NWS Forecast
7:52
Tonight

Tonight: A chance of rain before 11pm, then a chance of rain and snow between 11pm and 1am, then snow likely after 1am.  Cloudy, with a low around 31. East wind 6 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
Rain/Snow
Likely

Friday

Friday: Rain, snow, and sleet before noon, then rain and sleet between noon and 1pm, then rain after 1pm.  High near 36. East wind 11 to 14 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of around an inch possible.
Wintry Mix

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Rain before 11pm, then rain and sleet between 11pm and 3am, then sleet after 3am.  Low around 31. East wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New sleet accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Rain/Sleet

Saturday

Saturday: Snow and sleet likely, becoming all snow after 9am.  Cloudy, with a high near 37. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph becoming north in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Snow/Sleet
Likely then
Chance Snow
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. West wind around 6 mph.
Mostly Cloudy

Sunday

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 44.
Mostly Sunny

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 27.
Partly Cloudy

Monday

Monday: A chance of rain and snow showers between 9am and 3pm, then a chance of rain showers after 3pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 45. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
Rain/Snow

Monday
Night
Monday Night: A chance of rain showers before 3am, then a chance of rain and snow showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Chance
Showers then
Chance
Rain/Snow
Lo 31 °FHi 36 °FLo 31 °FHi 37 °FLo 30 °FHi 44 °FLo 27 °FHi 45 °FLo 34 °F
 
OUR Forecast
19:00
Tonight

Rain and Snow
Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Friday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Friday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Saturday

Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow
Saturday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Monday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Monday
night
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Low: 28°High: 36°Low: 32°High: 38°Low: 34°High: 42°Low: 27°High: 47°Low: 34°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

1am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 03-30-17 at 10:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-30-17 27   26 48   49 31   32 37   36 32   31 39   40 30   33 42   40
03-29-17 33 35.5 33 42 43.4 42 24   27 48   51 30   32 35   39 33   35 42   45
03-28-17 36 35.9 36 51 48.5 52 32 35.5 35 42 43.4 43 24   29 47   52 29   34 42   41
03-27-17 33 32.3 33 46 38.8 47 40 35.9 40 54 48.5 55 32 35.5 35 45 43.4 44 27   29 47   54
03-26-17 24 27.9 28 38 35.1 41 34 32.3 37 46 38.8 50 39 35.9 41 54 48.5 58 35 35.5 35 47 43.4 38
03-25-17 36 34.3 38 39 36.2 46 29 27.9 31 41 35.1 41 35 32.3 36 46 38.8 47 38 35.9 40 53 48.5 52
03-24-17 19 21.2 23 41 42.6 41 40 34.3 40 45 36.2 46 30 27.9 33 43 35.1 44 34 32.3 38 44 38.8 49
03-23-17 4 10.4 12 29 30.7 34 22 21.2 22 44 42.6 41 38 34.3 40 47 36.2 53 32 27.9 37 42 35.1 49
03-22-17 16 13.5 18 22 19.9 22 5 10.4 13 33 30.7 34 18 21.2 23 39 42.6 41 34 34.3 39 47 36.2 49
03-21-17 32 32.3 30 42 46.2 43 17 13.5 15 22 19.9 19 7 10.4 11 32 30.7 34 19 21.2 22 42 42.6 40
03-20-17 18 21.0 21 39 41.4 40 30 32.3 30 43 46.2 41 16 13.5 16 22 19.9 20 9 10.4 11 32 30.7 33
03-19-17 22 28.0 22 36 45.6 37 14 21.0 20 39 41.4 39 28 32.3 31 41 46.2 41 14 13.5 18 23 19.9 21
03-18-17 9 10.2 13 33 35.4 35 22 28.0 22 38 45.6 37 17 21.0 16 38 41.4 38 27 32.3 30 38 46.2 36
03-17-17 23 18.9 16 32 34.9 30 9 10.2 3 32 35.4 32 21 28.0 22 35 45.6 37 16 21.0 20 38 41.4 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 10 10 8 7 7 7 6 7 5 5 5 7 5 5 5
% Succ 69.2   76.9 76.9   61.5 58.3   58.3 58.3   50.0 63.6   45.5 45.5   45.5 70.0   50.0 50.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.7   2.2 3.4   4.2 3.5   3.3 4.3   4.9 3.6   3.4 5.4   6.0 2.3   3.3 4.8   6.4
Net Error -1.3   0.1 -0.7   0.9 -0.7   0.5 1.3   1.2 -1.0   1.1 1.2   2.6 -0.6   2.6 2.3   2.3
Std Dev 2.0   1.8 2.5   3.2 2.3   2.1 2.9   3.8 2.0   2.4 3.9   5.6 1.8   3.2 3.9   5.5

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 03-30-17 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-30-17 46   49 31   31 34   35 31   31 38   36 30   32 41   39 28   29
03-29-17 42 43.4 42 25 26.4 28 47   51 30   32 34   39 32   34 40   44 31   33
03-28-17 49 48.5 51 33 35.5 34 43 43.4 41 26 26.4 28 47   51 29   33 37   40 33   36
03-27-17 46 38.8 45 39 35.9 38 54 48.5 52 33 35.5 34 44 43.4 43 25 26.4 29 49   52 29   34
03-26-17 37 35.1 41 35 32.3 37 47 38.8 49 40 35.9 40 54 48.5 56 34 35.5 36 46 43.4 43 28 26.4 31
03-25-17 39 36.2 43 25 27.9 29 37 35.1 41 36 32.3 35 46 38.8 47 38 35.9 41 53 48.5 55 37 35.5 35
03-24-17 40 42.6 39 38 34.3 38 44 36.2 44 29 27.9 32 42 35.1 43 34 32.3 38 46 38.8 55 38 35.9 43
03-23-17 33 30.7 31 20 21.2 19 42 42.6 41 38 34.3 40 46 36.2 49 29 27.9 37 40 35.1 48 31 32.3 40
03-22-17 24 19.9 18 6 10.4 10 34 30.7 33 21 21.2 21 40 42.6 42 39 34.3 41 47 36.2 49 28 27.9 34
03-21-17 44 46.2 46 16 13.5 17 20 19.9 21 6 10.4 12 31 30.7 34 19 21.2 23 42 42.6 41 35 34.3 37
03-20-17 40 41.4 40 30 32.3 30 44 46.2 42 17 13.5 16 21 19.9 20 5 10.4 11 32 30.7 33 19 21.2 22
03-19-17 36 45.6 41 16 21.0 20 39 41.4 39 29 32.3 30 41 46.2 43 16 13.5 18 21 19.9 21 9 10.4 13
03-18-17 32 35.4 35 22 28.0 24 36 45.6 37 18 21.0 19 38 41.4 39 28 32.3 32 39 46.2 37 14 13.5 13
03-17-17 32 34.9 31 5 10.2 6 32 35.4 34 22 28.0 21 37 45.6 36 17 21.0 16 38 41.4 38 26 32.3 30
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 8 8 9 8 7 7 8 5 6 7 5 5 5 9 6
% Succ 76.9   61.5 61.5   69.2 66.7   58.3 58.3   66.7 45.5   54.5 63.6   45.5 50.0   50.0 90.0   60.0
Ave Error 3.3   3.0 3.3   2.5 3.8   4.3 3.0   2.9 4.7   5.1 2.8   3.8 4.4   6.6 1.8   3.5
Net Error -0.4   0.3 -1.5   0.1 0.7   0.9 -0.3   0.8 1.1   2.1 -0.6   2.8 2.1   3.7 -0.5   2.8
Std Dev 2.6   2.4 1.6   1.4 3.0   3.1 1.8   1.9 3.8   4.6 2.0   3.2 3.8   6.4 1.3   3.1

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 03-30-17 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-30-17 46   44 31   31 34   36 31   32 38   38 30   33 41   40 28   24
03-29-17 42 43.4 41 25 26.4 25 47   49 30   32 34   35 32   33 40   39 31   34
03-28-17 49 48.5 48 33 35.5 32 43 43.4 41 26 26.4 27 47   51 29   33 37   39 33   34
03-27-17 42 38.8 42 39 35.9 38 54 48.5 55 33 35.5 35 44 43.4 42 25 26.4 29 49   53 29   34
03-26-17 37 35.1 36 33 32.3 33 47 38.8 46 40 35.9 39 54 48.5 56 34 35.5 36 46 43.4 43 28 26.4 30
03-25-17 39 36.2 39 25 27.9 26 37 35.1 39 36 32.3 35 46 38.8 47 38 35.9 41 53 48.5 53 37 35.5 35
03-24-17 40 42.6 36 38 34.3 35 44 36.2 42 29 27.9 30 42 35.1 42 34 32.3 38 46 38.8 50 38 35.9 41
03-23-17 33 30.7 32 19 21.2 19 42 42.6 41 38 34.3 40 46 36.2 47 29 27.9 35 40 35.1 45 31 32.3 39
03-22-17 24 19.9 19 6 10.4 11 34 30.7 33 21 21.2 22 40 42.6 41 39 34.3 40 47 36.2 50 28 27.9 35
03-21-17 46 46.2 46 16 13.5 19 22 19.9 22 6 10.4 12 31 30.7 34 19 21.2 22 42 42.6 41 35 34.3 39
03-20-17 40 41.4 43 30 32.3 28 44 46.2 42 17 13.5 16 21 19.9 20 5 10.4 11 32 30.7 33 19 21.2 22
03-19-17 36 45.6 40 16 21.0 21 39 41.4 40 29 32.3 30 41 46.2 42 16 13.5 16 21 19.9 20 9 10.4 10
03-18-17 33 35.4 35 23 28.0 21 36 45.6 38 18 21.0 19 38 41.4 39 28 32.3 28 39 46.2 39 14 13.5 17
03-17-17 32 34.9 36 5 10.2 7 32 35.4 35 22 28.0 25 37 45.6 37 17 21.0 18 38 41.4 37 26 32.3 30
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 11 8 10 8 6 7 11 5 5 7 6 5 4 9 6
% Succ 84.6   84.6 61.5   76.9 66.7   50.0 58.3   91.7 45.5   45.5 63.6   54.5 50.0   40.0 90.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.7   2.1 3.1   2.5 4.0   3.8 3.0   2.2 4.7   5.0 2.8   3.4 4.4   5.5 1.8   3.5
Net Error -0.4   -0.4 -1.6   -1.1 0.9   0.9 -0.3   0.9 1.1   1.7 -0.6   2.1 2.1   2.8 -0.5   2.8
Std Dev 2.4   2.0 1.5   2.1 2.9   2.4 1.8   1.6 3.8   4.0 2.0   2.8 3.8   5.3 1.3   2.9

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 03-29-17 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-29-17 26   25 48   48 31   31 37   35 32   31 39   40 30   33 42   40
03-28-17 33 35.5 33 42 43.4 42 24   28 48   51 30   32 35   39 33   35 42   45
03-27-17 40 35.9 37 51 48.5 52 32 35.5 36 42 43.4 43 24   29 47   52 29   34 42   41
03-26-17 35 32.3 33 46 38.8 47 40 35.9 40 54 48.5 55 32 35.5 35 45 43.4 44 27   29 47   54
03-25-17 25 27.9 26 38 35.1 40 34 32.3 36 46 38.8 50 39 35.9 41 54 48.5 58 35 35.5 35 47 43.4 38
03-24-17 39 34.3 39 39 36.2 46 29 27.9 31 41 35.1 41 35 32.3 36 46 38.8 47 38 35.9 40 53 48.5 52
03-23-17 19 21.2 23 41 42.6 41 40 34.3 40 45 36.2 46 30 27.9 33 43 35.1 44 34 32.3 38 44 38.8 49
03-22-17 5 10.4 12 29 30.7 34 22 21.2 22 44 42.6 41 38 34.3 40 47 36.2 53 32 27.9 37 42 35.1 49
03-21-17 16 13.5 18 22 19.9 21 5 10.4 12 33 30.7 34 18 21.2 22 39 42.6 41 34 34.3 39 47 36.2 49
03-20-17 30 32.3 29 42 46.2 42 17 13.5 16 22 19.9 20 7 10.4 12 32 30.7 34 19 21.2 22 42 42.6 40
03-19-17 16 21.0 21 39 41.4 40 30 32.3 30 43 46.2 41 16 13.5 15 22 19.9 19 9 10.4 10 32 30.7 33
03-18-17 23 28.0 21 36 45.6 37 14 21.0 19 39 41.4 39 28 32.3 30 41 46.2 39 14 13.5 18 23 19.9 21
03-17-17 9 10.2 6 33 35.4 35 22 28.0 23 38 45.6 36 17 21.0 15 38 41.4 38 27 32.3 29 38 46.2 36
03-16-17 11 18.9 15 31 34.9 31 9 10.2 4 32 35.4 32 21 28.0 22 35 45.6 36 16 21.0 21 38 41.4 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 8 9 7 7 7 7 6 7 5 5 5 7 5 5 5
% Succ 53.8   61.5 69.2   53.8 58.3   58.3 58.3   50.0 63.6   45.5 45.5   45.5 70.0   50.0 50.0   50.0
Ave Error 3.7   2.9 3.4   4.0 3.5   3.1 4.3   5.0 3.6   3.5 5.4   6.4 2.3   3.3 4.8   6.4
Net Error -1.6   -0.6 -0.7   0.7 -0.7   0.5 1.3   1.2 -1.0   0.8 1.2   2.2 -0.6   2.5 2.3   2.3
Std Dev 1.7   2.0 2.5   3.2 2.3   1.9 2.9   3.9 2.0   2.5 3.9   5.6 1.8   3.2 3.9   5.5

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.