NWS Forecast
6:10
Today

Today: A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain before 1pm, then rain and sleet between 1pm and 3pm, then rain after 3pm.  High near 34. Light southeast wind becoming east 6 to 11 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.  Total daytime snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Chance Wintry
Mix then
Rain/Sleet
Tonight

Tonight: Rain, freezing rain, and sleet before 2am, then sleet between 2am and 4am, then rain likely after 4am.  Low around 31. East wind 6 to 11 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.  New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Wintry Mix

Wednesday

Wednesday: Rain showers and sleet likely before noon, then a chance of rain and snow showers between noon and 1pm, then a chance of rain showers after 1pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 35. Light and variable wind becoming northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow and sleet accumulation expected.
Wintry Mix
Likely
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: A chance of rain and snow showers, mainly before 7pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. West wind 6 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Chance
Rain/Snow
Thursday

Thursday: A slight chance of snow showers before 10am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40. West wind around 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
Rain/Snow
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.
Mostly Cloudy

Friday

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 42.
Partly Sunny

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29.
Mostly Cloudy

Saturday

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39.
Mostly Cloudy

Hi 34 °FLo 31 °FHi 35 °FLo 32 °FHi 40 °FLo 28 °FHi 42 °FLo 29 °FHi 39 °F
 
OUR Forecast
7:00
Today

Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow
Tonight

Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow
Wednesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Wednesday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Thursday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Thursday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 41°Low: 34°High: 40°Low: 32°High: 41°Low: 28°High: 44°Low: 26°High: 43°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

1am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 01-17-17 at 1:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-17-17 26   26 33   38 30   33 36   39 30   29 39   41 28   29 41   44
01-16-17 19 18.2 16 35 39.7 39 22   26 35   37 32   34 39   40 32   30 39   39
01-15-17 17 15.1 15 31 31.3 31 14 18.2 16 37 39.7 38 24   20 39   38 35   31 43   40
01-14-17 11 12.3 13 26 22.9 31 17 15.1 18 29 31.3 31 13 18.2 14 36 39.7 37 26   20 39   37
01-13-17 31 29.8 28 32 30.0 31 11 12.3 13 25 22.9 30 19 15.1 18 30 31.3 31 15 18.2 14 36 39.7 37
01-12-17 42 37.3 40 50 52.6 53 30 29.8 27 32 30.0 30 5 12.3 15 26 22.9 29 16 15.1 21 30 31.3 32
01-11-17 30 33.7 33 42 47.3 41 34 37.3 28 50 52.6 50 28 29.8 28 33 30.0 30 11 12.3 15 25 22.9 29
01-10-17 9 6.9 8 31 36.0 28 30 33.7 26 43 47.3 40 34 37.3 30 49 52.6 48 34 29.8 27 39 30.0 29
01-09-17 -1 1.3 1 20 17.1 16 13 6.9 11 30 36.0 24 30 33.7 23 44 47.3 42 34 37.3 33 47 52.6 44
01-08-17 7 9.3 8 15 16.7 17 2 1.3 2 22 17.1 21 16 6.9 13 32 36.0 29 31 33.7 26 43 47.3 43
01-07-17 4 4.5 7 20 19.5 20 7 9.3 10 15 16.7 17 3 1.3 5 23 17.1 24 17 6.9 16 34 36.0 31
01-06-17 14 11.7 15 23 19.5 21 7 4.5 8 21 19.5 23 8 9.3 10 17 16.7 17 1 1.3 8 21 17.1 24
01-05-17 17 17.0 16 27 24.1 25 14 11.7 16 24 19.5 23 11 4.5 10 21 19.5 23 8 9.3 11 18 16.7 19
01-04-17 33 33.3 33 36 38.8 40 19 17.0 18 26 24.1 21 15 11.7 13 24 19.5 20 9 4.5 8 22 19.5 19
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 13 10 10 9 8 8 8 5 5 7 6 7 4 5 5
% Succ 84.6   100.0 76.9   76.9 75.0   66.7 66.7   66.7 45.5   45.5 63.6   54.5 70.0   40.0 50.0   50.0
Ave Error 1.8   1.4 2.9   2.3 2.5   3.3 3.0   3.8 4.3   4.3 3.1   3.4 3.2   4.9 3.6   3.8
Net Error 0.2   0.2 -0.6   -0.2 0.1   -0.3 -0.2   -0.7 0.2   -0.1 0.2   -0.2 0.8   1.1 0.2   -0.6
Std Dev 1.3   1.0 1.7   2.9 1.9   2.9 1.8   3.7 3.1   3.3 1.9   2.9 2.2   3.4 3.0   3.2

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 01-16-17 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-16-17 37   39 24   26 34   36 33   33 38   38 31   28 38   40 28   30
01-15-17 30 31.3 33 16 18.2 17 35   39 21   22 36   36 33   33 40   40 32   30
01-14-17 28 22.9 31 22 15.1 18 29 31.3 31 14 18.2 14 37   37 25   20 39   38 36   34
01-13-17 32 30.0 32 8 12.3 13 27 22.9 30 18 15.1 17 30 31.3 32 15 18.2 15 36   38 26   21
01-12-17 52 52.6 53 28 29.8 28 32 30.0 31 5 12.3 14 23 22.9 29 17 15.1 19 31 31.3 32 16 18.2 15
01-11-17 45 47.3 43 35 37.3 29 50 52.6 50 31 29.8 28 32 30.0 31 11 12.3 14 26 22.9 29 16 15.1 15
01-10-17 32 36.0 25 31 33.7 23 43 47.3 40 35 37.3 29 50 52.6 47 31 29.8 26 34 30.0 29 12 12.3 12
01-09-17 20 17.1 17 7 6.9 10 31 36.0 25 31 33.7 23 44 47.3 39 35 37.3 30 48 52.6 45 36 29.8 39
01-08-17 16 16.7 17 -2 1.3 2 20 17.1 21 14 6.9 13 31 36.0 30 31 33.7 26 41 47.3 41 34 37.3 32
01-07-17 20 19.5 21 7 9.3 10 15 16.7 17 2 1.3 4 25 17.1 23 16 6.9 15 34 36.0 30 29 33.7 26
01-06-17 20 19.5 19 7 4.5 8 17 19.5 20 6 9.3 9 16 16.7 15 3 1.3 6 22 17.1 24 17 6.9 18
01-05-17 26 24.1 25 13 11.7 15 20 19.5 21 6 4.5 8 21 19.5 22 8 9.3 9 17 16.7 17 0 1.3 7
01-04-17 38 38.8 38 19 17.0 20 28 24.1 22 15 11.7 15 25 19.5 18 9 4.5 7 21 19.5 20 8 9.3 9
01-03-17 35 34.3 38 34 33.3 35 36 38.8 40 20 17.0 20 26 24.1 20 15 11.7 13 24 19.5 19 9 4.5 11
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 9 11 11 8 8 9 8 8 5 9 5 5 5 6 4
% Succ 84.6   69.2 84.6   84.6 66.7   66.7 75.0   66.7 72.7   45.5 81.8   45.5 50.0   50.0 60.0   40.0
Ave Error 1.8   2.7 2.5   3.2 2.9   3.2 3.3   4.0 2.9   3.9 3.0   4.0 3.2   3.6 3.5   4.9
Net Error 0.3   0.1 -0.4   -0.2 -0.7   -0.7 -0.0   -0.3 0.5   -1.0 1.0   -0.0 0.5   -0.7 0.9   1.6
Std Dev 1.5   3.3 1.7   3.0 1.7   3.5 2.4   3.3 2.5   3.1 2.6   3.0 2.5   3.2 2.8   4.1

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 01-16-17 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-16-17 37   39 24   25 34   37 33   34 38   39 31   28 38   41 28   30
01-15-17 30 31.3 32 16 18.2 17 35   38 21   23 36   36 33   33 40   41 32   29
01-14-17 28 22.9 26 22 15.1 19 29 31.3 31 14 18.2 15 37   38 25   21 39   41 36   33
01-13-17 32 30.0 29 12 12.3 13 26 22.9 31 18 15.1 19 30 31.3 30 15 18.2 14 36   38 26   23
01-12-17 52 52.6 54 31 29.8 28 32 30.0 31 5 12.3 13 23 22.9 30 17 15.1 22 31 31.3 31 16 18.2 15
01-11-17 46 47.3 46 35 37.3 31 50 52.6 51 31 29.8 28 32 30.0 31 11 12.3 14 26 22.9 29 16 15.1 15
01-10-17 32 43.1 22 31 33.7 20 43 47.3 39 35 37.3 28 50 52.6 49 31 29.8 27 34 30.0 30 12 12.3 13
01-09-17 20 17.1 15 11 6.9 6 31 43.1 24 31 33.7 23 44 47.3 40 35 37.3 30 48 52.6 45 36 29.8 30
01-08-17 16 16.7 18 -2 1.3 1 20 17.1 21 14 6.9 12 31 43.1 30 31 33.7 26 41 47.3 40 34 37.3 31
01-07-17 17 19.5 19 8 9.3 8 15 16.7 17 2 1.3 3 25 17.1 21 16 6.9 13 34 43.1 30 29 33.7 26
01-06-17 21 19.5 19 7 4.5 8 17 19.5 21 6 9.3 10 16 16.7 15 3 1.3 6 22 17.1 25 17 6.9 18
01-05-17 25 24.1 25 13 11.7 14 20 19.5 21 6 4.5 8 21 19.5 22 8 9.3 9 17 16.7 17 0 1.3 7
01-04-17 37 38.8 40 19 17.0 18 28 24.1 26 15 11.7 17 25 19.5 23 9 4.5 10 21 19.5 23 8 9.3 12
01-03-17 35 34.3 35 33 33.3 34 36 38.8 41 20 17.0 16 26 24.1 18 15 11.7 11 24 19.5 20 9 4.5 8
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 12 11 10 9 8 9 7 8 6 9 4 4 5 6 6
% Succ 84.6   92.3 84.6   76.9 75.0   66.7 75.0   58.3 72.7   54.5 81.8   36.4 40.0   50.0 60.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.5   2.8 2.3   2.9 3.4   4.1 3.3   3.9 3.5   4.6 3.0   4.4 3.9   4.7 3.5   4.1
Net Error -0.5   -1.3 0.4   -1.0 -1.3   -0.7 -0.0   -0.4 -0.1   -1.4 1.0   0.2 -0.2   -1.0 0.9   0.7
Std Dev 2.8   5.4 1.7   3.6 3.1   5.4 2.4   3.4 3.8   4.1 2.6   3.0 3.3   4.7 2.8   3.6

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 01-16-17 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-16-17 24   27 33   37 30   33 36   39 30   28 39   41 28   28 41   44
01-15-17 16 18.2 16 35 39.7 38 22   25 35   37 32   34 39   39 32   29 39   39
01-14-17 19 15.1 17 31 31.3 31 14 18.2 16 37 39.7 38 24   20 39   38 35   32 43   40
01-13-17 11 12.3 13 26 22.9 31 17 15.1 19 29 31.3 30 13 18.2 14 36 39.7 37 26   21 39   37
01-12-17 31 29.8 27 32 30.0 30 11 12.3 13 25 22.9 29 19 15.1 19 30 31.3 31 15 18.2 14 36 39.7 37
01-11-17 38 37.3 38 50 52.6 53 30 29.8 27 32 30.0 30 5 12.3 15 26 22.9 30 16 15.1 20 30 31.3 33
01-10-17 30 33.7 29 44 47.3 40 34 37.3 28 50 52.6 50 28 29.8 28 33 30.0 30 11 12.3 15 25 22.9 29
01-09-17 11 6.9 8 32 36.0 29 30 33.7 26 43 47.3 41 34 37.3 30 49 52.6 48 34 29.8 28 39 30.0 30
01-08-17 -1 1.3 1 20 17.1 21 13 6.9 12 30 36.0 29 30 33.7 26 44 47.3 40 34 37.3 32 47 52.6 46
01-07-17 7 9.3 8 15 16.7 17 2 1.3 2 22 17.1 21 16 6.9 12 32 36.0 29 31 33.7 26 43 47.3 44
01-06-17 5 4.5 7 20 19.5 20 7 9.3 10 15 16.7 16 3 1.3 5 23 17.1 24 17 6.9 16 34 36.0 31
01-05-17 14 11.7 15 23 19.5 21 7 4.5 9 21 19.5 23 8 9.3 10 17 16.7 17 1 1.3 7 21 17.1 24
01-04-17 17 17.0 17 27 24.1 26 14 11.7 17 24 19.5 24 11 4.5 11 21 19.5 23 8 9.3 11 18 16.7 20
01-03-17 33 33.3 33 36 38.8 41 19 17.0 16 26 24.1 19 15 11.7 11 24 19.5 21 9 4.5 9 22 19.5 20
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 12 11 9 9 6 8 6 5 4 7 6 7 3 5 6
% Succ 76.9   92.3 84.6   69.2 75.0   50.0 66.7   50.0 45.5   36.4 63.6   54.5 70.0   30.0 50.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.9   1.7 2.6   2.7 2.5   3.7 3.0   3.6 4.3   4.0 3.1   3.7 3.2   4.8 3.6   3.6
Net Error 0.0   -0.1 -0.3   0.2 0.1   -0.2 -0.2   -0.6 0.2   0.1 0.2   -0.2 0.8   1.0 0.2   0.1
Std Dev 1.4   1.4 1.4   2.9 1.9   3.0 1.8   2.6 3.1   2.7 1.9   3.2 2.2   3.4 3.0   2.9

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.