NWS Forecast
Sat, 18-Aug-2018 6:30
Today

Today: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Tonight

Tonight: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Sunday

Sunday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Tuesday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms then Showers And T-Storms
Wednesday

Wednesday: Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms then Chance Showers And T-Storms
Hi 78 °FLo 59 °FHi 75 °FLo 56 °FHi 77 °FLo 60 °FHi 77 °FLo 66 °FHi 75 °F
 
OUR Forecast
4:00
Today

Chance rain
Chance rain
Tonight

Fog late
Fog late
Sunday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Sunday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Monday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Monday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Tuesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Tuesday
night
Rain likely
Rain likely
Wednesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
High: 79°Low: 62°High: 76°Low: 59°High: 77°Low: 61°High: 77°Low: 67°High: 75°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 08-18-18 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-18-18 69   69 75   79 59   62 75   76 57   59 77   77 61   61 77   77
08-17-18 66 66.3 68 77 84.6 80 68   71 76   76 57   63 77   74 58   59 77   75
08-16-18 65 69.2 68 81 84.6 83 67 66.3 68 78 84.6 80 64   71 76   72 59   60 77   78
08-15-18 63 65.5 65 83 83.4 83 65 69.2 68 83 84.6 84 66 66.3 68 81 84.6 78 65   68 78   72
08-14-18 66 66.4 67 76 78.1 77 64 65.5 65 82 83.4 83 64 69.2 67 80 84.6 84 66 66.3 67 80 84.6 76
08-13-18 65 66.2 67 76 75.0 80 66 66.4 67 75 78.1 77 64 65.5 65 81 83.4 82 64 69.2 67 82 84.6 84
08-12-18 62 64.8 64 77 75.9 80 65 66.2 66 78 75.0 76 66 66.4 67 77 78.1 79 64 65.5 64 83 83.4 76
08-11-18 59 59.9 61 73 66.2 78 61 64.8 66 77 75.9 78 63 66.2 66 78 75.0 80 66 66.4 67 78 78.1 81
08-10-18 62 65.1 63 80 81.8 82 58 59.9 61 73 66.2 69 58 64.8 64 75 75.9 79 63 66.2 66 80 75.0 77
08-09-18 66 68.6 68 80 78.8 80 62 65.1 65 79 81.8 80 56 59.9 60 79 66.2 65 61 64.8 61 82 75.9 74
08-08-18 66 68.3 68 82 82.4 84 64 68.6 67 80 78.8 78 62 65.1 64 81 81.8 81 62 59.9 60 77 66.2 79
08-07-18 69 68.3 68 84 84.2 85 66 68.3 69 80 82.4 79 63 68.6 65 80 78.8 82 63 65.1 64 80 81.8 84
08-06-18 67 69.0 67 90 89.8 88 69 68.3 69 86 84.2 84 67 68.3 70 80 82.4 77 64 68.6 65 80 78.8 80
08-05-18 62 63.3 64 85 87.3 87 66 69.0 67 87 89.8 88 68 68.3 69 86 84.2 87 67 68.3 72 80 82.4 83
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 13 11 9 9 12 10 11 7 11 9 8 7 8 6 7
% Succ 92.3   100.0 84.6   69.2 75.0   100.0 83.3   91.7 63.6   100.0 81.8   72.7 70.0   80.0 60.0   70.0
Ave Error 1.9   1.0 2.2   2.7 2.3   1.0 2.9   1.7 2.9   1.2 3.1   2.8 2.5   1.8 3.5   4.0
Net Error -1.8   -0.2 -0.6   1.1 -2.1   0.0 -0.6   -0.7 -2.9   -0.3 0.3   -0.1 -2.0   -0.7 1.1   0.3
Std Dev 1.1   0.6 2.3   3.0 1.3   0.5 1.8   1.2 1.8   0.6 3.2   1.8 1.4   1.0 1.8   2.3

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 08-17-18 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-17-18 78   80 68   70 76   75 58   63 74   73 58   61 77   77 61   62
08-16-18 83 84.6 85 66 66.3 70 80   81 66   69 76   75 58   63 77   78 59   61
08-15-18 76 83.4 83 63 69.2 68 83 84.6 83 65 66.3 69 83   79 66   69 81   74 65   61
08-14-18 76 78.1 75 63 65.5 65 83 83.4 82 65 69.2 68 83 84.6 84 66 66.3 69 81   75 65   69
08-13-18 76 75.0 79 66 66.4 66 75 78.1 76 64 65.5 66 81 83.4 82 64 69.2 68 82 84.6 84 66 66.3 69
08-12-18 76 75.9 77 65 66.2 66 76 75.0 78 66 66.4 67 77 78.1 78 64 65.5 65 83 83.4 81 65 69.2 65
08-11-18 77 66.2 75 61 64.8 64 79 75.9 80 63 66.2 65 82 75.0 81 64 66.4 67 79 78.1 80 64 65.5 66
08-10-18 79 81.8 82 59 59.9 63 71 66.2 73 59 64.8 65 77 75.9 81 62 66.2 65 79 75.0 81 66 66.4 68
08-09-18 80 78.8 80 62 65.1 65 80 81.8 81 58 59.9 59 76 66.2 74 60 64.8 63 81 75.9 81 62 66.2 64
08-08-18 81 82.4 83 66 68.6 67 81 78.8 79 62 65.1 65 81 81.8 80 58 59.9 58 79 66.2 80 62 64.8 65
08-07-18 84 84.2 87 67 68.3 69 80 82.4 83 64 68.6 66 81 78.8 82 62 65.1 63 81 81.8 83 61 59.9 66
08-06-18 91 89.8 89 69 68.3 70 84 84.2 85 67 68.3 71 80 82.4 77 64 68.6 65 80 78.8 80 62 65.1 64
08-05-18 87 87.3 86 66 69.0 68 90 89.8 88 68 68.3 70 87 84.2 89 67 68.3 70 81 82.4 82 64 68.6 63
08-04-18 83 85.1 83 62 63.3 65 85 87.3 87 66 69.0 68 89 89.8 88 68 68.3 69 87 84.2 86 67 68.3 70
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 11 11 12 11 10 9 12 9 6 7 11 7 7 7 7
% Succ 84.6   84.6 84.6   92.3 91.7   83.3 75.0   100.0 81.8   54.5 63.6   100.0 70.0   70.0 70.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.5   2.1 2.1   1.3 1.9   2.0 2.6   1.3 2.9   3.5 2.7   1.6 3.2   3.4 2.4   2.6
Net Error -0.3   0.9 -2.0   0.4 -0.0   0.6 -2.6   0.1 1.3   1.4 -2.7   -0.6 2.2   2.8 -2.1   -0.0
Std Dev 3.0   2.2 1.6   1.0 1.2   1.8 1.5   0.9 2.7   2.2 1.4   0.6 3.3   3.6 1.3   1.2

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 08-17-18 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-17-18 78   79 68   69 76   75 58   63 74   77 58   59 77   77 61   61
08-16-18 83 84.6 84 66 66.3 68 80   79 66   72 76   74 58   63 77   75 59   57
08-15-18 63 83.4 83 83 69.2 68 65 84.6 84 83 66.3 68 66   81 81   68 65   79 78   61
08-14-18 77 78.1 79 63 65.5 67 83 83.4 84 65 69.2 68 83 84.6 84 66 66.3 69 81   78 65   67
08-13-18 76 75.0 75 65 66.4 67 76 78.1 79 64 65.5 65 82 83.4 83 64 69.2 68 81 84.6 84 65 66.3 70
08-12-18 74 75.9 77 65 66.2 64 76 75.0 79 66 66.4 67 77 78.1 78 64 65.5 65 83 83.4 79 65 69.2 63
08-11-18 68 66.2 71 62 64.8 63 79 75.9 81 63 66.2 67 82 75.0 81 64 66.4 67 79 78.1 81 64 65.5 66
08-10-18 76 81.8 80 59 59.9 62 71 66.2 77 59 64.8 65 77 75.9 81 62 66.2 66 79 75.0 82 66 66.4 68
08-09-18 80 78.8 80 62 65.1 63 80 81.8 82 58 59.9 58 76 66.2 75 60 64.8 63 81 75.9 82 62 66.2 64
08-08-18 81 82.4 83 66 68.6 68 81 78.8 79 62 65.1 65 81 81.8 78 58 59.9 57 79 66.2 79 62 64.8 59
08-07-18 84 84.2 84 67 68.3 70 80 82.4 84 64 68.6 67 81 78.8 81 62 65.1 64 81 81.8 81 61 59.9 63
08-06-18 91 89.8 90 69 68.3 70 84 84.2 85 67 68.3 70 80 82.4 80 64 68.6 63 80 78.8 81 62 65.1 64
08-05-18 87 87.3 88 66 69.0 64 90 89.8 90 68 68.3 71 87 84.2 85 67 68.3 68 81 82.4 84 64 68.6 67
08-04-18 83 85.1 84 62 63.3 66 85 87.3 87 66 69.0 68 89 89.8 88 68 68.3 68 87 84.2 87 67 68.3 67
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 12 12 12 10 9 8 12 9 7 7 10 7 6 7 7
% Succ 84.6   92.3 92.3   92.3 83.3   75.0 66.7   100.0 81.8   63.6 63.6   90.9 70.0   60.0 70.0   70.0
Ave Error 3.1   1.0 2.7   1.9 3.3   2.1 3.8   1.2 2.8   2.9 2.7   1.6 3.3   4.1 2.5   2.7
Net Error -2.3   0.4 -0.5   -0.1 -1.5   2.0 -1.1   0.1 1.3   1.3 -2.7   -1.0 2.1   3.0 -2.2   -0.9
Std Dev 5.2   1.2 3.3   1.0 5.0   2.9 4.1   0.6 2.7   2.5 1.4   0.8 3.3   3.2 1.1   1.7

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 08-17-18 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-17-18 69   69 75   77 59   63 75   76 57   59 77   75 61   61 77   77
08-16-18 66 66.3 70 79 84.6 80 68   70 76   75 57   63 77   75 58   60 77   77
08-15-18 66 69.2 70 83 84.6 84 67 66.3 68 78 84.6 80 64   69 76   73 59   60 77   76
08-14-18 63 65.5 63 83 83.4 83 65 69.2 66 83 84.6 84 66 66.3 69 81 84.6 78 65   66 78   74
08-13-18 66 66.4 67 76 78.1 79 64 65.5 65 82 83.4 83 64 69.2 68 80 84.6 84 66 66.3 69 80 84.6 78
08-12-18 65 66.2 65 76 75.0 81 66 66.4 66 75 78.1 77 64 65.5 64 81 83.4 81 64 69.2 66 82 84.6 83
08-11-18 62 64.8 61 77 75.9 81 65 66.2 67 78 75.0 80 66 66.4 67 77 78.1 81 64 65.5 66 83 83.4 83
08-10-18 59 59.9 64 73 66.2 79 61 64.8 66 77 75.9 78 63 66.2 66 78 75.0 82 66 66.4 67 78 78.1 83
08-09-18 62 65.1 64 77 81.8 82 58 59.9 59 73 66.2 68 58 64.8 64 75 75.9 79 63 66.2 64 80 75.0 79
08-08-18 66 68.6 69 80 78.8 81 62 65.1 65 79 81.8 80 56 59.9 60 79 66.2 78 61 64.8 60 82 75.9 81
08-07-18 67 68.3 70 81 82.4 85 64 68.6 67 80 78.8 81 62 65.1 63 81 81.8 80 62 59.9 60 77 66.2 76
08-06-18 69 68.3 70 84 84.2 83 67 68.3 71 80 82.4 80 63 68.6 64 80 78.8 80 63 65.1 64 80 81.8 82
08-05-18 66 69.0 70 90 89.8 90 69 68.3 72 86 84.2 87 67 68.3 71 80 82.4 84 64 68.6 64 80 78.8 81
08-04-18 62 63.3 68 85 87.3 88 66 69.0 69 87 89.8 88 68 68.3 69 86 84.2 83 67 68.3 69 80 82.4 82
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 13 9 10 9 9 11 10 10 7 10 9 8 7 8 6 5
% Succ 100.0   69.2 76.9   69.2 75.0   91.7 83.3   83.3 63.6   90.9 81.8   72.7 70.0   80.0 60.0   50.0
Ave Error 1.8   2.1 2.2   2.9 2.2   1.4 2.9   2.2 2.9   1.6 3.1   3.7 2.5   2.1 3.5   3.5
Net Error -1.7   0.8 -0.6   1.8 -2.0   0.3 -0.6   0.1 -2.9   -0.3 0.3   1.4 -2.0   -1.1 1.1   1.7
Std Dev 1.0   1.2 2.1   3.4 1.3   0.9 1.8   1.3 1.8   0.8 3.2   3.0 1.4   1.2 1.8   1.7

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.