NWS Forecast
3:22
Overnight

Overnight: A chance of rain and snow.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Light south wind.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Chance
Rain/Snow

Tuesday

Tuesday: A slight chance of rain and snow before 9am, then a chance of rain after noon.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Slight Chance
Rain/Snow
then Chance
Rain
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: A chance of rain.  Cloudy, with a low around 47. Southeast wind 6 to 8 mph becoming south after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Chance Rain


Wednesday

Wednesday: Rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 7am.  Cloudy, with a high near 66. Breezy, with a southwest wind 10 to 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Showers
Likely and
Breezy

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Rain showers likely before 4am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Some thunder is also possible.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Breezy, with a west wind 14 to 23 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Showers
Likely then
Rain/Snow
Likely and
Breezy
Thursday

Thursday: A chance of snow, mainly before 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 32. Breezy.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance Snow
and Breezy

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 17.
Partly Cloudy


Friday

Friday: A chance of light snow.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance Light
Snow

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 12.
Partly Cloudy


Lo 34 °FHi 51 °FLo 47 °FHi 66 °FLo 31 °FHi 32 °FLo 17 °FHi 28 °FLo 12 °F
 
OUR Forecast
4:00
Today

Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow
Tonight

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Wednesday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Wednesday
night
Thunder storm
Cold!
Thunder storm
Cold!
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Friday
night
Snow
Cold!
Snow
Cold!
Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 54°Low: 43° High: 63°Low: 26°High: 31°Low: 22°High: 28°Low: 9°High: 18°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

1am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 02-28-17 at 1:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-28-17 34   33 51   53 46   43 64   63 30   25 34   31 19   22 29   28
02-27-17 25 24.7 26 48 47.8 45 30   30 50   51 46   42 61   62 33   26 38   31
02-26-17 26 26.4 24 34 29.9 32 24 24.7 26 47 47.8 45 31   29 46   42 36   37 54   56
02-25-17 53 57.6 55 62 65.8 63 30 26.4 27 36 29.9 34 26 24.7 27 45 47.8 46 30   31 43   45
02-24-17 44 39.0 47 61 71.2 51 57.6 60 65.8 28 26.4 36 29.9 26 24.7 42 47.8
02-23-17 37 65.1 40 62 39.0 61 41 39.0 40 55 71.2 58 48 57.6 50 60 65.8 58 30 26.4 27 35 29.9 33
02-22-17 36 34.8 35 49 56.0 55 39 65.1 43 59 39.0 61 39 39.0 39 55 71.2 54 48 57.6 49 60 65.8 60
02-21-17 19 20.0 21 41 38.7 45 36 34.8 35 51 56.0 51 39 65.1 42 58 39.0 56 38 39.0 41 53 71.2 54
02-20-17 28 29.6 30 39 38.3 40 22 20.0 27 44 38.7 46 34 34.8 35 53 56.0 55 38 65.1 41 56 39.0 54
02-19-17 36 41.7 37 42 48.9 40 27 29.6 28 38 38.3 37 18 20.0 24 43 38.7 41 33 34.8 32 48 56.0 51
02-18-17 20 18.1 19 45 51.6 40 33 41.7 34 41 48.9 38 29 29.6 28 37 38.3 35 20 20.0 22 41 38.7 42
02-17-17 15 19.2 17 29 28.0 28 18 18.1 16 46 51.6 39 34 41.7 34 41 48.9 38 30 29.6 28 36 38.3 36
02-16-17 22 20.9 22 26 24.0 27 16 19.2 16 27 28.0 27 16 18.1 17 39 51.6 38 32 41.7 33 42 48.9 37
02-15-17 31 21.3 24 33 35.5 34 24 20.9 22 25 24.0 26 14 19.2 14 26 28.0 23 14 18.1 9 37 51.6 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 10 6 8 9 8 4 4 7 5 4 4 6 5 2 3
% Succ 53.8   76.9 46.2   61.5 75.0   66.7 33.3   33.3 63.6   45.5 36.4   36.4 60.0   50.0 20.0   30.0
Ave Error 5.0   4.0 5.4   10.4 5.0   8.8 6.3   12.3 5.2   7.2 7.4   10.0 5.9   8.4 8.6   12.7
Net Error -2.0   -1.6 -0.3   -5.0 -3.0   -6.9 -0.9   -6.4 -4.7   -6.0 -2.0   -6.5 -4.8   -7.5 -3.7   -8.4
Std Dev 7.2   6.5 6.0   18.5 7.0   16.0 6.0   17.4 7.6   9.3 6.5   9.8 8.2   9.6 7.0   14.5

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 02-27-17 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-27-17 49   48 31   31 51   52 44   43 62   62 32   24 36   31 19   22
02-26-17 34 29.9 33 22 24.7 26 47   46 29   30 48   44 40   38 56   61 36   26
02-25-17 64 65.8 65 28 26.4 26 36 29.9 33 24 24.7 27 44   46 29   31 45   49 36   38
02-24-17 65 71.2 63 52 57.6 51 61 65.8 60 27 26.4 27 35 29.9 32 26 24.7 26 43   44 28   29
02-23-17 62 65.1 62 41 39.0 45 57 71.2 62 48 57.6 51 60 65.8 59 29 26.4 27 35 29.9 33 25 24.7 27
02-22-17 50 56.0 53 40 39.0 43 62 65.1 63 39 39.0 40 55 71.2 52 47 57.6 47 61 65.8 58 29 26.4 28
02-21-17 43 38.7 42 36 34.8 34 49 56.0 51 39 39.0 42 59 65.1 56 40 39.0 38 53 71.2 54 46 57.6 49
02-20-17 38 38.3 39 22 20.0 25 41 38.7 45 33 34.8 35 51 56.0 49 38 39.0 40 56 65.1 57 36 39.0 38
02-19-17 46 48.9 44 28 29.6 29 38 38.3 39 18 20.0 25 41 38.7 43 33 34.8 35 49 56.0 53 36 39.0 41
02-18-17 45 51.6 40 30 41.7 36 40 48.9 39 27 29.6 28 40 38.3 35 21 20.0 22 42 38.7 42 32 34.8 33
02-17-17 30 28.0 28 16 18.1 17 46 51.6 40 33 41.7 34 42 48.9 37 30 29.6 30 37 38.3 36 21 20.0 23
02-16-17 27 24.0 25 14 19.2 15 28 28.0 27 17 18.1 16 39 51.6 38 33 41.7 32 41 48.9 37 30 29.6 30
02-15-17 36 35.5 31 22 20.9 22 26 24.0 26 15 19.2 17 26 28.0 26 15 18.1 11 38 51.6 36 30 41.7 33
02-14-17 34 38.4 37 25 21.3 27 33 35.5 35 21 20.9 21 26 24.0 25 16 19.2 14 26 28.0 23 13 18.1 8
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 9 9 6 6 6 9 9 4 4 9 7 3 4 7 7
% Succ 53.8   69.2 69.2   46.2 50.0   50.0 75.0   75.0 36.4   36.4 81.8   63.6 30.0   40.0 70.0   70.0
Ave Error 3.5   3.5 3.2   3.3 4.7   4.8 2.6   2.7 6.0   7.3 3.2   3.6 7.2   7.7 4.2   4.0
Net Error -1.3   -2.3 -1.3   0.3 -3.0   -2.8 -2.5   -0.7 -4.0   -6.0 -2.0   -2.6 -5.6   -6.5 -3.3   -2.1
Std Dev 2.2   3.2 3.0   2.4 4.2   3.9 3.2   2.5 4.7   5.9 3.2   3.5 6.0   6.3 3.8   3.3

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 02-27-17 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-27-17 49   47 31   30 51   53 44   43 62   62 32   24 36   31 19   22
02-26-17 33 29.9 30 22 24.7 24 47   46 29   31 48   44 40   38 56   61 36   26
02-25-17 62 65.8 67 28 26.4 27 36 29.9 33 24 24.7 27 44   46 29   32 45   46 36   38
02-24-17 65 71.2 60 52 57.6 50 61 65.8 59 27 26.4 26 35 29.9 32 26 24.7 27 43   46 28   30
02-23-17 63 65.1 65 41 39.0 47 57 71.2 61 48 57.6 52 60 65.8 61 29 26.4 26 35 29.9 33 25 24.7 28
02-22-17 52 56.0 51 40 39.0 38 62 65.1 63 39 39.0 41 55 71.2 60 47 57.6 50 61 65.8 61 29 26.4 28
02-21-17 42 38.7 39 35 34.8 32 50 56.0 53 39 39.0 42 59 65.1 57 40 39.0 36 53 71.2 56 46 57.6 48
02-20-17 38 38.3 38 22 20.0 24 41 38.7 46 33 34.8 35 51 56.0 55 38 39.0 42 56 65.1 60 36 39.0 40
02-19-17 46 48.9 48 28 29.6 30 38 38.3 40 18 20.0 26 41 38.7 46 33 34.8 36 49 56.0 56 36 39.0 41
02-18-17 46 51.6 43 30 41.7 36 40 48.9 39 27 29.6 29 40 38.3 36 21 20.0 23 42 38.7 43 32 34.8 34
02-17-17 30 28.0 29 16 18.1 15 46 51.6 40 33 41.7 34 42 48.9 38 30 29.6 29 37 38.3 36 21 20.0 22
02-16-17 27 24.0 24 14 19.2 16 28 28.0 27 17 18.1 16 39 51.6 39 33 41.7 33 41 48.9 38 30 29.6 29
02-15-17 36 35.5 35 22 20.9 23 26 24.0 27 15 19.2 17 26 28.0 26 15 18.1 16 38 51.6 37 30 41.7 33
02-14-17 34 38.4 36 25 21.3 27 33 35.5 34 21 20.9 22 26 24.0 26 16 19.2 14 26 28.0 22 13 18.1 10
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 10 9 8 6 7 9 9 4 5 9 8 3 3 7 7
% Succ 61.5   76.9 69.2   61.5 50.0   58.3 75.0   75.0 36.4   45.5 81.8   72.7 30.0   30.0 70.0   70.0
Ave Error 3.2   2.4 3.1   3.5 4.7   5.1 2.6   2.8 6.0   5.8 3.2   3.4 7.2   6.6 4.2   3.8
Net Error -1.3   -2.0 -1.3   -0.3 -2.9   -2.6 -2.5   -0.3 -4.0   -3.8 -2.0   -1.6 -5.6   -5.2 -3.3   -1.8
Std Dev 1.8   3.5 3.0   2.6 4.1   4.1 3.2   2.5 4.7   4.4 3.2   2.6 6.0   5.6 3.8   3.4

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 02-27-17 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
02-27-17 33   31 51   53 46   43 64   62 30   24 34   31 19   22 29   28
02-26-17 25 24.7 25 48 47.8 46 30   30 50   51 46   42 61   61 33   26 38   31
02-25-17 27 26.4 24 34 29.9 33 24 24.7 26 47 47.8 46 31   31 46   43 36   37 54   56
02-24-17 53 57.6 54 64 65.8 63 30 26.4 27 36 29.9 33 26 24.7 27 45 47.8 46 30   29 43   43
02-23-17 44 39.0 47 61 71.2 65 51 57.6 52 60 65.8 61 28 26.4 26 60 65.8 61 26 24.7 28 42 47.8 33
02-22-17 39 65.1 41 62 39.0 62 41 39.0 40 55 71.2 57 48 57.6 49 60 65.8 57 30 26.4 27 35 29.9 32
02-21-17 35 34.8 34 49 56.0 54 39 65.1 43 59 39.0 61 39 39.0 40 55 71.2 54 48 57.6 49 60 65.8 60
02-20-17 18 20.0 25 44 38.7 45 33 34.8 35 51 56.0 50 39 65.1 41 58 39.0 57 38 39.0 42 53 71.2 55
02-19-17 28 29.6 29 39 38.3 40 20 20.0 26 44 38.7 46 34 34.8 35 53 56.0 56 38 65.1 40 56 39.0 53
02-18-17 36 41.7 37 39 48.9 40 27 29.6 29 38 38.3 37 18 20.0 24 43 38.7 41 33 34.8 32 48 56.0 51
02-17-17 20 18.1 19 45 51.6 40 33 41.7 34 41 48.9 38 29 29.6 28 37 38.3 35 20 20.0 22 41 38.7 42
02-16-17 15 19.2 16 29 28.0 27 18 18.1 16 46 51.6 39 34 41.7 34 41 48.9 38 30 29.6 27 36 38.3 36
02-15-17 22 20.9 22 26 24.0 27 16 19.2 16 27 28.0 26 16 18.1 17 39 51.6 37 32 41.7 33 42 48.9 37
02-14-17 25 21.3 24 33 35.5 33 24 20.9 22 25 24.0 26 14 19.2 14 26 28.0 23 14 18.1 9 37 51.6 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 7 9 6 8 9 8 4 5 7 6 4 4 6 6 2 3
% Succ 53.8   69.2 46.2   61.5 75.0   66.7 33.3   41.7 63.6   54.5 36.4   36.4 60.0   60.0 20.0   30.0
Ave Error 4.4   4.4 5.7   5.7 4.9   4.3 6.3   7.3 5.2   5.1 7.3   7.9 5.9   6.6 8.6   9.1
Net Error -2.4   -1.6 -0.1   0.0 -3.4   -2.6 -0.9   -1.6 -4.7   -3.7 -3.1   -4.2 -4.8   -4.8 -3.7   -5.2
Std Dev 6.6   6.2 6.1   6.0 7.1   6.0 6.0   6.5 7.6   7.0 6.5   7.0 8.2   7.7 7.0   7.2

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.