NWS Forecast
Mon, 10-Dec-2018 12:46
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Tuesday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Sunny
Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Sunny
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Lo 22 °FHi 31 °FLo 18 °FHi 30 °FLo 19 °FHi 28 °FLo 11 °FHi 30 °FLo 25 °F
 
OUR Forecast
2:00
Rest of
tonight
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Monday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Wednesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Wednesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Thursday

Snow
Cold!
Snow
Cold!
Thursday
night
Snow
Snow
Low: 22°High: 31°Low: 19°High: 32°Low: 24°High: 33°Low: 23°High: 34°Low: 26°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 12-10-18 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-10-18 22   22 31   31 18   19 30   32 19   24 28   33 11   23 30   34
12-09-18 15 18.4 21 32 33.1 31 19   22 30   31 21   20 30   33 18   25 29   30
12-08-18 10 14.2 15 26 24.9 26 17 18.4 20 31 33.1 31 21   23 30   32 13   24 27   33
12-07-18 20 23.5 21 25 24.8 24 8 14.2 14 26 24.9 27 15 18.4 18 30 33.1 31 18   23 31   32
12-06-18 20 22.1 23 32 34.1 32 22 23.5 23 26 24.8 26 11 14.2 14 25 24.9 26 18 18.4 18 31 33.1 28
12-05-18 16 18.0 20 30 33.3 31 19 22.1 23 32 34.1 33 21 23.5 22 24 24.8 24 10 14.2 16 26 24.9 25
12-04-18 24 22.2 25 28 26.4 29 16 18.0 21 30 33.3 33 20 22.1 23 33 34.1 33 21 23.5 19 25 24.8 22
12-03-18 34 34.2 36 41 42.9 43 24 22.2 25 28 26.4 28 18 18.0 21 31 33.3 32 22 22.1 24 33 34.1 32
12-02-18 31 30.7 32 44 37.3 45 38 34.2 41 43 42.9 44 24 22.2 26 29 26.4 31 20 18.0 23 30 33.3 33
12-01-18 27 30.3 27 35 39.9 36 32 30.7 32 44 37.3 44 38 34.2 38 43 42.9 44 24 22.2 26 29 26.4 30
11-30-18 27 30.8 26 34 35.9 34 27 30.3 26 36 39.9 36 33 30.7 32 45 37.3 44 37 34.2 39 40 42.9 43
11-29-18 31 31.9 30 36 34.2 34 24 30.8 23 34 35.9 36 29 30.3 30 38 39.9 38 34 30.7 34 48 37.3 50
11-28-18 30 30.0 29 34 33.1 35 30 31.9 28 34 34.2 34 25 30.8 21 35 35.9 35 26 30.3 25 37 39.9 39
11-27-18 33 32.5 32 37 35.1 36 30 30.0 31 35 33.1 35 29 31.9 28 34 34.2 34 25 30.8 22 35 35.9 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 12 11 11 9 8 10 10 9 7 10 9 7 4 9 8
% Succ 84.6   92.3 84.6   84.6 75.0   66.7 83.3   83.3 81.8   63.6 90.9   81.8 70.0   40.0 90.0   80.0
Ave Error 2.0   2.0 2.3   2.1 2.8   2.8 2.2   1.9 2.6   2.6 1.9   2.0 2.7   4.0 2.8   2.8
Net Error -1.6   -0.1 -0.1   0.1 -1.6   0.1 -0.1   0.6 -1.2   -0.3 0.0   0.5 -0.7   0.2 0.1   0.5
Std Dev 1.4   1.1 1.7   1.9 1.7   2.3 1.6   1.7 1.0   1.3 2.0   1.7 1.3   1.5 1.1   1.4

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 12-09-18 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-09-18 32   33 19   24 30   32 18   20 30   33 21   23 29   33 13   21
12-08-18 26 24.9 26 18 18.4 19 31   31 22   23 31   32 16   24 29   33 17   25
12-07-18 25 14.2 26 8 24.8 15 26 24.9 27 15 18.4 16 30   30 20   23 30   32 12   22
12-06-18 33 34.1 34 18 23.5 23 26 14.2 26 7 24.8 14 25 24.9 26 17 18.4 18 29   29 19   23
12-05-18 30 33.3 30 20 22.1 22 33 34.1 32 21 23.5 22 27 14.2 25 11 24.8 15 26 24.9 25 17 18.4 21
12-04-18 30 26.4 30 17 18.0 21 29 33.3 33 20 22.1 23 33 34.1 33 22 23.5 19 25 14.2 23 9 24.8 14
12-03-18 42 42.9 43 27 22.2 26 30 26.4 28 17 18.0 20 30 33.3 31 22 22.1 23 33 34.1 33 21 23.5 20
12-02-18 43 37.3 42 40 34.2 39 41 42.9 43 24 22.2 27 28 26.4 31 20 18.0 22 31 33.3 32 23 22.1 24
12-01-18 34 39.9 39 32 30.7 34 44 37.3 45 39 34.2 40 43 42.9 47 24 22.2 26 29 26.4 31 19 18.0 22
11-30-18 34 35.9 38 26 30.3 25 35 39.9 36 32 30.7 32 45 37.3 43 38 34.2 36 41 42.9 46 22 22.2 25
11-29-18 36 34.2 36 25 30.8 25 34 35.9 36 28 30.3 30 37 39.9 38 33 30.7 34 48 37.3 47 36 34.2 37
11-28-18 34 33.1 34 30 31.9 27 34 34.2 34 25 30.8 22 34 35.9 35 28 30.3 28 37 39.9 39 34 30.7 36
11-27-18 37 35.1 36 30 30.0 31 33 33.1 35 29 31.9 27 34 34.2 34 26 30.8 21 35 35.9 37 26 30.3 28
11-26-18 38 37.6 39 34 32.5 35 35 35.1 38 30 30.0 31 34 33.1 36 29 31.9 31 35 34.2 35 25 30.8 26
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 11 7 7 8 9 9 7 9 7 8 6 8 7 7 6
% Succ 76.9   84.6 53.8   53.8 66.7   75.0 75.0   58.3 81.8   63.6 72.7   54.5 80.0   70.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 3.0   2.5 3.9   3.5 3.1   2.9 3.8   3.7 3.0   3.2 3.3   3.8 3.5   3.2 3.7   4.1
Net Error 1.0   1.9 -1.9   -0.6 0.7   1.8 -2.5   -1.1 1.3   2.1 -1.5   -1.3 1.7   2.5 -2.3   -0.2
Std Dev 2.7   3.0 4.2   2.6 3.1   3.4 4.3   3.1 3.6   2.7 3.5   2.3 2.6   2.3 4.2   2.3

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 12-09-18 at 10:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-09-18 34   33 21   23 30   31 18   20 30   33 21   23 29   33 13   21
12-08-18 26 24.9 25 18 18.4 17 31   31 22   22 31   31 16   22 29   32 17   24
12-07-18 24 24.8 25 8 14.2 14 26 24.9 27 15 18.4 20 30   31 20   23 30   30 12   20
12-06-18 33 34.1 35 18 23.5 23 26 24.8 25 7 14.2 15 25 24.9 27 17 18.4 21 29   30 19   23
12-05-18 31 33.3 32 20 22.1 22 33 34.1 32 21 23.5 22 27 24.8 25 11 14.2 14 26 24.9 25 17 18.4 21
12-04-18 30 26.4 26 16 18.0 18 29 33.3 31 20 22.1 22 33 34.1 32 22 23.5 19 25 24.8 23 9 14.2 15
12-03-18 44 42.9 43 27 22.2 26 30 26.4 29 17 18.0 20 30 33.3 31 22 22.1 23 33 34.1 33 21 23.5 19
12-02-18 42 37.3 39 40 34.2 38 41 42.9 45 24 22.2 26 28 26.4 30 20 18.0 22 31 33.3 32 23 22.1 25
12-01-18 34 39.9 36 32 30.7 30 44 37.3 42 39 34.2 39 43 42.9 46 24 22.2 26 29 26.4 31 19 18.0 22
11-30-18 35 35.9 34 26 30.3 25 35 39.9 36 33 30.7 31 44 37.3 43 38 34.2 36 41 42.9 46 22 22.2 25
11-29-18 36 34.2 35 25 30.8 23 34 35.9 35 28 30.3 25 37 39.9 37 33 30.7 33 48 37.3 47 36 34.2 37
11-28-18 34 33.1 34 30 31.9 29 34 34.2 35 25 30.8 23 34 35.9 36 28 30.3 30 37 39.9 39 34 30.7 35
11-27-18 36 35.1 35 30 30.0 30 33 33.1 35 29 31.9 27 34 34.2 34 26 30.8 21 35 35.9 36 26 30.3 29
11-26-18 38 37.6 38 34 32.5 33 35 35.1 37 30 30.0 32 34 33.1 35 29 31.9 28 35 34.2 34 25 30.8 24
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 12 7 9 9 10 9 7 10 10 9 6 9 8 7 6
% Succ 84.6   92.3 53.8   69.2 75.0   83.3 75.0   58.3 90.9   90.9 81.8   54.5 90.0   80.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.0   1.0 3.2   2.1 2.3   2.1 3.0   2.9 1.9   2.2 2.4   3.1 2.5   2.3 2.6   3.3
Net Error 0.3   -0.2 -1.1   -0.8 -0.2   0.6 -1.5   -0.4 0.2   0.8 -0.6   -0.3 0.6   1.2 -1.2   0.8
Std Dev 1.6   1.0 2.1   2.3 1.8   1.2 1.7   2.2 1.7   1.3 1.0   1.3 1.0   1.2 1.4   0.9

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 12-09-18 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-09-18 19   23 31   31 18   19 30   32 19   24 28   33 11   23 30   36
12-08-18 17 18.4 20 33 33.1 32 17   23 31   30 17   20 30   32 18   23 29   27
12-07-18 10 14.2 16 26 24.9 27 17 18.4 19 31 33.1 31 21   22 30   32 13   23 27   32
12-06-18 20 23.5 23 25 24.8 25 8 14.2 14 26 24.9 27 15 18.4 16 30 33.1 30 18   21 31   31
12-05-18 20 22.1 22 32 34.1 32 22 23.5 23 26 24.8 26 11 14.2 15 25 24.9 25 18 18.4 22 31 33.1 30
12-04-18 13 18.0 18 30 33.3 30 19 22.1 22 32 34.1 33 21 23.5 20 24 24.8 23 10 14.2 16 26 24.9 26
12-03-18 24 22.2 25 28 26.4 28 16 18.0 19 30 33.3 31 20 22.1 21 33 34.1 32 21 23.5 19 25 24.8 20
12-02-18 40 34.2 35 41 42.9 42 24 22.2 25 28 26.4 28 18 18.0 20 31 33.3 32 22 22.1 25 33 34.1 33
12-01-18 30 30.7 31 44 37.3 43 38 34.2 40 43 42.9 46 24 22.2 26 29 26.4 31 20 18.0 22 30 33.3 31
11-30-18 28 39.9 24 35 30.3 36 32 30.7 31 44 37.3 43 38 34.2 36 43 42.9 46 24 22.2 25 29 26.4 29
11-29-18 27 35.9 26 34 30.8 36 27 39.9 25 36 30.3 36 33 30.7 32 45 37.3 44 37 34.2 37 40 42.9 44
11-28-18 31 31.9 30 36 34.2 35 24 35.9 23 34 30.8 36 29 39.9 31 38 30.3 38 34 30.7 35 48 37.3 52
11-27-18 30 30.0 30 34 33.1 34 30 31.9 29 34 34.2 33 25 35.9 20 35 30.8 35 26 39.9 27 37 30.3 37
11-26-18 33 32.5 33 37 35.1 37 30 30.0 32 35 33.1 35 29 31.9 28 34 34.2 34 25 35.9 24 35 30.8 37
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 11 10 8 9 10 9 8 7 8 7 7 5 7 6
% Succ 61.5   84.6 84.6   76.9 66.7   75.0 83.3   75.0 72.7   63.6 72.7   63.6 70.0   50.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 3.6   2.8 2.3   2.4 4.0   3.7 2.4   2.8 4.0   4.1 2.7   3.2 4.2   5.2 3.5   4.4
Net Error -2.3   -1.6 1.1   1.3 -2.8   -1.6 1.2   1.7 -2.5   -2.4 1.4   1.6 -2.2   -0.7 1.6   2.1
Std Dev 3.3   4.5 1.8   1.9 3.8   4.8 1.8   1.6 1.7   1.9 2.0   1.7 2.1   1.6 1.6   1.7

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.