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NY Extremes

============
for Wednesday,
December 6, 2023
============
High Temp
43° F at Ny City Central Park, NY
Low Temp
10° F at Saranac Lake Adirondack Regional Ap, NY
Precipitation
0.07 in at Dansville, NY
============

USA Extremes

============
High Temp
87° F at San Juan L M Marin Intl Ap, PR
Low Temp
-8° F at Presque Isle Awos, ME
Precipitation
2.15 in at Salem Ap (mcnary Field), OR
============
Data from
NWS CPC

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NWS Forecast
Fri, 08-Dec-2023 6:21
Today

Today: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain And Snow
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain And Snow
Sunday

Sunday: Rain And Snow
Rain And Snow
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Rain then Rain Showers
Rain then Rain Showers
Monday

Monday: Rain And Snow Likely
Rain And Snow Likely
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Light Snow then Chance Snow Showers
Chance Light Snow then Chance Snow Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: Slight Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Sunny
Slight Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Sunny
Hi 40 °FLo 29 °FHi 43 °FLo 36 °FHi 52 °FLo 34 °FHi 35 °FLo 25 °FHi 39 °F
 
OUR Forecast
4:00
Today

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.		Tonight

Fog
Fog		Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy		Saturday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain		Sunday

Rain likely
Rain likely		Sunday
night
Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow		Monday

Rain and Snow Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!		Monday
night
Snow
Snow		Tuesday

Fog a.m. Cold!
Fog a.m.
Cold!
High: 40°Low: 31° High: 45°Low: 39°High: 52°Low: 34°High: 37° Low: 27°High: 37°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 12-07-23 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-07-23 32   33 27   29 40   42 29   31 44   47 38   37 51   54 31   34
12-06-23 32 32.5 34 21 21.5 22 34   34 29   30 44   42 32   33 48   45 37   32
12-05-23 33 33.6 36 27 29.7 30 32 32.5 34 20 21.5 24 35   34 29   31 44   45 34   34
12-04-23 42 42.5 43 29 31.0 31 36 33.6 36 27 29.7 29 32 32.5 33 19 21.5 21 34   32 28   29
12-03-23 42 42.0 41 39 38.5 39 41 42.5 42 31 31.0 31 35 33.6 35 28 29.7 29 34 32.5 34 22 21.5 24
12-02-23 46 48.1 45 39 37.2 40 43 42.0 42 38 38.5 40 41 42.5 44 30 31.0 31 36 33.6 36 27 29.7 30
12-01-23 47 50.7 49 35 38.1 41 48 48.1 49 36 37.2 43 44 42.0 46 36 38.5 36 40 42.5 41 28 31.0 35
11-28-23 31 46.2 31 21 38.1 22 32 50.7 31 25 38.1 25 43 48.1 41 34 37.2 32 43 42.0 40 32 38.5 35
11-27-23 41 41.9 43 24 25.2 26 31 46.2 31 21 38.1 21 33 50.7 31 26 38.1 27 41 48.1 42 31 37.2 30
11-26-23 42 37.7 40 34 34.6 33 41 41.9 39 24 25.2 25 31 46.2 29 20 38.1 19 33 50.7 31 27 38.1 28
11-25-23 37 41.1 35 25 24.6 25 42 37.7 41 34 34.6 34 41 41.9 40 25 25.2 26 31 46.2 30 19 38.1 20
11-24-23 35 41.1 36 22 20.2 22 36 41.1 38 23 24.6 27 43 37.7 43 33 34.6 35 42 41.9 40 27 25.2 26
11-23-23 44 43.6 43 30 33.3 30 35 41.1 34 20 20.2 23 36 41.1 37 24 24.6 28 42 37.7 43 33 34.6 35
11-22-23 42 42.5 38 34 35.4 35 44 43.6 42 31 33.3 32 36 41.1 34 19 20.2 19 34 41.1 32 23 24.6 26
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 9 12 12 7 9 10 9 5 4 9 8 5 5 6 6
% Succ 61.5   69.2 92.3   92.3 58.3   75.0 83.3   75.0 45.5   36.4 81.8   72.7 50.0   50.0 60.0   60.0
Ave Error 3.0   3.5 2.8   2.4 4.7   4.9 3.5   4.0 5.4   6.3 4.1   4.1 5.9   6.6 5.4   4.8
Net Error -2.3   -2.3 -2.1   -0.9 -3.3   -3.5 -3.5   -1.5 -3.9   -4.0 -4.1   -3.2 -4.0   -4.7 -5.0   -3.0
Std Dev 3.9   3.8 4.2   4.1 5.7   5.9 5.2   5.2 5.5   6.1 5.2   5.5 4.6   5.1 2.7   2.5

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 12-07-23 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-07-23 30   30 27   27 40   40 29   31 44   45 38   36 51   52 31   34
12-06-23 31 32.5 31 23 21.5 19 34   33 29   29 44   42 32   33 48   45 37   36
12-05-23 35 33.6 34 25 29.7 28 35 32.5 32 18 21.5 21 35   34 25   30 25   44 35   34
12-04-23 45 42.5 42 25 31.0 30 35 33.6 36 25 29.7 28 35 32.5 33 20 21.5 21 35   33 25   29
12-03-23 42 42.0 40 39 38.5 38 41 42.5 42 31 31.0 31 35 33.6 35 28 29.7 29 34 32.5 35 22 21.5 24
12-02-23 47 48.1 47 39 37.2 40 43 42.0 43 38 38.5 41 41 42.5 44 30 31.0 31 36 33.6 35 27 29.7 29
12-01-23 47 50.7 52 35 38.1 41 48 48.1 47 36 37.2 42 44 42.0 46 36 38.5 36 40 42.5 41 28 31.0 35
11-28-23 31 46.2 32 21 38.1 19 32 50.7 30 25 38.1 23 43 48.1 40 34 37.2 31 43 42.0 39 32 38.5 35
11-27-23 40 41.9 40 24 25.2 24 31 46.2 30 21 38.1 19 33 50.7 30 26 38.1 25 42 48.1 41 32 37.2 29
11-26-23 41 37.7 39 34 34.6 34 41 41.9 39 24 25.2 25 31 46.2 30 20 38.1 20 33 50.7 31 27 38.1 28
11-25-23 36 41.1 35 25 24.6 26 42 37.7 40 34 34.6 35 41 41.9 40 25 25.2 25 31 46.2 30 19 38.1 20
11-24-23 35 41.1 31 22 20.2 19 36 41.1 36 23 24.6 25 43 37.7 42 33 34.6 34 42 41.9 40 27 25.2 27
11-23-23 44 43.6 44 30 33.3 30 35 41.1 34 20 20.2 23 36 41.1 38 24 24.6 28 42 37.7 44 33 34.6 34
11-22-23 43 42.5 40 34 35.4 35 44 43.6 43 31 33.3 31 36 41.1 32 19 20.2 20 34 41.1 35 23 24.6 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 10 10 12 7 8 9 9 5 5 9 8 5 5 6 6
% Succ 69.2   76.9 76.9   92.3 58.3   66.7 75.0   75.0 45.5   45.5 81.8   72.7 50.0   50.0 60.0   60.0
Ave Error 3.3   3.3 3.3   3.0 4.8   5.0 3.8   4.2 5.6   6.4 4.0   4.1 5.8   6.6 5.3   5.2
Net Error -2.0   -2.8 -2.4   -1.9 -3.2   -4.1 -3.8   -2.3 -3.6   -4.3 -4.0   -3.5 -3.9   -4.5 -4.9   -3.1
Std Dev 3.8   4.1 4.3   4.7 5.6   6.2 5.1   6.0 5.4   6.1 5.2   5.6 4.5   5.0 2.7   2.5

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 12-07-23 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-07-23 25   27 35   39 25   30 45   45 35   37 55   52 35   35 35   37
12-06-23 23 21.5 23 35 27.9 34 29   30 43   42 32   31 48   47 37   36 54   56
12-05-23 27 29.7 29 33 32.5 34 21 21.5 23 35 27.9 34 30   32 45   44 33   35 48   45
12-04-23 30 31.0 29 35 33.6 35 27 29.7 28 33 32.5 32 20 21.5 20 34 27.9 33 29   29 43   43
12-03-23 39 38.5 38 41 42.5 42 31 31.0 30 36 33.6 35 28 29.7 28 33 32.5 34 20 21.5 22 34 27.9 33
12-02-23 35 37.2 40 45 42.0 43 35 38.5 40 45 42.5 44 30 31.0 30 35 33.6 35 25 29.7 29 35 32.5 35
12-01-23 36 38.1 38 48 48.1 47 38 37.2 41 44 42.0 45 36 38.5 38 41 42.5 42 30 31.0 33 36 33.6 37
11-30-23 35 38.1 36 45 50.7 45 35 38.1 39 46 48.1 48 38 37.2 41 46 42.0 46 35 38.5 40 40 42.5 41
11-28-23 19 25.2 20 33 46.2 30 24 38.1 24 43 50.7 41 34 38.1 31 43 48.1 40 32 37.2 35 40 42.0 40
11-27-23 23 25.2 25 29 31.3 31 21 25.2 21 31 46.2 30 25 38.1 26 42 50.7 41 32 38.1 32 43 48.1 40
11-26-23 35 34.6 34 40 41.9 40 24 25.2 25 31 31.3 30 20 25.2 20 33 46.2 30 26 38.1 26 41 50.7 40
11-25-23 25 24.6 28 42 37.7 42 34 34.6 35 40 41.9 41 25 25.2 26 32 31.3 30 22 25.2 18 31 46.2 32
11-24-23 20 20.2 20 39 41.1 37 26 24.6 25 43 37.7 41 35 34.6 34 39 41.9 40 27 25.2 26 34 31.3 29
11-23-23 31 33.3 30 35 41.1 35 21 20.2 23 36 41.1 38 24 24.6 28 43 37.7 43 34 34.6 33 40 41.9 42
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 12 8 7 10 9 7 9 8 7 5 5 6 7 6 6
% Succ 92.3   92.3 61.5   53.8 83.3   75.0 58.3   75.0 72.7   63.6 45.5   45.5 60.0   70.0 60.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.9   1.7 3.8   3.9 2.7   2.7 4.3   3.9 2.8   3.4 4.5   5.0 4.0   3.5 5.0   5.0
Net Error -1.5   -0.6 -1.3   -1.7 -2.2   -0.8 -1.0   -1.4 -2.6   -2.0 -1.2   -1.9 -3.6   -2.5 -2.3   -2.8
Std Dev 1.5   1.5 3.4   4.1 3.6   3.6 4.0   4.5 3.3   3.2 3.5   4.3 1.5   1.8 1.7   2.0

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.