NWS Forecast
Sun, 28-May-2017 6:38
Today

Today: Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Tonight

Tonight: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms
Memorial
Day
Memorial Day: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Hi 71 °FLo 56 °FHi 68 °FLo 53 °FHi 72 °FLo 52 °FHi 68 °FLo 49 °FHi 65 °F
 
OUR Forecast
7:00
Today

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Tonight

Rain likely
Rain likely
Monday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Monday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Tuesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Tuesday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Wednesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Wednesday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Thursday

Chance rain
Chance rain
High: 75°Low: 57°High: 68°Low: 55°High: 71°Low: 50°High: 67°Low: 49°High: 63°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

1am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 05-28-17 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-28-17 48   52 72   74 53   55 66   69 52   55 73   71 52   50 68   68
05-27-17 48 49.9 52 69 68.4 70 49   48 73   74 53   54 69   62 52   53 71   72
05-26-17 51 50.0 51 58 62.7 62 48 49.9 48 70 68.4 71 51   54 71   69 55   53 71   63
05-25-17 52 53.1 54 61 54.3 57 51 50.0 52 63 62.7 65 48 49.9 50 71 68.4 73 53   51 72   69
05-24-17 47 47.7 51 73 71.6 70 53 53.1 53 62 54.3 60 52 50.0 54 63 62.7 65 50 49.9 52 71 68.4 70
05-23-17 46 44.4 44 71 71.2 71 49 47.7 50 74 71.6 75 55 53.1 53 65 54.3 58 53 50.0 53 64 62.7 60
05-22-17 50 46.4 47 61 55.4 60 48 44.4 46 71 71.2 68 50 47.7 46 70 71.6 74 55 53.1 55 69 54.3 64
05-21-17 41 42.0 45 69 67.5 71 48 46.4 47 61 55.4 62 47 44.4 45 72 71.2 72 50 47.7 49 69 71.6 74
05-20-17 43 45.5 43 66 65.3 66 43 42.0 43 67 67.5 69 51 46.4 48 63 55.4 63 47 44.4 47 71 71.2 70
05-19-17 58 63.7 63 67 72.3 66 39 45.5 42 67 65.3 68 45 42.0 44 69 67.5 68 53 46.4 51 66 55.4 62
05-18-17 64 62.4 66 89 87.1 85 61 63.7 64 67 72.3 65 40 45.5 41 68 65.3 69 46 42.0 47 71 67.5 71
05-17-17 52 52.9 53 84 85.8 83 64 62.4 63 88 87.1 84 62 63.7 64 69 72.3 66 45 45.5 43 67 65.3 69
05-16-17 45 46.8 46 70 71.2 70 53 52.9 52 84 85.8 81 64 62.4 61 87 87.1 84 60 63.7 63 71 72.3 67
05-15-17 44 46.6 46 58 59.0 55 45 46.8 44 70 71.2 68 52 52.9 50 83 85.8 82 62 62.4 61 82 87.1 84
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 13 9 10 11 12 9 8 9 9 9 5 7 8 7 6
% Succ 92.3   100.0 69.2   76.9 91.7   100.0 75.0   66.7 81.8   81.8 81.8   45.5 70.0   80.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.0   1.5 2.5   2.5 1.9   1.5 2.4   3.9 2.5   1.7 3.1   3.5 2.5   2.5 4.4   4.0
Net Error -0.8   0.7 0.3   -0.4 -0.2   -0.1 0.9   0.3 0.7   -0.2 1.7   1.1 1.6   1.6 2.5   1.5
Std Dev 1.4   1.2 2.2   1.8 1.8   1.1 2.5   2.3 1.8   1.6 3.4   2.6 2.2   1.8 5.0   3.5

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 05-28-17 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-28-17 71   75 56   57 68   68 53   55 72   71 52   50 68   67 49   49
05-27-17 66 68.4 69 49 52.0 50 72   75 54   54 67   67 52   54 72   73 52   53
05-26-17 61 62.7 59 47 49.9 49 68 68.4 69 51 52.0 53 72   68 54   53 69   63 54   54
05-25-17 55 54.3 58 50 50.0 51 59 62.7 61 48 49.9 49 69 68.4 70 52 52.0 47 70   74 55   59
05-24-17 74 71.6 73 52 53.1 53 60 54.3 59 51 50.0 52 62 62.7 63 48 49.9 50 72 68.4 72 53 52.0 54
05-23-17 71 71.2 70 50 47.7 49 74 71.6 76 54 53.1 51 64 54.3 60 52 50.0 51 64 62.7 63 53 49.9 51
05-22-17 63 55.4 61 47 44.4 44 71 71.2 67 50 47.7 46 72 71.6 75 54 53.1 52 68 54.3 62 53 50.0 55
05-21-17 68 67.5 71 49 46.4 48 61 55.4 59 47 44.4 45 72 71.2 71 50 47.7 47 73 71.6 72 55 53.1 57
05-20-17 66 65.3 69 40 42.0 43 69 67.5 71 49 46.4 47 62 55.4 61 47 44.4 47 71 71.2 68 51 47.7 49
05-19-17 69 72.3 66 38 45.5 42 67 65.3 68 45 42.0 43 68 67.5 70 52 46.4 50 64 55.4 63 48 44.4 46
05-18-17 88 87.1 85 60 63.7 64 65 72.3 65 38 45.5 42 66 65.3 70 47 42.0 44 71 67.5 67 54 46.4 52
05-17-17 84 85.8 80 64 62.4 63 89 87.1 85 61 63.7 64 68 72.3 65 42 45.5 42 70 65.3 69 47 42.0 46
05-16-17 67 71.2 72 53 52.9 52 84 85.8 82 64 62.4 63 87 87.1 86 61 63.7 64 69 72.3 67 45 45.5 40
05-15-17 58 59.0 54 46 46.8 44 70 71.2 69 51 52.9 50 83 85.8 82 63 62.4 60 85 87.1 84 58 63.7 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 6 11 13 8 7 11 12 8 6 9 10 7 6 7 5
% Succ 84.6   46.2 84.6   100.0 66.7   58.3 91.7   100.0 72.7   54.5 81.8   90.9 70.0   60.0 70.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.1   3.3 2.3   1.3 2.8   3.4 2.4   1.4 2.5   3.3 2.5   2.0 4.2   3.5 3.5   3.1
Net Error -0.1   -0.4 -0.9   -0.4 0.4   -0.1 -0.1   -0.4 1.0   1.0 1.0   -0.3 3.1   1.1 2.2   1.8
Std Dev 2.0   2.1 1.9   0.9 2.4   2.1 1.9   1.0 3.1   2.5 2.0   1.7 4.6   3.2 2.4   2.3

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 05-27-17 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-27-17 69   67 49   48 72   73 54   54 67   65 52   55 72   71 52   52
05-26-17 58 62.7 63 47 49.9 52 68   73 51   49 72   74 54   53 69   65 54   53
05-25-17 55 54.3 56 50 50.0 50 59 62.7 62 48 49.9 49 69   72 52   47 70   72 55   56
05-24-17 74 71.6 72 52 53.1 52 60 54.3 58 51 50.0 52 62 62.7 63 48 49.9 51 72   71 53   52
05-23-17 71 71.2 70 50 47.7 50 74 71.6 68 54 53.1 52 64 54.3 61 52 50.0 53 64 62.7 64 53 49.9 51
05-22-17 63 55.4 59 47 44.4 42 71 71.2 68 50 47.7 45 72 71.6 74 54 53.1 54 68 54.3 61 53 50.0 55
05-21-17 67 67.5 68 49 46.4 48 61 55.4 59 47 44.4 44 72 71.2 68 50 47.7 44 73 71.6 74 55 53.1 52
05-20-17 67 65.3 64 40 42.0 41 69 67.5 69 49 46.4 47 62 55.4 61 47 44.4 45 71 71.2 71 51 47.7 49
05-19-17 71 72.3 65 38 45.5 43 67 65.3 68 45 42.0 47 68 67.5 64 52 46.4 49 64 55.4 64 48 44.4 45
05-18-17 89 87.1 85 63 63.7 65 65 72.3 67 38 45.5 43 66 65.3 69 47 42.0 43 71 67.5 71 54 46.4 51
05-17-17 86 85.8 84 64 62.4 64 89 87.1 85 61 63.7 62 68 72.3 64 42 45.5 39 70 65.3 69 47 42.0 46
05-16-17 69 71.2 70 53 52.9 51 84 85.8 82 64 62.4 64 87 87.1 85 61 63.7 65 69 72.3 66 45 45.5 41
05-15-17 58 59.0 54 46 46.8 44 70 71.2 69 51 52.9 50 83 85.8 81 63 62.4 60 85 87.1 84 58 63.7 63
05-14-17 57 58.2 56 43 46.6 45 58 59.0 54 44 46.8 45 69 71.2 68 50 52.9 49 81 85.8 82 62 62.4 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 11 12 13 8 8 11 11 8 6 9 8 6 5 7 6
% Succ 84.6   84.6 92.3   100.0 66.7   66.7 91.7   91.7 72.7   54.5 81.8   72.7 60.0   50.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.0   2.2 2.1   1.7 2.8   3.1 2.6   1.9 2.6   4.0 2.7   2.5 4.4   4.0 3.4   2.3
Net Error 0.3   -1.2 -0.7   -0.3 0.3   -1.2 -0.2   -0.4 0.8   -0.6 0.7   -0.5 2.3   1.3 2.1   1.0
Std Dev 2.1   2.0 1.9   0.9 2.3   1.7 1.9   1.4 3.2   2.9 1.9   2.0 4.7   3.4 2.6   2.0

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 05-27-17 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-27-17 48   50 72   73 53   55 66   69 52   55 73   71 52   50 68   68
05-26-17 48 49.9 50 69 68.4 69 49   48 73   74 53   51 69   62 52   53 71   73
05-25-17 51 50.0 52 58 62.7 62 48 49.9 48 70 68.4 71 51   54 71   69 55   53 71   63
05-24-17 51 53.1 52 61 54.3 57 51 50.0 52 63 62.7 65 48 49.9 50 71 68.4 73 53   51 72   69
05-23-17 50 47.7 52 73 71.6 70 53 53.1 53 62 54.3 61 52 50.0 54 63 62.7 65 50 49.9 52 71 68.4 70
05-22-17 48 44.4 42 71 71.2 70 49 47.7 50 74 71.6 75 55 53.1 53 65 54.3 58 53 50.0 53 64 62.7 60
05-21-17 50 46.4 48 61 55.4 59 48 44.4 45 71 71.2 68 50 47.7 46 70 71.6 74 55 53.1 55 69 54.3 64
05-20-17 44 42.0 45 69 67.5 71 48 46.4 47 61 55.4 61 47 44.4 45 72 71.2 72 50 47.7 48 69 71.6 74
05-19-17 42 45.5 41 66 65.3 65 43 42.0 43 67 67.5 69 51 46.4 48 63 55.4 63 47 44.4 47 71 71.2 70
05-18-17 63 63.7 65 67 72.3 68 39 45.5 43 67 65.3 69 45 42.0 44 69 67.5 68 53 46.4 51 66 55.4 63
05-17-17 64 62.4 68 89 87.1 87 61 63.7 65 67 72.3 66 40 45.5 42 68 65.3 69 46 42.0 47 71 67.5 71
05-16-17 52 52.9 55 84 85.8 84 64 62.4 64 88 87.1 84 62 63.7 65 69 72.3 66 45 45.5 43 67 65.3 69
05-15-17 45 46.8 47 70 71.2 71 53 52.9 52 84 85.8 81 64 62.4 61 87 87.1 85 60 63.7 63 71 72.3 67
05-14-17 44 46.6 47 59 59.0 56 45 46.8 45 70 71.2 68 52 52.9 50 83 85.8 82 62 62.4 60 82 87.1 84
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 13 10 9 12 11 12 9 7 9 10 9 5 7 8 7 6
% Succ 100.0   76.9 69.2   92.3 91.7   100.0 75.0   58.3 81.8   90.9 81.8   45.5 70.0   80.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.1   2.2 2.4   1.8 1.9   1.4 2.4   3.9 2.5   1.7 3.1   3.4 2.5   2.5 4.4   4.1
Net Error 0.0   1.0 0.4   -0.2 -0.2   0.2 0.9   0.4 0.7   0.0 1.7   1.2 1.6   1.4 2.5   1.6
Std Dev 1.1   1.7 2.2   1.4 1.8   0.9 2.5   2.2 1.8   1.5 3.4   2.6 2.2   1.9 5.0   3.6

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.