NWS Forecast
Thu, 09-Jul-2020 10:03
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
Friday

Friday: Patchy Fog then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Patchy Fog then Showers And T-Storms Likely
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Saturday

Saturday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Sunday

Sunday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Monday

Monday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Lo 67 °FHi 84 °FLo 68 °FHi 83 °FLo 66 °FHi 81 °FLo 64 °FHi 81 °FLo 62 °F
 
OUR Forecast
22:00
Rest of
tonight
Fog
Fog
Friday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Friday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Saturday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Saturday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Sunday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Sunday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Monday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 71°High: 88°Low: 70°High: 86°Low: 69°High: 84°Low: 66°High: 80°Low: 68°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 07-09-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-09-20 66   67 90   91 67   68 86   85 67   70 84   85 65   68 81   82
07-08-20 67 62.7 62 86 85.9 85 65   64 89   82 66   67 85   86 67   69 82   87
07-06-20 59 62.7 62 86 83.2 85 61 62.7 64 85 85.9 83 66   67 88   85 66   69 90   88
07-05-20 59 60.5 59 85 85.6 84 61 62.7 62 83 83.2 86 59 62.7 61 86 85.9 85 65   67 89   86
07-04-20 62 64.7 65 84 85.5 85 58 60.5 61 85 85.6 83 61 62.7 62 87 83.2 83 62 62.7 62 89 85.9 84
07-03-20 65 71.1 70 82 82.1 83 61 64.7 65 83 85.5 84 58 60.5 62 85 85.6 83 61 62.7 64 86 83.2 86
07-02-20 58 63.3 62 86 87.0 84 64 71.1 67 83 82.1 82 61 64.7 65 81 85.5 83 59 60.5 62 84 85.6 83
06-30-20 59 61.9 62 75 75.4 77 59 63.3 61 78 87.0 78 57 71.1 62 85 82.1 84 63 64.7 65 83 85.5 79
06-29-20 60 66.1 62 76 80.6 78 57 61.9 63 76 75.4 75 55 63.3 61 77 87.0 77 59 71.1 63 84 82.1 81
06-28-20 61 59.2 61 80 78.9 81 59 66.1 63 80 80.6 79 57 61.9 64 76 75.4 77 59 63.3 62 77 87.0 78
06-26-20 59 61.9 57 78 79.3 80 59 59.2 60 75 78.9 77 62 66.1 67 79 80.6 79 58 61.9 62 81 75.4 82
06-25-20 54 53.6 54 78 79.4 79 55 61.9 59 79 79.3 79 58 59.2 59 81 78.9 73 64 66.1 65 77 80.6 79
06-24-20 71 63.8 66 79 77.5 77 54 53.6 56 79 79.4 77 54 61.9 58 80 79.3 79 57 59.2 59 80 78.9 78
06-23-20 66 63.6 62 85 88.6 81 66 63.8 62 79 77.5 81 57 53.6 63 78 79.4 83 56 61.9 65 77 79.3 82
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 11 12 12 6 11 10 11 4 8 8 9 6 9 8 7
% Succ 53.8   84.6 92.3   92.3 50.0   91.7 83.3   91.7 36.4   72.7 72.7   81.8 60.0   90.0 80.0   70.0
Ave Error 3.6   1.6 1.5   1.9 3.6   1.8 1.8   2.4 5.0   2.9 2.6   2.8 3.6   1.8 3.5   3.6
Net Error -1.2   -0.9 -0.7   -0.8 -3.1   -0.7 -1.3   -1.4 -4.4   -0.3 -0.7   -1.5 -3.6   -0.5 -0.6   -1.2
Std Dev 1.9   1.4 1.2   0.9 2.2   1.1 2.4   2.2 3.2   2.3 2.6   2.5 3.0   2.1 2.2   2.2

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 07-09-20 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-09-20 66   90 90   68 67   87 86   69 67   85 84   68 65   83 81   65
07-07-20 84 85.9 62 68 65.7 85 86   64 66   82 90   67 66   86 87   69 67   87
07-06-20 87 62.7 62 62 83.2 85 82 85.9 64 67 65.7 82 87   67 65   86 90   69 68   87
07-05-20 86 62.7 85 60 85.6 63 85 62.7 88 61 83.2 63 86 85.9 86 66 65.7 70 87   86 66   71
07-04-20 84 85.5 85 58 60.5 61 85 62.7 83 60 85.6 62 84 62.7 83 61 83.2 59 86 85.9 86 67 65.7 67
07-03-20 80 64.7 82 61 82.1 65 84 85.5 84 58 60.5 61 85 62.7 82 61 85.6 63 86 62.7 84 62 83.2 63
07-02-20 86 87.0 87 65 71.1 69 81 64.7 84 61 82.1 66 81 85.5 84 59 60.5 60 84 62.7 83 61 85.6 64
07-01-20 76 75.4 78 60 63.3 62 85 87.0 84 64 71.1 68 83 64.7 78 61 82.1 64 81 85.5 82 60 60.5 61
06-30-20 75 77.1 77 59 61.9 61 77 75.4 78 60 63.3 62 84 87.0 84 63 71.1 65 81 64.7 79 61 82.1 64
06-29-20 77 62.2 80 59 80.6 62 74 77.1 78 58 61.9 63 76 75.4 78 59 63.3 63 84 87.0 83 62 71.1 65
06-28-20 79 78.9 77 59 66.1 62 80 62.2 78 57 80.6 63 75 77.1 75 58 61.9 61 78 75.4 78 60 63.3 64
06-27-20 72 79.3 69 61 59.2 62 79 78.9 80 59 66.1 63 81 62.2 80 58 80.6 61 78 77.1 75 59 61.9 62
06-26-20 79 79.3 80 58 61.9 59 75 79.3 73 62 59.2 67 79 78.9 80 59 66.1 64 81 62.2 81 58 80.6 64
06-25-20 78 79.4 79 57 61.9 58 79 79.3 79 59 61.9 61 78 79.3 77 63 59.2 68 80 78.9 77 58 66.1 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 8 5 7 6 6 5 6 6 7 2 4 5 5 4 5
% Succ 61.5   61.5 38.5   53.8 50.0   50.0 41.7   50.0 54.5   63.6 18.2   36.4 50.0   50.0 40.0   50.0
Ave Error 7.2   7.6 9.6   7.5 8.0   9.9 10.3   9.3 8.4   7.6 10.9   9.8 9.2   8.9 11.5   8.8
Net Error 4.8   1.8 -8.9   -3.8 5.4   4.4 -9.6   -5.0 6.4   6.0 -10.1   -7.4 7.7   6.6 -11.2   -8.3
Std Dev 8.5   8.8 8.6   8.0 8.2   8.9 8.8   8.0 7.8   6.7 8.1   8.2 7.3   6.7 7.7   7.2

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 07-08-20 at 10:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-08-20 86   86 65   67 90   90 67   69 88   82 66   67 85   84 65   68
07-07-20 84 83.2 62 68 62.7 85 86   64 66   82 90   67 66   86 87   69 67   87
07-06-20 87 62.7 62 62 83.2 85 82 83.2 64 67 62.7 82 87   67 65   86 90   69 68   87
07-05-20 86 62.7 85 60 85.6 64 85 62.7 87 61 83.2 64 86 83.2 87 66 62.7 69 87   85 66   70
07-04-20 84 85.5 87 58 60.5 63 85 62.7 84 60 85.6 65 84 62.7 84 61 83.2 62 86 83.2 85 67 62.7 69
07-03-20 82 82.1 83 61 64.7 66 84 85.5 85 58 60.5 61 85 62.7 83 61 85.6 64 86 62.7 82 62 83.2 63
07-02-20 86 87.0 86 65 71.1 68 81 82.1 81 61 64.7 66 81 85.5 83 59 60.5 61 84 62.7 82 61 85.6 64
07-01-20 76 75.4 77 60 63.3 64 85 87.0 85 64 71.1 69 83 82.1 80 61 64.7 67 81 85.5 84 60 60.5 62
06-30-20 75 77.1 76 59 61.9 61 77 75.4 77 60 63.3 62 84 87.0 83 63 71.1 67 81 82.1 79 61 64.7 65
06-29-20 77 80.6 81 59 62.2 63 74 77.1 77 58 61.9 63 76 75.4 78 59 63.3 63 84 87.0 83 62 71.1 67
06-28-20 79 78.9 75 59 66.1 62 80 80.6 78 57 62.2 63 75 77.1 75 58 61.9 61 78 75.4 78 60 63.3 64
06-27-20 69 79.3 67 61 59.2 61 79 78.9 79 59 66.1 63 81 80.6 81 58 62.2 61 78 77.1 77 59 61.9 61
06-26-20 80 79.3 79 59 61.9 59 75 79.3 72 62 59.2 64 79 78.9 79 59 66.1 64 81 80.6 79 58 62.2 63
06-25-20 79 79.4 79 57 61.9 58 79 79.3 79 59 61.9 61 78 79.3 78 63 59.2 67 80 78.9 79 58 66.1 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 9 6 9 9 8 4 8 8 7 2 6 7 7 3 5
% Succ 76.9   69.2 46.2   69.2 75.0   66.7 33.3   66.7 72.7   63.6 18.2   54.5 70.0   70.0 30.0   50.0
Ave Error 5.3   5.2 7.0   5.2 5.0   6.7 7.6   6.3 5.4   5.5 7.9   6.2 6.1   5.3 8.2   6.1
Net Error 2.4   -1.1 -5.9   -0.4 2.7   1.2 -6.4   -1.6 3.4   3.3 -6.6   -3.1 4.4   3.3 -7.3   -4.1
Std Dev 8.2   7.6 7.2   7.2 7.7   8.7 7.2   7.7 7.4   6.8 7.3   7.2 7.6   6.5 7.3   7.1

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 07-09-20 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-09-20 67   73 84   88 68   70 83   85 66   69 81   83 64   66 81   80
07-08-20 66 65.7 68 90 89.3 90 67   69 86   83 67   67 84   83 65   67 81   81
07-07-20 84 62.7 62 68 85.9 85 86 65.7 64 66 89.3 82 90   67 66   86 87   69 67   87
07-06-20 87 62.7 62 62 83.2 85 82 62.7 64 67 85.9 82 86 65.7 67 66 89.3 86 89   69 66   87
07-05-20 59 62.7 64 86 83.2 86 61 62.7 63 85 83.2 84 66 62.7 67 88 85.9 85 66 65.7 68 90 89.3 88
07-04-20 85 60.5 63 58 85.6 84 85 62.7 64 61 83.2 85 83 62.7 63 59 83.2 83 86 62.7 68 65 85.9 88
07-03-20 62 64.7 65 84 85.5 85 58 60.5 61 85 85.6 83 61 62.7 62 87 83.2 82 62 62.7 62 89 83.2 84
07-02-20 65 71.1 69 82 82.1 81 61 64.7 65 83 85.5 83 58 60.5 60 85 85.6 82 61 62.7 63 86 83.2 84
07-01-20 59 63.3 61 86 87.0 84 64 71.1 67 83 82.1 81 61 64.7 66 81 85.5 83 59 60.5 63 84 85.6 81
06-30-20 59 61.9 59 77 75.4 77 58 63.3 61 85 87.0 84 63 71.1 66 83 82.1 81 61 64.7 64 82 85.5 80
06-29-20 59 62.2 60 77 77.1 75 57 61.9 61 78 75.4 78 57 63.3 63 85 87.0 85 63 71.1 66 83 82.1 81
06-28-20 60 66.1 62 76 80.6 78 57 62.2 64 76 77.1 75 55 61.9 61 77 75.4 77 59 63.3 63 84 87.0 81
06-27-20 61 59.2 62 80 78.9 79 59 66.1 63 80 80.6 79 57 62.2 62 76 77.1 77 59 61.9 63 77 75.4 77
06-26-20 57 61.9 59 76 79.3 70 63 59.2 62 83 78.9 79 57 66.1 63 81 80.6 83 59 62.2 61 79 77.1 80
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 12 9 12 2 11 8 10 3 9 7 11 6 8 8 7
% Succ 38.5   92.3 69.2   92.3 16.7   91.7 66.7   83.3 27.3   81.8 63.6   100.0 60.0   80.0 80.0   70.0
Ave Error 8.2   2.1 6.4   2.2 8.6   1.7 6.7   2.5 7.9   1.6 5.9   1.7 5.0   2.0 4.3   2.7
Net Error 2.9   -0.7 -5.5   -1.1 2.4   -0.3 -5.2   -1.6 0.0   -0.3 -4.3   -1.0 -0.3   0.3 -1.5   -1.0
Std Dev 8.4   1.0 8.9   1.0 7.0   1.0 8.4   1.6 6.2   1.5 8.1   1.0 6.3   1.3 5.5   1.4

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.