NWS Forecast
Fri, 24-Nov-2017 3:33
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Rain And Snow Showers Likely
Rain And Snow Showers Likely
Sunday

Sunday: Snow Showers Likely
Snow Showers Likely
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Monday

Monday: Chance Snow Showers then Slight Chance Rain And Snow
Chance Snow Showers then Slight Chance Rain And Snow
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Slight Chance Rain And Snow then Partly Cloudy
Slight Chance Rain And Snow then Partly Cloudy
Lo 27 °FHi 46 °FLo 31 °FHi 46 °FLo 30 °FHi 36 °FLo 27 °FHi 36 °FLo 26 °F
 
OUR Forecast
4:00
Today

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Saturday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Saturday
night
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Sunday
night
Snow
Snow
Monday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Monday
night
Fog
Fog
Tuesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 46°Low: 31°High: 46°Low: 33°High: 35° Low: 30°High: 37°Low: 27°High: 51°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 11-24-17 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-24-17 27   28 44   46 34   31 42   46 30   33 35   35 29   30 39   37
11-23-17 24 24.1 23 33 35.7 34 27   26 43   45 34   29 46   43 29   33 31   37
11-22-17 36 37.6 40 39 46.8 44 23 24.1 26 35 35.7 37 27   27 41   45 31   27 44   48
11-21-17 30 32.5 29 53 56.4 50 35 37.6 34 38 46.8 39 22 24.1 23 36 35.7 35 26   27 39   41
11-20-17 23 25.2 24 36 36.5 34 27 32.5 28 53 56.4 50 33 37.6 34 40 46.8 39 23 24.1 23 36 35.7 37
11-19-17 32 33.2 42 42 35.8 44 25 25.2 25 34 36.5 33 27 32.5 28 50 56.4 50 32 37.6 33 38 46.8 37
11-18-17 22 19.9 22 42 33.5 41 39 33.2 37 41 35.8 43 25 25.2 25 34 36.5 34 28 32.5 28 49 56.4 51
11-17-17 30 29.5 27 39 34.2 36 22 19.9 24 44 33.5 41 36 33.2 38 42 35.8 43 25 25.2 24 35 36.5 32
11-16-17 35 35.9 39 47 49.6 48 30 29.5 30 38 34.2 37 22 19.9 26 41 33.5 41 34 33.2 38 39 35.8 40
11-15-17 27 32.9 27 43 43.5 44 35 35.9 32 45 49.6 47 26 29.5 27 36 34.2 36 26 19.9 23 43 33.5 40
11-14-17 28 33.7 32 39 38.7 41 24 32.9 25 44 43.5 46 34 35.9 33 44 49.6 45 25 29.5 28 37 34.2 37
11-13-17 26 28.9 30 38 34.5 42 28 33.7 28 40 38.7 42 25 32.9 24 45 43.5 45 32 35.9 35 43 49.6 43
11-12-17 16 18.6 20 38 39.8 42 24 28.9 27 40 34.5 41 25 33.7 26 41 38.7 43 27 32.9 24 46 43.5 45
11-11-17 10 14.2 15 32 31.8 34 11 18.6 21 39 39.8 42 24 28.9 27 42 34.5 46 28 33.7 29 43 38.7 42
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 11 9 9 6 6 6 7 6 6 5 4 3 5 5 4
% Succ 76.9   84.6 69.2   69.2 50.0   50.0 50.0   58.3 54.5   54.5 45.5   36.4 30.0   50.0 50.0   40.0
Ave Error 2.5   2.7 3.3   3.6 3.8   3.4 4.0   4.5 4.0   4.0 4.4   5.1 3.8   3.5 4.7   4.6
Net Error -2.1   0.3 0.3   1.3 -2.4   -1.3 0.5   1.1 -3.1   -2.0 0.5   1.1 -2.5   -2.0 -0.2   -0.7
Std Dev 1.7   2.1 2.6   2.6 2.6   2.0 2.9   2.1 1.7   1.7 2.2   2.3 2.0   1.2 2.8   2.1

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 11-23-17 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-23-17 33   35 27   27 45   45 33   32 45   43 30   34 32   37 25   29
11-22-17 39 46.8 45 23 24.1 24 35   36 27   27 42   44 31   28 43   45 29   30
11-21-17 54 56.4 53 35 37.6 35 36 46.8 40 21 24.1 23 36   36 26   29 41   39 30   27
11-20-17 35 36.5 35 30 32.5 27 52 56.4 50 36 37.6 34 38 46.8 39 23 24.1 22 36   36 26   29
11-19-17 42 35.8 43 24 25.2 24 34 36.5 32 28 32.5 26 50 56.4 49 32 37.6 32 38 46.8 36 24 24.1 23
11-18-17 39 33.5 39 38 33.2 36 40 35.8 44 24 25.2 25 34 36.5 33 29 32.5 29 49 56.4 50 32 37.6 33
11-17-17 36 34.2 36 21 19.9 23 43 33.5 41 38 33.2 37 42 35.8 44 24 25.2 21 34 36.5 30 27 32.5 26
11-16-17 48 49.6 52 29 29.5 30 37 34.2 38 22 19.9 27 43 33.5 42 36 33.2 37 40 35.8 39 22 25.2 25
11-15-17 43 43.5 46 34 35.9 33 45 49.6 47 27 29.5 29 37 34.2 37 26 19.9 26 41 33.5 41 34 33.2 33
11-14-17 39 38.7 42 24 32.9 25 46 43.5 46 33 35.9 34 43 49.6 47 25 29.5 27 36 34.2 37 25 19.9 26
11-13-17 37 34.5 41 26 33.7 28 42 38.7 41 24 32.9 24 47 43.5 45 33 35.9 33 43 49.6 45 25 29.5 23
11-12-17 37 39.8 42 25 28.9 27 38 34.5 43 27 33.7 27 41 38.7 43 25 32.9 24 46 43.5 46 33 35.9 35
11-11-17 32 31.8 34 10 18.6 21 37 39.8 42 25 28.9 27 42 34.5 46 27 33.7 25 42 38.7 43 27 32.9 29
11-10-17 25 24.3 24 9 14.2 11 34 31.8 34 15 18.6 20 38 39.8 40 27 28.9 26 44 34.5 45 27 33.7 32
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 10 7 10 7 5 7 7 5 5 6 5 4 3 4 5
% Succ 76.9   76.9 53.8   76.9 58.3   41.7 58.3   58.3 45.5   45.5 54.5   45.5 40.0   30.0 40.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.6   3.1 3.8   3.1 4.4   4.8 3.8   3.6 5.3   5.3 4.0   4.7 5.4   5.9 4.0   3.2
Net Error 0.0   2.0 -2.9   -1.7 0.2   1.4 -2.7   -1.6 0.5   1.4 -2.4   -2.9 0.4   0.3 -2.9   -2.0
Std Dev 2.3   1.8 2.8   2.1 2.6   2.2 2.1   2.7 2.2   2.3 1.6   1.3 2.1   2.1 1.8   2.1

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 11-23-17 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-23-17 34   35 27   25 45   46 33   30 45   44 30   31 32   35 25   26
11-22-17 41 46.8 38 23 24.1 22 35   35 27   26 42   45 31   28 43   44 29   29
11-21-17 54 56.4 54 36 37.6 36 38 46.8 40 23 24.1 23 35   36 27   28 41   41 30   28
11-20-17 35 36.5 37 30 32.5 28 52 56.4 51 36 37.6 34 38 46.8 39 23 24.1 22 36   36 26   27
11-19-17 41 35.8 35 25 25.2 22 34 36.5 33 28 32.5 26 50 56.4 50 32 37.6 33 38 46.8 38 24 24.1 23
11-18-17 38 33.5 34 38 33.2 34 40 35.8 43 24 25.2 25 34 36.5 33 29 32.5 28 49 56.4 49 32 37.6 31
11-17-17 35 34.2 33 21 19.9 21 43 33.5 40 38 33.2 37 42 35.8 46 24 25.2 24 34 36.5 31 27 32.5 28
11-16-17 49 49.6 51 30 29.5 29 37 34.2 37 22 19.9 25 43 33.5 40 36 33.2 39 40 35.8 43 22 25.2 22
11-15-17 43 43.5 45 34 35.9 33 45 49.6 46 27 29.5 30 37 34.2 38 26 19.9 24 41 33.5 41 34 33.2 34
11-14-17 39 38.7 39 24 32.9 25 46 43.5 45 33 35.9 33 43 49.6 45 25 29.5 28 36 34.2 37 25 19.9 27
11-13-17 37 34.5 35 26 33.7 26 42 38.7 39 24 32.9 21 47 43.5 44 33 35.9 33 43 49.6 44 25 29.5 25
11-12-17 37 39.8 40 25 28.9 27 38 34.5 43 27 33.7 26 41 38.7 42 25 32.9 22 46 43.5 45 33 35.9 34
11-11-17 32 31.8 31 10 18.6 18 37 39.8 41 25 28.9 25 42 34.5 40 27 33.7 22 42 38.7 43 27 32.9 26
11-10-17 24 24.3 24 9 14.2 11 34 31.8 33 15 18.6 22 38 39.8 42 27 28.9 27 44 34.5 46 27 33.7 26
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 12 7 10 7 7 7 6 5 4 6 5 4 2 4 4
% Succ 76.9   92.3 53.8   76.9 58.3   58.3 58.3   50.0 45.5   36.4 54.5   45.5 40.0   20.0 40.0   40.0
Ave Error 2.1   1.5 3.7   2.9 4.3   4.0 3.7   4.2 5.3   4.9 4.0   4.7 5.4   6.2 4.0   4.4
Net Error -0.0   -0.7 -2.7   -2.6 0.4   0.8 -2.5   -2.1 0.5   0.9 -2.4   -2.9 0.4   0.8 -2.9   -2.9
Std Dev 1.8   2.2 3.0   2.4 2.2   2.4 2.2   3.2 2.2   2.4 1.6   1.7 2.1   1.5 1.8   1.9

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 11-23-17 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-23-17 27   27 44   46 34   31 42   44 30   33 35   37 29   30 39   38
11-22-17 23 24.1 21 33 35.7 34 27   25 43   44 34   27 46   41 29   31 31   34
11-21-17 36 37.6 39 38 46.8 42 23 24.1 25 35 35.7 36 27   28 41   42 31   27 44   43
11-20-17 30 32.5 28 52 56.4 50 35 37.6 36 38 46.8 40 22 24.1 22 36 35.7 37 26   26 39   42
11-19-17 23 25.2 23 36 36.5 33 27 32.5 26 53 56.4 49 33 37.6 32 40 46.8 39 23 24.1 22 36 35.7 37
11-18-17 38 33.2 32 40 35.8 43 25 25.2 25 34 36.5 33 27 32.5 28 50 56.4 49 32 37.6 30 38 46.8 37
11-16-17 30 19.9 28 39 33.5 36 22 33.2 24 44 35.8 41 36 25.2 39 42 36.5 41 25 32.5 22 35 56.4 31
11-15-17 34 35.9 31 47 43. 48 30 19.9 28 38 33.5 36 22 33.2 24 41 35.8 41 34 25.2 35 39 36.5 36
11-14-17 27 32.9 26 43 43.5 45 35 35.9 32 45 43. 46 26 19.9 29 36 33.5 37 26 33.2 25 43 35.8 40
11-13-17 29 33.7 31 39 38.7 41 24 32.9 25 44 43.5 45 34 35.9 33 44 43. 45 25 19.9 28 37 33.5 38
11-12-17 26 28.9 30 38 34.5 42 28 33.7 27 40 38.7 41 25 32.9 24 45 43.5 45 32 35.9 34 43 43. 45
11-11-17 12 18.6 20 38 39.8 42 24 28.9 26 40 34.5 43 25 33.7 25 41 38.7 45 27 32.9 26 46 43.5 48
11-10-17 10 14.2 10 32 31.8 33 11 18.6 21 39 39.8 42 24 28.9 23 42 34.5 45 28 33.7 26 43 38.7 44
11-09-17 21 22.8 22 28 24.3 25 8 14.2 14 33 31.8 35 14 18.6 24 43 39.8 44 28 28.9 32 43 34.5 46
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 8 7 8 4 6 8 8 2 2 6 4 2 3 5 3
% Succ 53.8   61.5 53.8   61.5 33.3   50.0 66.7   66.7 18.2   18.2 54.5   36.4 20.0   30.0 50.0   30.0
Ave Error 3.9   3.3 3.1   3.6 5.4   4.2 3.3   3.9 6.2   6.9 3.8   4.9 5.2   6.6 5.9   6.9
Net Error -1.6   -1.4 0.2   1.1 -3.7   -2.3 0.6   0.9 -3.1   -1.8 1.4   2.2 -2.4   -2.4 -0.1   -0.2
Std Dev 2.4   2.1 2.4   2.1 3.4   2.9 2.6   2.4 2.8   3.1 2.1   2.1 2.0   2.3 5.5   6.6

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.