NWS Forecast
Fri, 20-Apr-2018 9:41
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain
Lo 26 °FHi 46 °FLo 26 °FHi 51 °FLo 30 °FHi 59 °FLo 38 °FHi 61 °FLo 42 °F
 
OUR Forecast
19:00
Tonight

Fog late
Fog late
Saturday

Fog a.m.
Cold!
Fog a.m.
Cold!
Saturday
night
Clear
Clear
Sunday

Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
night
Clear
Clear
Monday

Sunny
Sunny
Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Tuesday
night
Cloudy
Cloudy
Low: 27°High: 45°Low: 27°High: 49°Low: 26°High: 57°Low: 35°High: 62°Low: 43°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 04-20-18 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-18 28   28 39   37 28   24 47   44 27   22 52   43 30   20 55   56
04-19-18 30 32.4 30 38 37.4 38 29   28 37   37 28   26 44   45 27   27 50   50
04-18-18 30 29.9 28 43 43.4 41 33 32.4 31 38 37.4 39 32   31 39   37 29   27 44   41
04-17-18 33 33.9 31 39 39.3 38 33 29.9 28 42 43.4 40 35 32.4 33 40 37.4 40 32   31 39   41
04-16-18 30 30.3 30 45 41.6 55 33 33.9 33 41 39.3 38 33 29.9 31 43 43.4 42 33 32.4 34 41 37.4 45
04-15-18 25 26.6 27 32 31.3 34 32 30.3 32 48 41.6 55 33 33.9 36 40 39.3 41 32 29.9 33 45 43.4 42
04-14-18 41 42.4 44 42 45.1 46 29 26.6 31 32 31.3 36 32 30.3 35 46 41.6 50 33 33.9 35 41 39.3 40
04-13-18 42 39.7 38 49 53.7 48 41 42.4 42 43 45.1 44 32 26.6 34 42 31.3 40 40 30.3 38 49 41.6 59
04-12-18 33 28.6 29 52 48.6 49 41 39.7 36 56 53.7 44 45 42.4 43 57 45.1 61 35 26.6 42 42 31.3 53
04-11-18 20 23.4 25 46 44.4 42 33 28.6 29 51 48.6 46 39 39.7 41 56 53.7 56 43 42.4 46 59 45.1 58
04-10-18 41 29.4 28 25 40.5 41 40 23.4 25 24 44.4 44 46 28.6 27 34 48.6 46 51 39.7 35 37 53.7 50
04-09-18 16 19.0 18 39 38.8 37 25 29.4 25 43 40.5 42 24 23.4 26 45 44.4 46 32 28.6 35 51 48.6 49
04-08-18 18 22.4 19 38 32.6 33 15 19.0 18 41 38.8 38 24 29.4 26 43 40.5 42 27 23.4 27 44 44.4 46
04-07-18 26 25.6 25 38 33.8 32 18 22.4 18 38 32.6 33 17 19.0 17 40 38.8 37 28 29.4 27 41 40.5 43
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 13 9 11 7 8 9 9 8 9 7 8 7 6 6 5
% Succ 76.9   100.0 69.2   84.6 58.3   66.7 75.0   75.0 72.7   81.8 63.6   72.7 70.0   60.0 60.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.8   1.5 3.3   2.6 3.8   2.2 4.0   3.4 3.9   2.5 4.7   4.4 4.2   5.0 5.9   7.0
Net Error 0.1   -0.9 -0.3   0.3 1.3   -0.8 0.0   0.2 2.2   1.2 2.0   3.4 3.7   3.5 2.5   6.0
Std Dev 2.8   0.9 3.9   3.4 4.1   1.3 5.2   3.7 4.4   1.9 4.6   4.2 3.0   3.8 3.6   6.6

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 04-20-18 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-18 39   39 28   25 45   46 28   26 48   51 28   29 58   59 34   35
04-19-18 38 37.4 39 29 29.3 30 39   39 28   26 48   45 27   27 50   50 30   30
04-18-18 43 43.4 41 32 32.4 30 37 37.4 39 29 29.3 32 39   38 29   27 43   43 27   26
04-17-18 39 39.3 38 31 29.9 27 45 43.4 41 33 32.4 32 38 37.4 39 31 29.3 30 40   39 29   29
04-16-18 43 41.6 50 33 33.9 32 40 39.3 37 31 29.9 32 43 43.4 41 32 32.4 33 43 37.4 41 32 29.3 34
04-15-18 32 31.3 33 31 30.3 31 47 41.6 51 33 33.9 35 40 39.3 42 31 29.9 33 44 43.4 42 34 32.4 34
04-14-18 49 45.1 45 29 26.6 29 34 31.3 35 34 30.3 33 51 41.6 46 32 33.9 35 41 39.3 41 31 29.9 34
04-13-18 52 53.7 50 40 42.4 44 44 45.1 45 30 26.6 33 42 31.3 39 35 30.3 38 51 41.6 58 34 33.9 36
04-12-18 51 48.6 51 38 39.7 37 56 53.7 45 44 42.4 44 62 45.1 53 35 26.6 38 49 31.3 48 42 30.3 44
04-11-18 45 44.4 41 32 28.6 28 50 48.6 46 39 39.7 36 55 53.7 50 43 42.4 44 56 45.1 57 36 26.6 35
04-10-18 40 40.5 41 25 23.4 25 45 44.4 44 34 28.6 27 52 48.6 45 38 39.7 35 58 53.7 50 44 42.4 44
04-09-18 16 38.8 37 39 29.4 26 25 40.5 42 43 23.4 24 24 44.4 45 45 28.6 35 32 48.6 48 51 39.7 32
04-08-18 18 32.6 34 36 19.0 18 17 38.8 39 39 29.4 27 25 40.5 42 41 23.4 26 25 44.4 46 45 28.6 32
04-07-18 32 33.8 33 20 22.4 20 35 32.6 34 17 19.0 20 40 38.8 38 27 29.4 28 42 40.5 44 28 23.4 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 11 11 13 9 9 8 10 6 7 7 7 3 6 5 5
% Succ 76.9   84.6 84.6   100.0 75.0   75.0 66.7   83.3 54.5   63.6 63.6   63.6 30.0   60.0 50.0   50.0
Ave Error 4.0   2.3 3.4   1.9 4.7   2.9 4.1   2.2 7.3   3.4 5.2   3.8 8.8   6.1 6.1   4.9
Net Error -2.5   0.2 2.1   -0.8 -1.8   0.1 3.4   0.8 0.7   1.4 4.0   2.6 1.6   5.0 6.1   3.4
Std Dev 6.5   2.0 4.5   0.9 4.2   2.8 5.1   1.5 5.2   2.0 3.1   3.1 4.6   5.5 3.7   3.3

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 04-20-18 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-18 37   38 28   26 45   46 28   26 48   47 28   22 58   56 34   31
04-19-18 38 37.4 39 29 29.3 29 39   39 28   26 48   45 27   27 50   50 30   30
04-18-18 43 43.4 43 32 32.4 32 37 37.4 39 29 29.3 31 39   38 29   28 43   42 27   26
04-17-18 39 39.3 40 31 29.9 26 42 43.4 40 33 32.4 32 37 37.4 40 31 29.3 31 40   39 29   29
04-16-18 40 41.6 48 33 33.9 32 40 39.3 37 31 29.9 32 43 43.4 40 32 32.4 33 43 37.4 42 32 29.3 34
04-15-18 32 31.3 33 31 30.3 31 47 41.6 52 33 33.9 33 40 39.3 43 31 29.9 33 44 43.4 42 34 32.4 33
04-14-18 49 45.1 45 27 26.6 29 34 31.3 35 34 30.3 33 51 41.6 46 32 33.9 35 41 39.3 41 31 29.9 34
04-13-18 55 53.7 55 39 42.4 44 40 45.1 44 30 26.6 30 35 31.3 34 32 30.3 33 51 41.6 52 34 33.9 36
04-12-18 50 48.6 49 42 39.7 38 56 53.7 46 44 42.4 44 62 45.1 56 35 26.6 38 49 31.3 48 42 30.3 44
04-11-18 43 44.4 43 32 28.6 30 48 48.6 44 39 39.7 41 55 53.7 54 43 42.4 46 56 45.1 60 36 26.6 39
04-10-18 40 40.5 40 25 23.4 25 45 44.4 44 34 28.6 28 52 48.6 47 38 39.7 34 58 53.7 50 44 42.4 45
04-09-18 41 38.8 37 25 29.4 27 41 40.5 40 22 23.4 25 47 44.4 45 34 28.6 34 51 48.6 49 37 39.7 32
04-08-18 36 32.6 33 17 19.0 18 39 38.8 37 25 29.4 25 43 40.5 40 24 23.4 25 45 44.4 46 31 28.6 35
04-07-18 32 33.8 32 20 22.4 19 35 32.6 33 17 19.0 19 40 38.8 38 27 29.4 27 42 40.5 41 28 23.4 26
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 12 12 12 10 8 9 11 8 8 9 8 5 5 7 4
% Succ 92.3   92.3 92.3   92.3 83.3   66.7 75.0   91.7 72.7   72.7 81.8   72.7 50.0   50.0 70.0   40.0
Ave Error 1.5   1.4 1.8   1.7 1.9   3.2 2.1   1.7 3.9   2.9 2.4   3.6 5.5   5.6 3.8   5.7
Net Error 0.6   0.5 -0.3   -0.6 0.6   -0.5 0.5   0.7 3.7   1.7 1.2   2.1 5.5   4.6 3.3   4.2
Std Dev 1.1   1.6 1.3   0.9 1.6   2.9 1.5   0.8 4.7   2.6 2.1   2.8 4.8   5.2 3.5   3.9

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 04-20-18 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-18 26   27 46   45 26   27 51   49 30   26 59   57 38   35 61   62
04-19-18 28 29.3 29 39 37.4 39 28   26 47   45 27   27 52   50 30   29 55   59
04-18-18 32 32.4 29 37 37.4 39 30 29.3 29 37 37.4 37 28   27 44   44 27   26 50   49
04-17-18 30 29.9 26 42 43.4 40 33 32.4 32 38 37.4 38 32 29.3 31 39 37.4 38 29   28 44   40
04-16-18 33 33.9 31 39 39.3 37 33 29.9 30 42 43.4 40 35 32.4 32 40 37.4 42 32 29.3 34 39 37.4 41
04-15-18 30 30.3 29 45 41.6 52 33 33.9 32 41 39.3 38 33 29.9 32 43 43.4 41 33 32.4 34 41 37.4 47
04-14-18 27 26.6 27 32 31.3 35 32 30.3 33 48 41.6 55 33 33.9 35 40 39.3 41 32 29.9 32 45 43.4 44
04-13-18 39 42.4 44 40 45.1 46 29 26.6 31 32 31.3 37 32 30.3 35 46 41.6 56 33 33.9 35 41 39.3 41
04-12-18 42 39.7 41 49 53.7 46 41 42.4 45 43 45.1 51 32 26.6 35 42 31.3 43 40 30.3 40 49 41.6 60
04-11-18 32 28.6 32 52 48.6 46 41 39.7 36 56 53.7 56 45 42.4 47 57 45.1 69 35 26.6 50 42 31.3 62
04-10-18 21 23.4 26 46 44.4 44 33 28.6 33 51 48.6 49 39 39.7 34 56 53.7 48 43 42.4 45 59 45.1 71
04-09-18 25 29.4 27 40 40.5 42 24 23.4 26 46 44.4 45 34 28.6 28 52 48.6 46 37 39.7 35 56 53.7 48
04-08-18 36 19.0 18 17 38.8 38 39 29.4 25 25 40.5 41 41 23.4 25 25 44.4 46 45 28.6 35 31 48.6 52
04-07-18 18 22.4 20 38 32.6 34 15 19.0 19 41 38.8 39 24 29.4 27 43 40.5 42 27 23.4 27 44 44.4 44
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 12 9 10 9 8 10 9 7 7 7 6 7 5 6 5
% Succ 76.9   92.3 69.2   76.9 75.0   66.7 83.3   75.0 63.6   63.6 63.6   54.5 70.0   50.0 60.0   50.0
Ave Error 3.1   2.1 3.9   2.9 2.6   2.3 3.1   2.9 4.4   3.0 5.4   6.4 4.8   6.0 6.1   10.0
Net Error 0.4   -0.6 -1.4   0.3 1.5   0.5 -0.1   2.0 3.1   1.4 1.8   4.5 4.1   5.1 2.5   8.8
Std Dev 4.3   1.1 5.5   2.8 1.3   1.4 1.8   3.6 2.0   2.2 3.7   6.6 2.9   6.1 3.0   8.4

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.