NWS Forecast
6:36
Today

Today: A slight chance of rain before 4pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Southwest wind 11 to 14 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
Rain

Tonight

Tonight: Patchy fog after 8pm.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southwest wind 10 to 14 mph.
Patchy Fog

Wednesday

Wednesday: A chance of rain, mainly after 3pm.  Patchy fog before 10am.  Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 64. Southwest wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Patchy Fog
then Chance
Rain
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: A chance of rain before 2am, then a slight chance of rain and snow between 2am and 5am, then a slight chance of rain after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Northwest wind 8 to 16 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Chance Rain
then Slight
Chance
Rain/Snow
Thursday

Thursday: A slight chance of snow between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of rain and snow.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. North wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Slight Chance
Snow then
Chance
Rain/Snow
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: A chance of snow before 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Chance Snow
then Mostly
Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Snow likely between 8am and 2pm, then rain likely after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Snow Likely
then
Rain/Snow
Likely
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Rain likely, mainly before 8pm.  Cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Rain Likely

Saturday

Saturday: A chance of rain and snow before 11am, then a chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Chance
Rain/Snow
then Chance
Rain
Hi 62 °FLo 53 °FHi 64 °FLo 29 °FHi 36 °FLo 25 °FHi 39 °FLo 32 °FHi 42 °F
 
OUR Forecast
7:00
Today

Chance rain
Chance rain
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Wednesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Friday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Friday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Saturday

Rain likely
Rain likely
High: 56°Low: 51°High: 69°Low: 33°High: 37°Low: 28°High: 38°Low: 36° High: 47°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 02-20-18 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-20-18 47   36 61   60 54   52 68   70 30   33 38   38 24   27 40   40
02-19-18 19 17.3 22 42 43.9 44 41   39 59   62 52   53 68   70 37   37 42   41
02-18-18 27 28.0 26 36 34.1 35 24 17.3 25 46 43.9 46 39   38 59   64 50   53 65   70
02-17-18 17 20.1 21 33 33.1 36 23 28.0 28 37 34.1 35 24 17.3 26 44 43.9 49 39   40 59   60
02-16-18 36 40.4 38 37 41.6 39 13 20.1 20 32 33.1 35 23 28.0 27 37 34.1 40 24 17.3 27 44 43.9 50
02-15-18 35 34.2 35 50 53.1 49 35 40.4 37 38 41.6 39 14 20.1 18 30 33.1 34 20 28.0 26 37 34.1 38
02-14-18 19 15.9 17 41 43.9 42 35 34.2 32 47 53.1 49 34 40.4 35 40 41.6 38 13 20.1 17 28 33.1 31
02-13-18 9 9.1 10 26 28.8 30 19 15.9 21 40 43.9 42 35 34.2 29 46 53.1 46 32 40.4 36 36 41.6 40
02-12-18 26 25.4 24 28 30.2 29 9 9.1 10 29 28.8 28 17 15.9 19 42 43.9 42 34 34.2 34 47 53.1 48
02-11-18 31 31.0 33 38 32.6 38 25 25.4 26 32 30.2 29 8 9.1 13 31 28.8 28 23 15.9 21 41 43.9 41
02-10-18 29 20.3 22 38 37.0 39 32 31.0 34 41 32.6 39 25 25.4 26 32 30.2 30 12 9.1 15 32 28.8 33
02-09-18 7 11.4 7 25 21.4 24 23 20.3 23 38 37.0 39 30 31.0 33 39 32.6 38 23 25.4 26 32 30.2 30
02-08-18 24 11.1 9 10 22.6 22 22 11.4 7 8 21.4 26 28 20.3 22 15 37.0 39 35 31.0 32 26 32.6 37
02-07-18 12 11.1 12 24 23.9 29 10 11.1 8 22 22.6 22 8 11.4 6 28 21.4 23 15 20.3 19 35 37.0 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 11 10 10 7 9 8 9 6 6 7 7 3 6 6 5
% Succ 69.2   84.6 76.9   76.9 58.3   75.0 66.7   75.0 54.5   54.5 63.6   63.6 30.0   60.0 60.0   50.0
Ave Error 3.2   1.9 3.2   2.4 3.7   2.8 3.8   2.4 3.6   3.6 5.1   3.1 5.2   3.3 3.6   3.2
Net Error 1.2   0.1 -1.4   0.8 0.5   0.6 -1.0   0.6 -0.6   0.1 -1.4   0.7 -1.1   1.1 -2.0   0.8
Std Dev 3.6   1.2 3.0   1.4 2.3   2.1 2.3   1.5 2.3   2.1 2.7   2.1 2.3   2.4 1.6   1.3

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 02-20-18 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-20-18 62   56 53   51 64   69 29   33 36   37 25   28 39   38 32   36
02-19-18 43 43.9 45 40 34.8 39 60   62 54   54 66   69 33   34 41   40 26   27
02-18-18 34 34.1 37 24 17.3 26 42 43.9 45 40 34.8 39 59   64 53   54 66   70 31   34
02-17-18 34 33.1 36 26 28.0 28 36 34.1 35 23 17.3 25 44 43.9 48 39 34.8 40 60   62 49   53
02-16-18 38 20.1 42 16 41.6 21 32 33.1 36 24 28.0 27 38 34.1 39 26 17.3 27 45 43.9 50 37 34.8 41
02-15-18 47 53.1 48 36 40.4 37 36 20.1 38 13 41.6 18 32 33.1 33 24 28.0 27 38 34.1 38 23 17.3 26
02-14-18 41 43.9 40 36 34.2 31 37 53.1 51 35 40.4 37 40 20.1 39 14 41.6 17 28 33.1 32 19 28.0 26
02-13-18 27 28.8 31 20 15.9 22 41 43.9 43 37 34.2 32 47 53.1 49 33 40.4 34 36 20.1 36 12 41.6 12
02-12-18 29 30.2 31 5 9.1 11 26 28.8 29 18 15.9 20 44 43.9 42 36 34.2 34 48 53.1 45 31 40.4 33
02-11-18 40 32.6 37 24 25.4 25 31 30.2 29 9 9.1 13 28 28.8 28 20 15.9 20 43 43.9 42 32 34.2 35
02-10-18 40 37.0 35 32 31.0 33 39 32.6 39 25 25.4 25 32 30.2 29 11 9.1 15 32 28.8 32 24 15.9 25
02-09-18 25 21.4 27 24 20.3 25 38 37.0 39 32 31.0 34 39 32.6 38 25 25.4 26 32 30.2 31 13 9.1 16
02-08-18 24 22.6 25 10 11.4 7 22 21.4 26 8 20.3 23 28 37.0 38 15 31.0 33 35 32.6 39 26 25.4 26
02-07-18 24 23.9 26 10 11.1 6 22 22.6 21 8 11.4 5 28 21.4 24 15 20.3 21 35 37.0 38 26 31.0 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 8 6 6 9 9 6 6 5 6 3 5 6 5 3 4
% Succ 76.9   61.5 46.2   46.2 75.0   75.0 50.0   50.0 45.5   54.5 27.3   45.5 60.0   50.0 30.0   40.0
Ave Error 3.6   4.4 4.8   5.0 4.3   3.5 5.9   5.2 5.1   4.1 7.4   5.5 4.1   4.8 7.6   7.3
Net Error 1.6   2.7 -1.3   -0.7 0.1   2.5 -3.1   -1.0 2.0   2.6 -3.6   -0.4 1.5   2.6 -3.5   -0.5
Std Dev 4.5   5.2 6.2   5.0 5.2   4.6 7.3   5.8 5.4   4.9 6.8   6.3 4.0   4.0 7.4   7.6

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 02-19-18 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-19-18 40   46 40   39 60   62 54   53 66   70 33   35 41   40 26   28
02-18-18 34 34.1 34 24 17.3 25 42   43 40   39 59   62 53   53 66   70 31   43
02-17-18 36 33.1 34 26 28.0 26 36 34.1 35 23 17.3 24 44   48 39   39 60   64 49   53
02-16-18 40 41.6 39 18 20.1 21 32 33.1 35 24 28.0 28 38 34.1 37 26 17.3 27 42   50 41   40
02-15-18 48 53.1 52 36 40.4 38 36 41.6 41 13 20.1 20 32 33.1 35 24 28.0 26 38 34.1 39 23 17.3 28
02-14-18 40 43.9 43 36 34.2 32 48 53.1 51 36 40.4 36 37 41.6 38 14 20.1 17 28 33.1 33 19 28.0 25
02-13-18 27 28.8 27 20 15.9 19 41 43.9 41 37 34.2 30 47 53.1 49 33 40.4 36 36 41.6 41 12 20.1 13
02-12-18 29 30.2 31 5 9.1 11 26 28.8 30 18 15.9 21 44 43.9 42 36 34.2 33 48 53.1 45 31 40.4 33
02-11-18 37 32.6 36 24 25.4 24 31 30.2 29 9 9.1 12 28 28.8 28 20 15.9 20 43 43.9 42 32 34.2 33
02-10-18 36 37.0 37 32 31.0 32 39 32.6 37 25 25.4 24 32 30.2 29 11 9.1 12 32 28.8 30 24 15.9 21
02-09-18 25 21.4 22 24 20.3 20 38 37.0 37 32 31.0 33 39 32.6 37 25 25.4 27 32 30.2 29 13 9.1 12
02-08-18 22 22.6 23 6 11.4 8 26 21.4 25 23 20.3 23 38 37.0 38 30 31.0 32 37 32.6 39 21 25.4 27
02-07-18 24 23.9 24 10 11.1 8 22 22.6 21 8 11.4 4 28 21.4 24 15 20.3 22 35 37.0 36 26 31.0 29
02-06-18 27 26.9 22 9 11.1 10 23 23.9 24 11 11.1 8 22 22.6 21 9 11.4 8 26 21.4 30 9 20.3 17
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 12 7 12 8 11 8 7 6 9 5 8 4 6 1 6
% Succ 76.9   92.3 53.8   92.3 66.7   91.7 66.7   58.3 54.5   81.8 45.5   72.7 40.0   60.0 10.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.0   1.4 3.1   2.3 2.8   1.7 2.8   3.3 3.0   2.4 3.9   3.2 3.7   3.4 6.7   4.4
Net Error -0.3   -0.4 -0.4   -0.1 -0.4   0.3 -0.4   -0.1 0.6   -0.0 -0.9   0.6 -0.1   0.8 -3.2   -0.4
Std Dev 1.6   1.0 1.7   1.8 1.8   1.2 2.0   1.9 2.0   1.1 2.3   2.2 1.3   2.2 1.9   2.6

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 02-19-18 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-19-18 39   36 61   61 54   53 68   69 30   33 38   38 24   27 40   41
02-18-18 21 17.3 23 42 43.9 45 41   39 59   63 52   53 68   70 37   37 42   41
02-17-18 27 28.0 27 36 34.1 36 24 17.3 25 46 43.9 46 39   39 59   64 50   53 65   70
02-16-18 17 20.1 21 33 33.1 36 23 28.0 28 37 34.1 36 24 17.3 26 44 43.9 49 39   40 59   59
02-15-18 36 40.4 39 37 41.6 41 13 20.1 21 32 33.1 36 23 28.0 28 37 34.1 41 24 17.3 29 44 43.9 52
02-14-18 35 34.2 34 50 53.1 52 35 40.4 37 38 41.6 39 14 20.1 19 30 33.1 36 20 28.0 26 37 34.1 39
02-13-18 20 15.9 19 41 43.9 42 35 34.2 31 47 53.1 48 34 40.4 35 40 41.6 39 13 20.1 15 28 33.1 31
02-12-18 9 9.1 12 27 28.8 30 19 15.9 22 40 43.9 42 35 34.2 29 46 53.1 45 32 40.4 35 36 41.6 38
02-11-18 26 25.4 24 32 30.2 28 9 9.1 11 29 28.8 27 17 15.9 19 42 43.9 41 34 34.2 32 47 53.1 48
02-10-18 31 31.0 32 38 32.6 38 25 25.4 25 32 30.2 29 8 9.1 13 31 28.8 31 23 15.9 23 41 43.9 37
02-09-18 23 20.3 19 38 37.0 38 32 31.0 33 41 32.6 37 25 25.4 26 32 30.2 28 12 9.1 13 32 28.8 33
02-08-18 7 11.4 7 25 21.4 25 23 20.3 22 38 37.0 39 30 31.0 33 39 32.6 37 23 25.4 28 32 30.2 33
02-07-18 24 11.1 6 10 22.6 20 22 11.4 4 8 21.4 25 28 20.3 22 15 37.0 38 35 31.0 32 26 32.6 38
02-06-18 11 11.1 16 24 23.9 28 10 11.1 9 22 22.6 21 8 11.4 8 28 21.4 23 15 20.3 16 35 37.0 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 9 10 11 7 9 8 10 6 7 7 7 3 4 6 4
% Succ 61.5   69.2 76.9   84.6 58.3   75.0 66.7   83.3 54.5   63.6 63.6   63.6 30.0   40.0 60.0   40.0
Ave Error 2.9   2.6 3.1   2.3 3.7   3.1 3.8   2.6 3.6   3.2 5.1   3.6 5.2   4.5 3.6   4.5
Net Error 0.9   0.3 -1.0   1.0 0.5   0.3 -1.0   0.2 -0.6   0.4 -1.4   0.8 -1.1   0.7 -2.0   1.0
Std Dev 3.2   1.7 3.0   1.3 2.3   2.2 2.3   1.1 2.3   2.4 2.7   1.9 2.3   2.7 1.6   1.6

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.