NWS Forecast
Sun, 24-Sep-2017 1:12
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Patchy Fog then Sunny
Patchy Fog then Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Lo 59 °FHi 84 °FLo 62 °FHi 85 °FLo 62 °FHi 84 °FLo 63 °FHi 82 °FLo 57 °F
 
OUR Forecast
2:00
Rest of
tonight
Fair
Fair
Sunday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Sunday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Monday

Sunny
Sunny
Monday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Tuesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Wednesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Wednesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 60°High: 86°Low: 58°High: 87°Low: 57°High: 85°Low: 55°High: 83°Low: 53°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 09-24-17 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-24-17 59   60 84   86 62   58 85   87 62   57 84   85 63   55 82   83
09-23-17 52 51.5 54 80 83.0 82 59   57 84   85 62   56 86   85 62   59 85   84
09-22-17 53 53.6 56 79 78.4 80 53 51.5 52 82 83.0 81 61   54 85   84 63   54 85   86
09-21-17 59 61.0 61 79 79.6 82 55 53.6 58 80 78.4 79 55 51.5 53 82 83.0 80 59   53 84   83
09-20-17 59 56.2 59 79 78.9 81 58 61.0 61 79 79.6 81 53 53.6 53 78 78.4 78 55 51.5 52 81 83.0 80
09-19-17 58 58.0 60 75 82.0 79 61 56.2 58 77 78.9 81 56 61.0 60 78 79.6 81 56 53.6 60 79 78.4 79
09-18-17 59 58.0 61 79 80.8 78 60 58.0 63 75 82.0 76 61 56.2 57 78 78.9 80 59 61.0 57 78 79.6 77
09-17-17 58 57.3 59 80 81.3 82 60 58.0 61 80 80.8 78 60 58.0 62 75 82.0 76 60 56.2 57 77 78.9 80
09-16-17 60 60.7 61 79 82.1 83 58 57.3 59 79 81.3 81 59 58.0 63 77 80.8 77 59 58.0 62 73 82.0 75
09-15-17 60 62.5 61 78 79.4 79 58 60.7 59 78 82.1 81 60 57.3 58 80 81.3 80 60 58.0 57 78 80.8 78
09-14-17 65 66.0 66 76 75.6 75 60 62.5 62 76 79.4 79 59 60.7 59 78 82.1 80 61 57.3 60 79 81.3 81
09-13-17 49 52.6 53 76 81.6 79 61 66.0 62 75 75.6 76 60 62.5 62 76 79.4 78 61 60.7 60 77 82.1 80
09-12-17 44 50.3 52 73 76.7 76 50 52.6 54 76 81.6 79 60 66.0 64 76 75.6 73 59 62.5 60 76 79.4 75
09-11-17 42 46.3 45 72 73.4 74 49 50.3 51 75 76.7 76 52 52.6 54 75 81.6 78 59 66.0 64 76 75.6 77
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 13 10 13 10 9 9 11 8 9 7 9 7 7 8 8
% Succ 84.6   100.0 76.9   100.0 83.3   75.0 75.0   91.7 72.7   81.8 63.6   81.8 70.0   70.0 80.0   80.0
Ave Error 2.0   1.5 2.3   1.5 2.5   2.1 2.6   1.7 2.8   1.7 2.8   2.4 2.9   2.5 2.9   2.5
Net Error -1.2   1.1 -2.1   -0.2 -0.4   1.0 -2.3   -0.9 -0.2   0.7 -2.7   -2.0 0.4   0.4 -2.7   -1.9
Std Dev 1.7   1.0 2.0   0.9 1.2   1.5 1.8   1.5 1.3   1.3 1.8   1.5 0.8   1.7 2.1   1.6

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 09-23-17 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-23-17 81   82 60   58 85   85 62   57 86   87 60   58 85   86 61   56
09-22-17 80 78.4 79 54 51.5 51 81   82 62   56 85   84 62   54 86   86 62   55
09-21-17 79 79.6 81 54 53.6 60 79 78.4 80 53 51.5 54 81   82 60   57 84   85 63   57
09-20-17 80 78.9 80 56 61.0 62 79 79.6 82 54 53.6 58 78 78.4 79 52 51.5 53 82   80 59   54
09-19-17 76 82.0 78 59 56.2 59 79 78.9 61 57 61.0 80 80 79.6 58 53 53.6 80 80 78.4 60 56 51.5 79
09-18-17 80 80.8 78 59 58.0 62 75 82.0 76 59 56.2 61 79 78.9 81 58 61.0 58 77 79.6 78 55 53.6 53
09-17-17 79 81.3 82 60 58.0 59 76 80.8 78 60 58.0 62 72 82.0 75 60 56.2 60 79 78.9 80 58 61.0 57
09-16-17 81 82.1 82 59 57.3 59 82 81.3 83 59 58.0 60 77 80.8 80 60 58.0 65 74 82.0 72 60 56.2 63
09-15-17 78 79.4 80 59 60.7 59 80 82.1 81 58 57.3 60 80 81.3 81 58 58.0 60 77 80.8 78 59 58.0 64
09-14-17 75 75.6 76 61 62.5 63 77 79.4 79 59 60.7 59 77 82.1 80 60 57.3 60 79 81.3 82 58 58.0 62
09-13-17 76 81.6 79 62 66.0 63 76 75.6 75 61 62.5 60 76 79.4 75 60 60.7 60 78 82.1 80 60 57.3 60
09-12-17 76 76.7 77 51 52.6 55 78 81.6 79 61 66.0 60 76 75.6 75 59 62.5 61 75 79.4 79 60 60.7 60
09-11-17 73 73.4 74 47 50.3 53 76 76.7 76 52 52.6 56 75 81.6 79 59 66.0 65 76 75.6 73 59 62.5 60
09-10-17 67 65.8 69 43 46.3 45 72 73.4 74 46 50.3 53 76 76.7 76 50 52.6 54 75 81.6 72 56 66.0 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 12 11 11 10 10 9 7 7 8 9 8 5 7 7 4
% Succ 84.6   92.3 84.6   84.6 83.3   83.3 75.0   58.3 63.6   72.7 81.8   72.7 50.0   70.0 70.0   40.0
Ave Error 1.8   1.4 2.4   2.2 2.0   3.2 2.1   4.6 2.9   3.9 2.4   4.6 3.4   4.9 3.1   6.1
Net Error -1.2   -0.0 -0.8   1.2 -1.7   -2.2 -0.7   2.9 -2.8   -3.4 -0.8   3.5 -3.0   -4.6 -0.4   3.3
Std Dev 1.8   1.1 1.2   1.6 2.0   4.6 1.3   4.4 2.7   5.7 1.3   6.9 1.9   5.1 1.4   7.1

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 09-23-17 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-23-17 81   84 60   57 85   86 62   57 86   86 60   56 85   85 61   57
09-22-17 80 78.4 79 54 51.5 51 81   82 62   56 85   85 62   54 86   84 62   55
09-21-17 79 79.6 80 54 53.6 57 79 78.4 80 53 51.5 54 81   81 60   54 84   84 63   55
09-20-17 80 78.9 78 56 61.0 63 79 79.6 81 54 53.6 58 78 78.4 79 52 51.5 53 82   80 59   55
09-19-17 76 82.0 76 59 56.2 61 79 78.9 79 57 61.0 61 80 79.6 81 53 53.6 57 80 78.4 78 56 51.5 55
09-18-17 81 80.8 80 59 58.0 61 75 82.0 78 59 56.2 62 79 78.9 78 58 61.0 57 77 79.6 79 55 53.6 56
09-17-17 79 81.3 81 60 58.0 61 76 80.8 78 60 58.0 63 72 82.0 72 60 56.2 62 79 78.9 80 58 61.0 58
09-15-17 77 82.1 76 59 57.3 59 80 81.3 81 58 58.0 58 80 80.8 81 58 58.0 58 77 82.0 79 59 56.2 62
09-14-17 76 75.6 75 61 62.5 61 77 82.1 79 59 57.3 60 77 81.3 81 60 58.0 59 79 80.8 81 58 58.0 60
09-13-17 76 81.6 79 62 66.0 64 76 75.6 76 61 62.5 62 76 82.1 76 60 57.3 58 78 81.3 79 60 58.0 59
09-12-17 76 76.7 77 51 52.6 55 76 81.6 79 62 66.0 63 75 75.6 77 60 62.5 63 75 82.1 77 60 57.3 60
09-11-17 73 73.4 74 47 50.3 55 76 76.7 76 52 52.6 57 75 81.6 79 59 66.0 65 76 75.6 73 59 62.5 61
09-10-17 67 65.8 67 43 46.3 43 72 73.4 75 46 50.3 51 76 76.7 72 50 52.6 53 75 81.6 78 56 66.0 62
09-09-17 62 62.2 62 42 48.0 43 68 65.8 68 45 46.3 44 73 73.4 74 49 50.3 54 77 76.7 73 54 52.6 54
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 11 10 10 8 11 9 8 7 8 9 8 7 8 8 8
% Succ 76.9   84.6 76.9   76.9 66.7   91.7 75.0   66.7 63.6   72.7 81.8   72.7 70.0   80.0 80.0   80.0
Ave Error 2.0   1.6 2.7   2.9 2.5   1.7 2.0   2.6 2.8   2.6 2.4   2.0 2.9   2.3 3.1   2.7
Net Error -1.3   -1.1 -1.1   1.0 -1.9   -0.5 -0.6   1.6 -2.7   -1.9 -0.7   1.1 -2.4   -2.0 -0.2   1.0
Std Dev 2.0   2.0 1.2   1.2 2.3   1.2 1.2   1.8 2.9   2.8 1.2   1.6 1.2   1.1 1.3   1.2

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 09-23-17 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-23-17 59   58 85   85 62   57 85   86 62   57 84   85 63   55 82   82
09-22-17 55 51.5 50 80 83.0 81 59   56 84   85 62   57 86   85 62   60 85   84
09-21-17 53 53.6 59 79 78.4 80 53 51.5 53 82 83.0 81 61   56 85   84 63   56 85   85
09-20-17 59 61.0 63 79 79.6 81 55 53.6 58 80 78.4 79 55 51.5 53 82 83.0 81 59   56 84   83
09-19-17 59 56.2 62 79 78.9 79 58 61.0 61 79 79.6 80 53 53.6 57 78 78.4 78 55 51.5 53 81 83.0 78
09-18-17 59 58.0 62 75 82.0 78 61 56.2 61 77 78.9 80 56 61.0 58 78 79.6 80 56 53.6 56 79 78.4 78
09-17-17 59 58.0 61 80 80.8 81 60 58.0 65 75 82.0 71 61 56.2 63 78 78.9 79 59 61.0 57 78 79.6 79
09-16-17 58 57.3 61 80 81.3 81 60 58.0 59 80 80.8 80 60 58.0 64 75 82.0 74 60 56.2 62 77 78.9 78
09-15-17 61 60.7 60 79 82.1 81 58 57.3 59 79 81.3 80 59 58.0 59 77 80.8 79 59 58.0 64 73 82.0 72
09-14-17 60 62.5 59 78 79.4 79 58 60.7 58 78 82.1 81 60 57.3 57 80 81.3 81 60 58.0 59 78 80.8 80
09-13-17 62 66.0 65 76 75.6 76 60 62.5 61 76 79.4 76 59 60.7 59 78 82.1 80 61 57.3 59 79 81.3 80
09-12-17 51 52.6 56 76 81.6 79 61 66.0 63 75 75.6 77 60 62.5 61 76 79.4 78 61 60.7 59 77 82.1 80
09-11-17 44 50.3 54 73 76.7 75 50 52.6 55 76 81.6 76 60 66.0 63 76 75.6 78 59 62.5 61 76 79.4 78
09-10-17 43 46.3 43 72 73.4 74 49 50.3 51 75 76.7 74 52 52.6 53 75 81.6 78 59 66.0 62 76 75.6 76
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 8 10 12 10 9 9 10 8 9 7 10 7 6 8 8
% Succ 84.6   61.5 76.9   92.3 83.3   75.0 75.0   83.3 72.7   81.8 63.6   90.9 70.0   60.0 80.0   80.0
Ave Error 2.3   3.2 2.2   1.3 2.5   2.6 2.6   2.6 2.8   2.6 2.8   2.0 2.9   3.0 2.9   2.3
Net Error -0.8   1.6 -2.1   -0.6 -0.4   1.4 -2.3   -2.0 -0.2   0.9 -2.7   -1.5 0.4   0.7 -2.7   -2.2
Std Dev 1.6   1.5 2.0   1.1 1.2   1.8 1.8   2.8 1.3   1.9 1.8   2.1 0.8   1.6 2.1   2.8

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.