NWS Forecast
Tue, 19-Jun-2018 1:38
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny
Sunny
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Wednesday

Wednesday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Clear
Clear
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Hi 74 °FLo 50 °FHi 73 °F ↓Lo 53 °FHi 74 °FLo 48 °FHi 79 °FLo 57 °FHi 76 °F
 
OUR Forecast
13:00
This
afternoon
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Tonight

Fog late
Fog late
Wednesday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Wednesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Thursday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Thursday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Friday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Friday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday

Chance rain
Chance rain
High: 76°Low: 54°High: 75°Low: 55°High: 75°Low: 53°High: 79°Low: 61°High: 74°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 06-19-18 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-19-18 63   69 74   77 50   56 76   77 51   57 75   76 50   54 78   80
06-18-18 63 68.6 69 86 90.1 88 65   70 76   76 51   56 79   75 55   54 76   73
06-17-18 54 53.2 56 85 87.3 85 67 68.6 65 89 90.1 87 66   67 77   78 56   57 79   77
06-16-18 50 54.0 54 77 78.7 78 58 53.2 56 84 87.3 85 71 68.6 65 89 90.1 86 66   70 74   78
06-15-18 52 54.8 54 71 73.9 73 50 54.0 51 79 78.7 78 57 53.2 57 85 87.3 85 71 68.6 69 88 90.1 85
06-14-18 57 60.5 57 64 66.5 69 50 54.8 53 73 73.9 74 50 54.0 52 79 78.7 77 59 53.2 55 84 87.3 84
06-13-18 59 62.1 59 73 79.0 73 57 60.5 57 67 66.5 65 50 54.8 52 73 73.9 73 52 54.0 54 79 78.7 79
06-12-18 51 54.3 54 76 78.9 77 58 62.1 58 77 79.0 73 56 60.5 57 73 66.5 70 53 54.8 52 73 73.9 73
06-11-18 47 50.6 53 71 73.6 74 50 54.3 50 75 78.9 77 59 62.1 60 77 79.0 69 57 60.5 57 75 66.5 73
06-10-18 49 50.5 53 72 75.8 75 47 50.6 50 72 73.6 74 51 54.3 52 78 78.9 78 60 62.1 62 76 79.0 75
06-09-18 49 51.0 51 75 74.3 74 49 50.5 51 73 75.8 75 49 50.6 50 73 73.6 76 53 54.3 53 78 78.9 79
06-08-18 52 54.9 54 75 77.5 76 49 51.0 52 74 74.3 74 48 50.5 52 72 75.8 72 48 50.6 52 74 73.6 74
06-07-18 48 48.9 49 71 71.5 69 55 54.9 52 74 77.5 74 52 51.0 51 73 74.3 74 51 50.5 51 72 75.8 73
06-06-18 48 50.9 48 64 63.7 65 47 48.9 48 70 71.5 72 55 54.9 52 73 77.5 73 52 51.0 54 74 74.3 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 13 10 12 7 10 11 11 7 10 8 7 9 10 8 6
% Succ 84.6   100.0 76.9   92.3 58.3   83.3 91.7   91.7 63.6   90.9 72.7   63.6 90.0   100.0 80.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.8   1.5 2.5   1.8 3.0   2.4 1.8   1.8 2.8   2.3 2.2   3.1 2.3   1.5 2.4   3.8
Net Error -2.7   -0.3 -2.4   -1.1 -2.2   -1.7 -1.7   -1.6 -1.5   -1.3 -1.0   -2.1 -0.4   -0.1 -0.5   -2.3
Std Dev 1.3   1.2 1.4   1.4 1.2   1.3 1.1   1.6 1.0   0.9 1.6   2.4 1.2   1.1 2.1   1.7

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 06-19-18 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-19-18 74   76 45   53 75   78 50   56 75   76 48   54 79   80 57   59
06-18-18 86 90.1 89 64 63.4 71 75   76 50   55 77   76 53   56 75   73 50   51
06-17-18 84 87.3 83 69 68.6 65 88 90.1 86 67 63.4 69 77   78 55   59 79   77 56   56
06-16-18 77 78.7 78 58 53.2 57 85 87.3 85 70 68.6 66 90 90.1 86 66 63.4 71 76   80 56   58
06-15-18 71 73.9 73 51 54.0 51 79 78.7 78 58 53.2 56 86 87.3 80 70 68.6 68 89 90.1 85 64 63.4 68
06-14-18 65 66.5 71 50 54.8 54 72 73.9 74 50 54.0 48 80 78.7 79 58 53.2 56 85 87.3 84 70 68.6 70
06-13-18 75 79.0 73 57 60.5 58 65 66.5 66 52 54.8 52 72 73.9 73 51 54.0 50 79 78.7 79 57 53.2 58
06-12-18 78 78.9 79 59 62.1 58 76 79.0 74 57 60.5 58 68 66.5 71 49 54.8 51 72 73.9 73 52 54.0 51
06-11-18 72 73.6 74 50 54.3 49 75 78.9 77 59 62.1 58 79 79.0 74 56 60.5 55 75 66.5 71 54 54.8 51
06-10-18 73 75.8 75 47 50.6 54 71 73.6 74 50 54.3 52 77 78.9 77 61 62.1 58 77 79.0 77 56 60.5 55
06-09-18 75 74.3 74 47 50.5 52 72 75.8 75 47 50.6 51 74 73.6 74 54 54.3 53 78 78.9 79 59 62.1 63
06-08-18 75 77.5 76 48 51.0 53 75 74.3 75 49 50.5 54 72 75.8 74 48 50.6 53 74 73.6 76 52 54.3 53
06-07-18 70 71.5 70 53 54.9 53 74 77.5 74 50 51.0 50 73 74.3 74 48 50.5 53 73 75.8 74 48 50.6 49
06-06-18 64 63.7 66 47 48.9 49 70 71.5 72 54 54.9 55 74 77.5 75 52 51.0 56 72 74.3 71 52 50.5 53
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 10 10 9 10 10 9 9 10 7 8 5 9 8 8 6
% Succ 84.6   76.9 76.9   69.2 83.3   83.3 75.0   75.0 90.9   63.6 72.7   45.5 90.0   80.0 80.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.1   1.9 3.0   3.0 2.3   1.7 2.9   2.8 1.5   2.6 2.7   3.6 2.3   2.4 2.3   2.9
Net Error -2.0   -0.8 -2.1   -0.2 -2.1   -1.4 -1.2   -0.7 -1.0   -1.7 -0.9   0.1 -0.4   -0.9 -0.8   -0.1
Std Dev 1.1   1.8 1.3   1.7 1.0   1.5 1.0   1.5 0.7   2.1 1.6   1.8 2.1   1.4 1.1   1.3

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 06-19-18 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-19-18 74   76 45   54 75   75 50   55 75   75 48   53 79   79 57   61
06-18-18 86 90.1 89 64 63.4 70 75   77 50   56 77   76 53   57 75   73 50   51
06-17-18 84 87.3 84 69 68.6 67 88 90.1 86 67 63.4 68 77   78 55   59 79   77 56   56
06-16-18 78 78.7 78 58 53.2 57 85 87.3 85 70 68.6 66 90 90.1 86 66 63.4 71 76   80 56   58
06-15-18 71 73.9 72 51 54.0 53 79 78.7 78 58 53.2 59 86 87.3 85 70 68.6 70 89 90.1 85 64 63.4 71
06-14-18 66 66.5 69 50 54.8 53 72 73.9 74 50 54.0 51 80 78.7 78 58 53.2 56 85 87.3 84 70 68.6 70
06-13-18 76 79.0 73 57 60.5 58 64 66.5 66 52 54.8 52 72 73.9 73 51 54.0 50 79 78.7 79 57 53.2 58
06-12-18 78 78.9 80 59 62.1 60 76 79.0 73 57 60.5 59 68 66.5 64 49 54.8 53 72 73.9 73 52 54.0 52
06-11-18 72 73.6 73 52 54.3 48 76 78.9 76 59 62.1 58 79 79.0 74 56 60.5 55 75 66.5 71 54 54.8 51
06-10-18 73 75.8 76 47 50.6 52 71 73.6 73 50 54.3 52 77 78.9 76 61 62.1 60 77 79.0 77 56 60.5 56
06-09-18 75 74.3 76 47 50.5 52 72 75.8 76 47 50.6 51 74 73.6 74 54 54.3 53 78 78.9 79 59 62.1 63
06-08-18 76 77.5 78 48 51.0 53 75 74.3 76 49 50.5 55 72 75.8 75 48 50.6 54 74 73.6 75 52 54.3 53
06-07-18 69 71.5 71 53 54.9 52 74 77.5 75 50 51.0 50 73 74.3 74 48 50.5 50 73 75.8 74 48 50.6 50
06-06-18 62 63.7 65 47 48.9 46 70 71.5 69 54 54.9 51 74 77.5 73 52 51.0 52 72 74.3 75 52 50.5 50
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 12 11 10 11 10 9 7 10 8 8 8 9 8 8 6
% Succ 92.3   92.3 84.6   76.9 91.7   83.3 75.0   58.3 90.9   72.7 72.7   72.7 90.0   80.0 80.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.0   1.6 2.8   2.8 2.3   2.0 2.9   3.0 1.5   2.2 2.7   2.9 2.3   2.0 2.3   2.7
Net Error -1.9   -0.5 -1.9   -0.4 -2.1   -1.7 -1.2   -0.5 -1.0   -2.1 -0.9   0.1 -0.4   -0.6 -0.8   0.2
Std Dev 1.1   1.5 1.3   1.7 0.9   1.7 1.0   1.4 0.7   1.3 1.6   1.8 2.1   1.5 1.1   1.9

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 06-18-18 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
06-18-18 64   68 74   76 50   55 76   77 51   56 75   75 50   53 78   80
06-17-18 72 68.6 69 86 90.1 88 65   69 76   76 51   55 79   77 55   55 76   71
06-16-18 54 53.2 58 85 87.3 86 67 68.6 67 89 90.1 87 66   67 77   77 56   56 79   78
06-15-18 51 54.0 53 77 78.7 78 58 53.2 58 84 87.3 86 71 68.6 69 89 90.1 86 66   70 74   72
06-14-18 52 54.8 50 71 73.9 72 50 54.0 50 79 78.7 77 57 53.2 56 85 87.3 85 71 68.6 68 88 90.1 86
06-13-18 57 60.5 56 64 66.5 67 50 54.8 54 73 73.9 74 50 54.0 52 79 78.7 78 59 53.2 59 84 87.3 79
06-12-18 58 62.1 60 73 79.0 74 57 60.5 58 67 66.5 64 50 54.8 54 73 73.9 73 52 54.0 54 79 78.7 79
06-11-18 52 54.3 50 76 78.9 77 58 62.1 57 77 79.0 71 56 60.5 58 73 66.5 68 53 54.8 50 73 73.9 72
06-10-18 47 50.6 55 71 73.6 74 50 54.3 52 75 78.9 76 59 62.1 59 77 79.0 75 57 60.5 56 75 66.5 73
06-09-18 49 50.5 53 72 75.8 75 47 50.6 53 72 73.6 74 51 54.3 53 78 78.9 78 60 62.1 61 76 79.0 75
06-08-18 48 51.0 54 75 74.3 74 49 50.5 53 73 75.8 74 49 50.6 52 73 73.6 75 53 54.3 53 78 78.9 79
06-07-18 52 54.9 53 75 77.5 74 49 51.0 53 74 74.3 75 48 50.5 52 72 75.8 73 48 50.6 51 74 73.6 76
06-06-18 46 48.9 48 71 71.5 68 55 54.9 51 74 77.5 72 52 51.0 52 73 74.3 72 51 50.5 48 72 75.8 75
06-05-18 48 50.9 47 64 63.7 65 47 48.9 47 70 71.5 72 55 54.9 51 73 77.5 74 52 51.0 52 74 74.3 77
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 7 10 12 7 8 11 10 7 10 8 9 9 7 8 6
% Succ 92.3   53.8 76.9   92.3 58.3   66.7 91.7   83.3 63.6   90.9 72.7   81.8 90.0   70.0 80.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.8   3.0 2.5   1.8 3.0   2.8 1.8   2.4 2.8   1.9 2.2   2.2 2.3   2.2 2.4   3.1
Net Error -2.2   -0.6 -2.4   -1.4 -2.2   -0.9 -1.7   -2.1 -1.5   -0.6 -1.0   -1.7 -0.4   -0.8 -0.5   -0.7
Std Dev 0.8   1.5 1.4   1.4 1.2   1.2 1.1   2.0 1.0   0.8 1.6   1.1 1.2   1.8 2.1   2.2

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.