NWS Forecast
Mon, 30-Mar-2020 3:51
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Rain Showers Likely then Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Rain Showers Likely then Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday

Wednesday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Lo 42 °FHi 47 °FLo 34 °FHi 45 °FLo 32 °FHi 47 °FLo 31 °FHi 46 °FLo 36 °F
 
OUR Forecast
4:00
Today

Rain likely
Rain likely
Tonight

Chance rain
Chance rain
Tuesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Tuesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Wednesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Thursday

Overcast
Overcast
Thursday
night
Cloudy
Cloudy
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 49°Low: 40°High: 46°Low: 31°High: 41°Low: 30°High: 33°Low: 29°High: 47°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 03-30-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-30-20 42   41 46   50 34   41 44   47 31   31 48   42 31   30 50   34
03-29-20 39 28.4 39 53 49.9 47 41   41 49   51 36   39 46   40 35   32 47   39
03-28-20 28 28.4 28 51 42.4 50 40 28.4 41 50 49.9 53 42   44 49   52 38   41 48   45
03-27-20 37 36.2 43 51 51.0 56 30 28.4 32 50 42.4 52 39 28.4 42 52 49.9 48 41   43 48   46
03-26-20 26 27.6 28 53 60.2 64 36 36.2 30 49 51.0 32 28 28.4 -9 52 42.4 -1 39 28.4 -19 52 49.9 -9
03-25-20 25 28.8 30 45 39.3 41 25 27.6 31 55 60.2 52 35 36.2 41 55 51.0 48 25 28.4 33 45 42.4 53
03-24-20 28 28.4 28 43 37.1 42 31 28.8 30 40 39.3 44 31 27.6 32 51 60.2 51 37 36.2 31 50 51.0 50
03-23-20 28 27.3 27 36 32.0 40 30 28.4 34 45 37.1 45 31 28.8 33 38 39.3 42 33 27.6 35 49 60.2 50
03-22-20 12 17.1 22 38 36.6 41 23 27.3 30 37 32.0 41 30 28.4 35 46 37.1 48 32 28.8 38 43 39.3 44
03-21-20 26 26.1 27 38 38.1 40 14 17.1 23 38 36.6 41 22 27.3 28 35 32.0 40 31 28.4 36 45 37.1 44
03-17-20 33 32.3 35 44 67.1 46 27 26.1 29 47 38.1 46 35 17.1 33 46 36.6 38 43 27.3 36 68 32.0 59
03-16-20 13 20.2 20 43 42.4 45 33 32.3 36 48 67.1 45 26 26.1 30 43 38.1 47 31 17.1 34 48 36.6 40
03-15-20 25 29.3 28 40 40.5 41 12 20.2 24 45 42.4 44 35 32.3 33 49 67.1 45 25 26.1 29 39 38.1 42
03-14-20 32 33.8 30 42 37.8 42 23 29.3 27 39 40.5 41 13 20.2 24 44 42.4 45 32 32.3 34 48 67.1 47
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 9 6 5 8 6 6 3 7 2 4 5 6 2 4 2
% Succ 61.5   69.2 46.2   38.5 66.7   50.0 50.0   25.0 63.6   18.2 36.4   45.5 60.0   20.0 40.0   20.0
Ave Error 2.9   2.6 5.0   5.3 3.6   4.5 5.2   8.2 4.8   8.7 6.6   10.4 5.7   11.2 9.6   14.7
Net Error -0.9   1.6 0.2   1.6 -0.5   3.1 0.5   0.0 2.2   1.9 1.4   -4.1 4.7   0.6 3.3   -3.4
Std Dev 3.1   3.0 5.9   5.0 2.9   2.8 4.9   5.5 4.8   9.6 3.0   11.1 2.6   11.9 4.7   15.3

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 03-29-20 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-29-20 51   50 41   43 49   53 36   40 45   41 33   33 48   41 31   33
03-28-20 49 42.4 52 41 28.4 44 50   57 41   44 49   49 38   40 47   43 34   36
03-27-20 51 51.0 57 30 28.4 34 50 42.4 57 39 28.4 44 52   50 41   46 48   50 35   35
03-26-20 54 60.2 64 37 36.2 48 52 51.0 55 27 28.4 20 49 42.4 26 39 28.4 4 54   12 39   -16
03-25-20 42 39.3 42 28 27.6 31 53 60.2 53 36 36.2 42 49 51.0 51 27 28.4 32 50 42.4 52 37 28.4 42
03-24-20 43 37.1 43 28 28.8 31 42 39.3 44 29 27.6 32 52 60.2 48 35 36.2 32 51 51.0 49 30 28.4 30
03-23-20 36 32.0 41 31 28.4 33 46 37.1 46 29 28.8 32 38 39.3 41 32 27.6 35 49 60.2 50 35 36.2 41
03-22-20 37 36.6 41 22 27.3 30 38 32.0 41 31 28.4 35 45 37.1 48 32 28.8 38 38 39.3 44 34 27.6 38
03-21-20 38 17.1 40 14 38.1 22 38 36.6 41 23 27.3 28 35 32.0 43 30 28.4 34 45 37.1 49 32 28.8 39
03-17-20 46 67.1 47 26 26.1 28 47 17.1 46 34 38.1 34 46 36.6 41 43 27.3 39 68 32.0 61 27 28.4 25
03-16-20 43 42.4 42 32 32.3 33 47 67.1 45 27 26.1 30 45 17.1 47 34 38.1 34 44 36.6 41 43 27.3 39
03-15-20 39 40.5 42 11 20.2 25 45 42.4 44 33 32.3 34 49 67.1 43 26 26.1 29 40 17.1 43 27 38.1 33
03-14-20 44 37.8 43 22 29.3 27 40 40.5 41 12 20.2 24 45 42.4 45 32 32.3 33 48 67.1 49 27 26.1 25
03-13-20 56 55.0 54 30 33.8 31 41 37.8 42 22 29.3 26 39 40.5 39 13 20.2 24 44 42.4 45 30 32.3 34
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 4 7 7 6 2 7 4 5 4 6 3 3 2 6 4
% Succ 46.2   30.8 53.8   53.8 50.0   16.7 58.3   33.3 45.5   36.4 54.5   27.3 30.0   20.0 60.0   40.0
Ave Error 5.9   7.1 5.3   5.7 7.6   9.2 3.5   5.1 8.0   10.4 4.5   7.1 11.5   11.8 5.2   6.4
Net Error 1.5   3.8 -2.5   2.5 3.0   4.3 -0.8   2.5 2.4   0.6 1.9   1.1 5.2   5.8 2.0   4.4
Std Dev 6.7   6.5 6.6   5.0 8.1   7.7 2.8   3.7 6.8   7.6 4.2   5.7 9.3   6.7 2.5   3.4

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 03-29-20 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-29-20 51   50 41   44 49   49 36   39 45   43 33   32 48   47 31   34
03-28-20 47 42.4 44 41 28.4 37 50   56 41   47 49   51 38   43 47   45 34   35
03-27-20 55 51.0 48 25 28.4 27 50 42.4 48 35 28.4 39 50   47 45   43 45   50 35   36
03-26-20 55 60.2 59 37 36.2 46 52 51.0 53 27 28.4 20 49 42.4 25 39 28.4 2 54   13 39   -16
03-25-20 41 39.3 41 28 27.6 30 53 60.2 54 36 36.2 41 49 51.0 48 27 28.4 34 50 42.4 51 37 28.4 42
03-24-20 43 37.1 39 28 28.8 30 42 39.3 42 29 27.6 31 52 60.2 51 35 36.2 38 51 51.0 51 30 28.4 31
03-23-20 34 32.0 35 31 28.4 30 46 37.1 44 29 28.8 32 38 39.3 40 32 27.6 35 49 60.2 50 35 36.2 41
03-22-20 37 36.6 36 22 27.3 26 38 32.0 40 31 28.4 35 45 37.1 46 32 28.8 35 38 39.3 43 34 27.6 36
03-21-20 38 38.1 37 14 17.1 20 38 36.6 41 23 27.3 29 35 32.0 43 30 28.4 36 45 37.1 48 32 28.8 38
03-17-20 45 67.1 46 26 26.1 28 47 38.1 46 34 17.1 33 46 36.6 41 43 27.3 39 68 32.0 61 27 28.4 24
03-16-20 43 42.4 41 32 32.3 30 47 67.1 45 27 26.1 28 45 38.1 46 34 17.1 33 44 36.6 40 43 27.3 38
03-15-20 39 40.5 40 11 20.2 23 45 42.4 45 33 32.3 35 49 67.1 45 26 26.1 30 40 38.1 45 27 17.1 33
03-14-20 45 37.8 39 22 29.3 27 40 40.5 40 12 20.2 24 45 42.4 45 32 32.3 34 48 67.1 47 27 26.1 26
03-13-20 56 55.0 51 30 33.8 33 41 37.8 45 22 29.3 27 39 40.5 41 13 20.2 23 44 42.4 45 30 32.3 32
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 11 8 11 6 4 7 6 5 4 6 3 4 3 6 3
% Succ 53.8   84.6 61.5   84.6 50.0   33.3 58.3   50.0 45.5   36.4 54.5   27.3 40.0   30.0 60.0   30.0
Ave Error 4.3   3.3 3.8   3.0 5.8   6.3 4.2   5.4 6.1   8.0 5.7   8.3 9.4   9.5 5.1   7.0
Net Error -0.1   -1.8 -1.3   1.8 1.2   1.5 0.7   3.7 0.5   -1.4 3.8   3.5 3.1   3.5 4.1   6.0
Std Dev 5.5   5.2 3.7   2.6 4.9   5.0 4.5   4.0 2.5   4.2 5.3   6.4 9.3   7.1 2.4   2.9

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 03-29-20 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-29-20 40   42 46   47 34   38 45   44 31   32 48   42 31   33 50   41
03-28-20 41 28.4 39 53 49.9 51 41   46 49   53 36   41 46   42 35   35 47   40
03-27-20 28 28.4 29 51 42.4 49 40 28.4 40 50 49.9 47 42   43 49   51 38   41 48   44
03-26-20 37 36.2 41 51 51.0 50 30 28.4 30 50 42.4 47 39 28.4 40 52 49.9 52 41   45 48   47
03-25-20 28 27.6 30 53 60.2 55 36 36.2 42 49 51.0 50 28 28.4 36 52 42.4 51 39 28.4 41 52 49.9 60
03-24-20 28 28.8 29 42 39.3 40 29 27.6 32 52 60.2 51 35 36.2 40 51 51.0 49 30 28.4 31 45 42.4 54
03-23-20 30 28.4 27 45 37.1 41 31 28.8 31 40 39.3 42 31 27.6 34 51 60.2 50 37 36.2 37 50 51.0 46
03-22-20 29 27.3 28 36 32.0 41 30 28.4 34 45 37.1 47 31 28.8 34 38 39.3 42 33 27.6 35 49 60.2 50
03-21-20 13 17.1 22 38 36.6 41 23 27.3 30 37 32.0 41 30 28.4 36 46 37.1 47 32 28.8 38 43 39.3 44
03-20-20 26 26.1 26 38 38.1 39 14 17.1 23 38 36.6 40 22 27.3 28 35 32.0 39 31 28.4 35 45 37.1 46
03-16-20 34 32.3 32 44 67.1 43 27 26.1 29 47 38.1 46 35 17.1 34 46 36.6 40 43 27.3 38 68 32.0 64
03-15-20 13 20.2 23 43 42.4 45 33 32.3 35 48 67.1 44 26 26.1 30 43 38.1 47 31 17.1 34 48 36.6 42
03-14-20 23 29.3 27 40 40.5 39 12 20.2 23 45 42.4 45 35 32.3 34 49 67.1 46 25 26.1 28 39 38.1 40
03-13-20 31 33.8 30 42 37.8 43 23 29.3 29 39 40.5 41 13 20.2 24 44 42.4 45 32 32.3 33 48 67.1 47
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 9 7 6 8 7 6 6 7 2 5 5 6 4 4 1
% Succ 69.2   69.2 53.8   46.2 66.7   58.3 50.0   50.0 63.6   18.2 45.5   45.5 60.0   40.0 40.0   10.0
Ave Error 3.1   2.7 4.9   5.1 3.5   4.0 5.4   6.4 4.8   6.3 6.2   7.1 5.5   6.9 9.6   11.0
Net Error -0.2   1.5 0.1   0.2 -0.2   4.0 0.3   0.4 2.2   6.3 1.0   1.1 5.2   6.9 3.3   3.9
Std Dev 3.5   2.8 6.0   6.0 3.0   2.6 5.0   5.6 4.8   4.1 3.4   3.1 2.8   3.1 4.7   2.9

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.