NWS Forecast
Tue, 25-Jul-2017 4:10
Overnight

Overnight: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Patchy Fog
Patchy Fog
Wednesday

Wednesday: Patchy Fog then Mostly Sunny
Patchy Fog then Mostly Sunny
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Thursday

Thursday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Friday

Friday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Partly Cloudy
Chance Showers And T-Storms then Partly Cloudy
Lo 55 °FHi 62 °FLo 54 °FHi 74 °FLo 64 °FHi 77 °FLo 62 °FHi 74 °FLo 56 °F
 
OUR Forecast
4:00
Today

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Wednesday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Thursday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Thursday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Friday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Friday
night
Clear
Clear
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 70°Low: 58°High: 73°Low: 63°High: 74°Low: 63°High: 74°Low: 55°High: 73°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 07-25-17 at 10:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-25-17 55   57 67   67 54   55 77   74 63   63 77   70 62   64 75   75
07-24-17 63 59.5 61 64 60.7 69 56   59 68   65 56   59 76   75 62   65 76   77
07-23-17 62 59.4 64 77 73.9 80 60 59.5 66 70 60.7 71 57   63 72   68 55   57 77   74
07-22-17 60 64.9 63 80 76.3 83 60 59.4 64 75 73.9 79 62 59.5 65 74 60.7 73 59   62 73   76
07-21-17 60 64.0 64 83 81.6 80 61 64.9 62 82 76.3 81 62 59.4 64 76 73.9 71 63 59.5 67 76 60.7 80
07-20-17 65 67.3 66 83 82.8 80 63 64.0 65 82 81.6 81 60 64.9 66 80 76.3 80 61 59.4 67 77 73.9 78
07-19-17 62 63.1 63 85 82.9 83 64 67.3 66 83 82.8 81 63 64.0 64 84 81.6 83 65 64.9 68 82 76.3 83
07-18-17 63 61.0 63 82 82.0 82 63 63.1 63 86 82.9 83 65 67.3 65 82 82.8 83 65 64.0 65 81 81.6 80
07-17-17 65 58.5 61 85 83.3 79 65 61.0 63 85 82.0 81 65 63.1 66 85 82.9 80 65 67.3 68 85 82.8 80
07-16-17 59 60.3 61 80 80.5 80 63 58.5 62 82 83.3 74 64 61.0 66 82 82.0 79 65 63.1 65 84 82.9 79
07-15-17 63 62.8 63 77 74.4 73 60 60.3 60 80 80.5 80 63 58.5 61 82 83.3 80 64 61.0 66 82 82.0 82
07-14-17 61 60.3 61 71 69.4 70 61 62.8 62 78 74.4 74 60 60.3 61 81 80.5 78 63 58.5 62 81 83.3 79
07-13-17 66 64.9 68 78 77.5 77 60 60.3 65 71 69.4 68 62 62.8 61 77 74.4 72 61 60.3 60 81 80.5 79
07-12-17 65 67.6 65 84 81.4 86 65 64.9 70 79 77.5 77 58 60.3 62 72 69.4 66 62 62.8 61 77 74.4 74
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 12 12 8 9 8 10 8 9 8 9 9 9 7 8 5
% Succ 76.9   92.3 92.3   61.5 75.0   66.7 83.3   66.7 81.8   72.7 81.8   81.8 90.0   70.0 80.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.5   1.6 1.8   2.9 1.7   2.7 2.6   3.0 2.4   2.6 2.9   3.5 1.9   3.2 3.3   4.5
Net Error 0.0   0.7 1.7   1.2 -0.1   1.8 2.3   0.4 0.3   1.8 2.5   -0.3 1.3   2.8 2.8   1.6
Std Dev 1.7   1.3 1.2   2.7 1.5   1.8 2.5   3.3 1.1   1.6 3.4   2.9 0.8   2.2 4.0   4.9

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 07-24-17 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-24-17 63   66 56   58 67   66 54   56 76   74 62   66 77   77 63   64
07-23-17 77 73.9 79 62 59.5 62 64   67 57   60 67   71 56   60 77   74 63   65
07-22-17 79 76.3 80 61 59.4 65 77 73.9 75 61 59.5 64 73   71 59   64 73   73 56   61
07-21-17 82 81.6 81 60 64.9 63 80 76.3 80 62 59.4 66 75 73.9 71 61 59.5 64 76   78 60   64
07-20-17 84 82.8 86 62 64.0 69 81 81.6 84 60 64.9 68 80 76.3 82 61 59.4 66 77 73.9 70 63 59.5 66
07-19-17 85 82.9 82 65 67.3 67 83 82.8 80 63 64.0 65 83 81.6 82 61 64.9 65 81 76.3 80 63 59.4 68
07-18-17 83 82.0 82 62 63.1 61 86 82.9 83 65 67.3 65 82 82.8 82 63 64.0 66 84 81.6 84 62 64.9 66
07-17-17 75 83.3 83 65 61.0 65 85 82.0 81 65 63.1 64 85 82.9 80 65 67.3 65 85 82.8 82 65 64.0 68
07-16-17 82 80.5 82 64 58.5 64 82 83.3 79 64 61.0 67 80 82.0 78 64 63.1 65 83 82.9 79 66 67.3 67
07-15-17 74 74.4 75 59 60.3 59 82 80.5 80 63 58.5 62 82 83.3 77 63 61.0 66 82 82.0 81 64 63.1 64
07-14-17 73 69.4 68 63 62.8 63 76 74.4 74 59 60.3 59 78 80.5 78 63 58.5 61 82 83.3 80 64 61.0 66
07-13-17 77 77.5 76 61 60.3 65 69 69.4 71 62 62.8 63 76 74.4 74 61 60.3 62 81 80.5 79 63 58.5 63
07-12-17 83 81.4 84 64 64.9 71 78 77.5 75 60 60.3 66 70 69.4 68 61 62.8 62 76 74.4 73 61 60.3 60
07-11-17 82 80.9 80 64 67.6 64 83 81.4 86 67 64.9 70 77 77.5 77 57 60.3 64 72 69.4 66 61 62.8 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 11 10 7 11 9 10 7 10 8 9 7 9 7 9 5
% Succ 92.3   84.6 76.9   53.8 91.7   75.0 83.3   58.3 90.9   72.7 81.8   63.6 90.0   70.0 90.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.1   1.7 2.4   3.3 1.7   2.1 2.2   3.4 1.6   2.5 2.1   2.8 1.9   2.5 2.3   3.3
Net Error 0.7   0.9 -0.1   1.9 1.3   0.2 0.4   2.8 0.3   -1.4 -0.1   2.3 1.6   -1.3 1.1   2.8
Std Dev 2.0   1.4 1.6   2.0 1.1   1.3 1.2   2.0 0.8   1.8 1.1   1.7 1.3   1.0 0.9   2.4

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 07-24-17 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-24-17 63   64 56   57 67   68 54   55 76   76 62   65 77   73 63   62
07-23-17 77 73.9 77 62 59.5 61 64   65 57   58 67   69 56   59 77   73 63   64
07-22-17 77 76.3 78 61 59.4 65 77 73.9 80 61 59.5 65 73   69 59   60 73   73 56   60
07-21-17 82 81.6 83 60 64.9 65 80 76.3 81 62 59.4 65 75 73.9 78 61 59.5 66 76   77 60   62
07-20-17 84 82.8 84 62 64.0 65 81 81.6 80 60 64.9 65 80 76.3 81 61 59.4 65 77 73.9 71 63 59.5 66
07-19-17 85 82.9 83 65 67.3 66 83 82.8 80 63 64.0 65 83 81.6 82 61 64.9 65 81 76.3 80 63 59.4 68
07-18-17 84 82.0 80 62 63.1 62 86 82.9 82 65 67.3 66 82 82.8 83 63 64.0 64 84 81.6 82 62 64.9 67
07-17-17 75 83.3 84 65 61.0 62 85 82.0 83 65 63.1 64 85 82.9 82 65 67.3 66 85 82.8 83 65 64.0 69
07-16-17 82 80.5 79 64 58.5 62 82 83.3 78 64 61.0 66 80 82.0 76 64 63.1 63 83 82.9 80 66 67.3 65
07-15-17 74 74.4 74 59 60.3 60 82 80.5 80 63 58.5 63 82 83.3 80 63 61.0 67 82 82.0 81 64 63.1 65
07-14-17 73 69.4 69 63 62.8 60 76 74.4 74 59 60.3 61 78 80.5 79 63 58.5 61 82 83.3 80 64 61.0 66
07-13-17 78 77.5 77 61 60.3 64 69 69.4 71 62 62.8 64 76 74.4 74 61 60.3 62 81 80.5 78 63 58.5 63
07-12-17 83 77.5 84 64 64.9 64 78 77.5 78 60 60.3 71 70 69.4 72 61 62.8 63 76 74.4 72 61 60.3 62
07-11-17 82 80.9 80 64 67.6 64 83 77.5 85 67 64.9 70 77 77.5 77 57 60.3 63 72 69.4 66 61 62.8 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 12 10 11 10 8 10 6 10 8 9 8 9 9 9 5
% Succ 84.6   92.3 76.9   84.6 83.3   66.7 83.3   50.0 90.9   72.7 81.8   72.7 90.0   90.0 90.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.3   1.6 2.4   2.0 2.0   2.7 2.2   3.5 1.6   2.2 2.1   2.4 1.9   2.3 2.3   3.8
Net Error 1.0   0.7 -0.1   0.5 1.7   0.8 0.4   3.3 0.3   -0.1 -0.1   2.2 1.6   -1.4 1.1   3.2
Std Dev 2.2   1.6 1.6   1.5 1.1   1.9 1.2   2.1 0.8   1.8 1.1   2.3 1.3   1.1 0.9   2.0

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 07-24-17 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-24-17 55   57 67   67 54   55 77   74 63   64 77   70 62   64 75   75
07-23-17 63 59.5 61 64 60.7 69 56   59 68   65 56   59 76   75 62   65 76   77
07-22-17 62 59.4 64 77 73.9 80 60 59.5 66 70 60.7 71 57   63 72   68 55   57 77   74
07-21-17 60 64.9 65 80 76.3 82 60 59.4 65 75 73.9 79 62 59.5 64 74 60.7 73 59   62 73   75
07-20-17 64 64.0 63 83 81.6 80 61 64.9 62 82 76.3 81 62 59.4 62 76 73.9 67 63 59.5 64 76 60.7 79
07-19-17 65 67.3 66 83 82.8 80 63 64.0 65 82 81.6 81 60 64.9 66 80 76.3 80 61 59.4 67 77 73.9 79
07-18-17 62 63.1 67 85 82.9 83 64 67.3 68 83 82.8 81 63 64.0 64 84 81.6 83 65 64.9 68 82 76.3 83
07-17-17 63 61.0 62 82 82.0 82 63 63.1 62 86 82.9 82 65 67.3 65 82 82.8 83 65 64.0 65 81 81.6 80
07-15-17 59 58.5 61 80 83.3 79 63 61.0 62 82 82.0 74 64 63.1 66 82 82.9 78 65 67.3 65 84 82.8 79
07-14-17 63 62.8 62 77 74.4 72 60 58.5 60 80 83.3 79 63 61.0 62 82 82.0 79 64 63.1 66 82 82.9 81
07-13-17 61 60.3 65 78 69.4 79 69 62.8 71 62 74.4 63 76 58.5 74 61 83.3 62 81 61.0 79 63 82.0 63
07-12-17 66 64.9 68 78 77.5 76 60 60.3 65 71 69.4 68 62 62.8 61 77 74.4 72 61 58.5 60 81 83.3 78
07-11-17 65 67.6 65 84 81.4 86 65 64.9 69 79 77.5 77 58 60.3 62 72 69.4 66 62 62.8 61 77 74.4 74
07-10-17 67 62.6 65 80 80.9 82 63 67.6 64 81 81.4 86 64 64.9 70 77 77.5 81 62 60.3 63 71 69.4 66
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 10 11 7 9 7 9 5 9 8 8 6 9 7 7 4
% Succ 84.6   76.9 84.6   53.8 75.0   58.3 75.0   41.7 81.8   72.7 72.7   54.5 90.0   70.0 70.0   40.0
Ave Error 2.0   2.3 2.5   3.7 2.0   3.4 3.3   4.5 3.4   3.5 4.7   5.7 3.4   4.5 5.2   6.6
Net Error 0.3   1.4 1.8   1.8 -0.2   2.1 0.6   -0.4 1.2   2.8 0.2   -1.9 2.8   3.7 0.7   -0.5
Std Dev 1.4   1.4 2.1   2.8 1.7   2.4 3.7   3.4 4.4   4.0 6.4   5.6 1.7   1.8 4.0   4.4

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.