54 51.9 55 38 42.9 40 64   62 43   44 64   69 52   55 65   61 48   53
09-22-22 62 70.8 60 40 42.2 49 54 51.9 53 38 42.9 44 63   61 44   45 66   60 52   52
09-21-22 76 76.8 79 56 55.7 65 63 70.8 67 40 42.2 50 54 51.9 54 39 42.9 42 62   60 45   46
09-20-22 68 59.3 68 52 67.8 56 77 76.8 75 55 55.7 58 63 70.8 60 41 42.2 49 53 51.9 54 39 42.9 42
09-19-22 76 75.7 70 59 59.3 60 70 59.3 69 53 67.8 50 76 76.8 68 54 55.7 53 61 70.8 57 42 42.2 44
09-18-22 75 78.4 78 60 64.7 66 75 75.7 70 55 59.3 62 75 59.3 66 55 67.8 52 75 76.8 63 55 55.7 56
09-17-22 73 68.3 71 58 55.1 51 78 78.4 77 61 64.7 61 75 75.7 67 59 59.3 61 72 59.3 72 55 67.8 55
09-16-22 67 64.0 69 49 49.0 52 76 68.3 72 58 55.1 51 80 78.4 77 62 64.7 59 74 75.7 67 61 59.3 59
09-15-22 64 64.2 68 42 44.0 47 67 64.0 73 51 49.0 52 76 68.3 78 58 55.1 53 79 78.4 79 62 64.7 60
09-14-22 75 72.5 72 44 46.9 55 65 64.2 68 42 44.0 50 70 64.0 69 50 49.0 52 77 68.3 74 58 55.1 52
09-13-22 73 74.1 68 55 55.7 53 75 72.5 72 46 46.9 52 64 64.2 67 42 44.0 49 67 64.0 69 46 49.0 51
09-12-22 78 74.8 74 63 64.8 62 72 74.1 66 54 55.7 57 73 72.5 70 47 46.9 52 65 64.2 62 45 44.0 45
09-11-22 74 73.9 74 61 62.6 67 76 74.8 79 65 64.8 67 71 74.1 69 56 55.7 59 72 72.5 68 47 46.9 53
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 7 10 7 9 4 8 6 7 4 9 6 7 3 8 7
% Succ 76.9   53.8 76.9   53.8 75.0   33.3 66.7   50.0 63.6   36.4 81.8   54.5 70.0   30.0 80.0   70.0
Ave Error 3.0   3.8 3.1   4.7 3.3   4.4 3.4   4.8 4.2   5.8 2.6   4.7 4.1   6.9 2.9   3.3
Net Error 0.8   0.1 -2.6   0.9 1.4   0.9 -2.5   0.5 1.9   -1.0 -1.8   -0.2 1.3   -1.7 -1.8   -1.1
Std Dev 2.7   3.0 3.9   3.2 3.3   2.8 3.6   4.2 4.2   2.9 3.2   3.9 3.7   4.4 3.4   3.4

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 09-24-22 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-24-22 63   61 44   43 65   60 52   53 64   58 48   51 63   58 46   49
09-23-22 54 51.9 50 38 42.9 34 64   58 43   40 64   63 52   51 65   59 48   51
09-22-22 61 70.8 63 40 42.2 44 54 51.9 51 38 42.9 38 63   61 44   44 66   65 52   54
09-21-22 77 76.8 73 56 55.7 62 63 70.8 65 40 42.2 48 54 51.9 49 39 42.9 39 62   59 45   46
09-20-22 65 67.8 66 50 59.3 56 75 76.8 74 55 55.7 62 65 70.8 64 45 42.2 49 55 51.9 52 35 42.9 41
09-19-22 76 75.7 76 59 59.3 58 70 67.8 68 53 59.3 51 76 76.8 73 54 55.7 59 61 70.8 64 42 42.2 46
09-18-22 78 78.4 79 62 64.7 63 74 75.7 67 59 59.3 60 73 67.8 64 55 59.3 54 78 76.8 62 54 55.7 55
09-17-22 73 68.3 67 58 55.1 51 78 78.4 76 61 64.7 59 75 75.7 68 59 59.3 60 72 67.8 69 55 59.3 53
09-16-22 67 64.0 62 49 49.0 48 76 68.3 71 58 55.1 50 80 78.4 77 62 64.7 57 74 75.7 66 61 59.3 59
09-15-22 64 64.2 61 42 44.0 41 67 64.0 68 51 49.0 52 76 68.3 77 58 55.1 55 79 78.4 74 62 64.7 62
09-14-22 73 72.5 70 45 46.9 54 65 64.2 68 42 44.0 51 70 64.0 70 50 49.0 52 77 68.3 73 58 55.1 52
09-13-22 69 74.1 69 55 55.7 60 75 72.5 71 46 46.9 55 64 64.2 66 42 44.0 50 67 64.0 67 46 49.0 56
09-12-22 78 74.8 72 63 64.8 55 72 74.1 69 54 55.7 50 73 72.5 69 47 46.9 50 65 64.2 63 45 44.0 49
09-11-22 71 73.9 74 62 62.6 63 76 74.8 69 65 64.8 60 71 74.1 64 56 55.7 57 72 72.5 66 47 46.9 52
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 10 11 7 10 6 9 2 7 4 9 6 7 4 8 5
% Succ 76.9   76.9 84.6   53.8 83.3   50.0 75.0   16.7 63.6   36.4 81.8   54.5 70.0   40.0 80.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.7   2.6 2.3   4.1 2.8   3.6 2.3   5.5 3.1   5.1 2.0   3.7 3.4   5.2 2.6   3.6
Net Error -0.6   -2.4 -1.8   -1.0 0.5   -1.9 -1.5   -0.3 1.1   -2.1 -0.7   0.7 1.0   -3.4 -1.4   0.6
Std Dev 2.6   1.9 2.4   2.8 2.3   2.2 1.7   2.0 2.3   2.0 1.2   2.1 2.4   4.0 2.0   1.7

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 09-24-22 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-24-22 47   47 64   63 52   55 65   62 49   53 62   58 47   48 60   55
09-23-22 39 42.9 38 62 51.9 61 44   43 66   61 52   52 64   56 49   52 63   58
09-22-22 40 42.2 41 53 70.8 50 39 42.9 38 63 51.9 60 45   43 64   58 53   53 64   62
09-21-22 58 55.7 63 63 76.8 66 40 42.2 52 55 70.8 54 38 42.9 44 62 51.9 57 46   46 65   60
09-20-22 51 59.3 52 77 67.8 73 56 55.7 61 64 76.8 64 42 42.2 51 54 70.8 52 40 42.9 45 62 51.9 56
09-19-22 58 59.3 60 70 75.7 67 54 59.3 54 77 67.8 64 56 55.7 62 63 76.8 66 42 42.2 47 57 70.8 49
09-18-22 62 64.7 63 73 78.4 70 59 59.3 61 69 75.7 66 53 59.3 53 76 67.8 62 56 55.7 54 65 76.8 56
09-17-22 59 55.1 57 78 68.3 78 62 64.7 63 74 78.4 69 58 59.3 63 73 75.7 69 55 59.3 56 79 67.8 67
09-16-22 47 49.0 52 73 64.0 71 58 55.1 52 81 68.3 75 62 64.7 62 76 78.4 66 59 59.3 59 72 75.7 72
09-15-22 43 44.0 46 68 64.2 71 51 49.0 55 78 64.0 76 60 55.1 53 79 68.3 79 64 64.7 62 76 78.4 69
09-14-22 45 46.9 59 64 72.5 71 39 44.0 53 69 64.2 72 49 49.0 56 77 64.0 77 58 55.1 54 78 68.3 78
09-13-22 54 55.7 50 73 74.1 75 46 46.9 54 65 72.5 67 43 44.0 48 68 64.2 73 48 49.0 53 73 64.0 77
09-12-22 63 64.8 65 72 74.8 68 54 55.7 59 73 74.1 69 48 46.9 53 64 72.5 64 43 44.0 47 66 64.2 64
09-11-22 62 62.6 63 77 73.9 70 63 64.8 61 73 74.8 64 55 55.7 55 74 74.1 64 48 46.9 50 65 72.5 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 8 3 2 9 4 2 0 8 4 3 0 9 8 2 2
% Succ 76.9   61.5 23.1   15.4 75.0   33.3 16.7   0.0 72.7   36.4 27.3   0.0 90.0   80.0 20.0   20.0
Ave Error 2.6   3.7 7.7   7.7 2.4   5.1 8.5   9.0 2.1   4.4 8.2   10.1 1.5   2.6 8.1   9.1
Net Error -1.6   0.5 -0.8   -1.7 -1.6   2.0 0.1   -3.3 -1.0   2.3 0.1   -3.2 -0.6   0.8 0.3   -3.7
Std Dev 1.8   3.3 4.3   4.7 1.6   2.4 3.7   3.3 2.0   2.2 4.3   3.6 1.2   1.1 3.3   6.5

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.